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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / CAG
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ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$14.57 +3.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.63

ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.96B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CAG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CAG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, ConAgra Brands Inc. (NYSE: CAG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $14.57 (+3.41% 1D, market cap $6.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, CAG ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CAG compare to LW and CPB in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), CAG carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.9%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, LW (Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 25.3x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $7.45B) and CPB (The Campbell's Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAG?
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Per CAG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0000023217), ConAgra Brands Inc. generated $11.28B in revenue (-2.9% YoY), -$1.92B in net income, and $978.7M in free cash flow against $19.54B in total assets and $5.15B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.63 (+0.42%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 8.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$21 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE CAG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CAG SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (20% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 26% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$13.84+1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$14.04-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$13.92+4.7% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$14.57-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CAG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CAG currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.56) and Max Pain ($15.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.34.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CAG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
53.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.06>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE26% OF RANGE
L: $13$14.57H: $20
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CAG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

-10.0% ROIC with 23.9% gross margin and 14.55% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 1.06 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (53)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CAG
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CAG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CAG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CAG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.20%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $14.09H $14.57L $14.09C $14.57VOL 10.72M
RES: $18.30SUP: $12.69SMA50: $14.56SMA200: $15.25
$18.06$16.56$15.06$13.56$12.06RES $18.30SUP $12.69$14.572026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CAG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CAG Butterfly Map → + Track CAG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAG)

Consumer Staples Rank #78 of 147 ⚔️ LW vs CAG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (CAG vs. LW, CPB, INGR, DAR)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #39 by equity capitalization ($6.96B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INGR leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while INGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. LW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with CAG at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CAG ACTIVE
ConAgra Brands Inc.
D 49/100 — 23.9% -10.0% +3.41% $6.96B Benchmark Subject
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.
B+ 78/100 25.3x 20.6% 14.8% +1.48% $7.45B /lw-vs-cag →
CPB
The Campbell's Company
C 63/100 10.4x 30.4% 10.8% +2.00% $6.39B /cpb-vs-cag →
INGR
Ingredion Incorporated
C 63/100 8.3x 25.3% 16.1% +1.44% $6.12B /ingr-vs-cag →
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc.
D+ 55/100 138.6x 24.0% 3.1% +1.05% $8.79B /dar-vs-cag →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-31 • CIK 0000023217 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) reported GAAP revenue of $11.28B (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.61B , and -6.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.92B, operating cash flow of $1.40B, and free cash flow of $978.7M (-24.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CAG closed FY2025 with $19.54B in total assets against $5.15B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.06, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-31 $11.28B -$1.92B $1.40B $978.7M $19.54B $5.15B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-25 $11.61B $1.15B $1.69B $1.30B $21.02B $5.50B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-05-26 $12.05B $347.7M $2.02B $1.47B $14.46B $3.38B

3. CAG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CAG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ConAgra Brands Inc. (NYSE: CAG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $14.57 (+3.41% 1D, market cap $6.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, CAG ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CAG compare to LW and CPB in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), CAG carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.9%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, LW (Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 25.3x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $7.45B) and CPB (The Campbell's Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAG?

Per CAG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0000023217), ConAgra Brands Inc. generated $11.28B in revenue (-2.9% YoY), -$1.92B in net income, and $978.7M in free cash flow against $19.54B in total assets and $5.15B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CAG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CAG last traded at $14.57 (+3.41% on volume of 10,718,771 shares), positioning the stock +0.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.56) and -4.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.25). Across its 52-week range of $12.53 to $20.32, CAG sits at the 26.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($13.70 to $15.44).

Direct Sub-Reports: CAG RQD Cockpit CAG 12M Forecast CAG Earnings & Move CAG Dividends & DRIP CAG Insiders & 13F CAG Whale Options CAG Profit Sankey CAG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CAG — ConAgra Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-05-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.57 (+3.41% 1D, market capitalization $6.96B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -10.0%, gross margin of 23.9%, operating margin of -14.4%, and free cash flow yield of 14.55%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.07x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.06, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.59x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector and Packaged Foods industry. The profile identifies the company as a packaged-foods operator with a market capitalization of $6.7B. Per the market data, gross margin is 23.9%, indicating the economics of its product sales.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-05-31), ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) reported $11.28B in annual revenue (up from $11.61B in FY2024, -2.9% YoY) and -$1.92B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.05B revenue, $347.7M net income) through FY2025, CAG scaled operating cash flow to $1.40B and free cash flow to $978.7M, backed by $19.54B in total assets against $5.15B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 49/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 14.55% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.53 – $20.32 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against -14.4% operating margins and a 1.07x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Packaged Foods (Consumer Staples), CAG carries a macro regime beta of 1.07 and gross margin of 23.9%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CAG sustain or expand its -14.4% operating margin and -10.0% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $11.28B and free cash flow of $978.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.15B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CAG's 23.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.07x)?

CAG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CAG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CAG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.57?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CAG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CAG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.23 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 14.55% FCF yield and 9.96% dividend yield offer high cash return relative to the $14.09 price.

Long CAG at $14.57 targeting $19.23. A 14.55% FCF yield and 9.96% dividend yield offer high cash return relative to the $14.09 price.. Institutional whale score is 9/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $12.53 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $14.57 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Staples.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.07 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $14.57

Negative ROIC of -10%, an Altman Z of 1.06, and a Piotroski F of 4/9 signal weak fundamentals and balance-sheet strain.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CAG: Negative ROIC of -10%, an Altman Z of 1.06, and a Piotroski F of 4/9 signal weak fundamentals and balance-sheet strain.. At 23.0x forward P/E, even a small guidance miss in Packaged Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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