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Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$10.03 +3.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.08

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.78B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BRSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (NYSE: BRSL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $10.03 (+3.94% 1D, market cap $1.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BRSL ranks #799 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BRSL compare to GENI and PRSU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), BRSL carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.8%. By comparison, GENI (Genius Sports Limited) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.9%, cap $1.70B) and PRSU (Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 66.4x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRKS leads on earnings multiple (8.5x) while PRKS leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSL?
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Per BRSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001619762), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. generated $2.51B in revenue (-0.0% YoY), $147.0M in net income, and -$99.0M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $4.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.08 (+0.52%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (10)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$18 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE BRSL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRSL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BRSL SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.7) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$9.96-6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$9.36+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$9.49+5.7% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$10.03-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (26) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BRSL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BRSL currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.22) and Max Pain ($10.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRSL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BRSL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BRSL Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BRSL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BRSL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BRSL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BRSL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BRSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.98%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $9.60H $10.03L $9.60C $10.03VOL 1.62M
RES: $11.50SUP: $9.00SMA50: $10.22SMA200: $11.70
$15.43$13.72$12.00$10.28$8.57RES $11.50SUP $9.00$10.032026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRSL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRSL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRSL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRSL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #799 of 1009 ⚔️ GENI vs BRSL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BRSL vs. GENI, PRSU, STUB, PRKS)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) ranks #799 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #428 by equity capitalization ($1.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRKS leads on earnings valuation at 8.5x trailing P/E, while PRKS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PRSU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with BRSL at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BRSL ACTIVE
Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025.
E 34/100 12.0x — 16.8% +3.94% $1.78B Benchmark Subject
GENI
Genius Sports Limited
D- 40/100 — 23.0% -26.9% +2.52% $1.70B /geni-vs-brsl →
PRSU
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.
D+ 52/100 66.4x 92.3% 3.9% +1.96% $1.50B /prsu-vs-brsl →
STUB
StubHub Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% +4.50% $2.21B /stub-vs-brsl →
PRKS
United Parks & Resorts Inc.
D 49/100 8.5x — 17.2% +8.15% $1.40B /prks-vs-brsl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001619762 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.51B (-0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.51B , and -0.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $147.0M, operating cash flow of -$99.0M, and free cash flow of -$99.0M (-109.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRSL closed FY2025 with $9.16B in total assets against $4.06B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.51B $147.0M -$99.0M -$99.0M $9.16B $4.06B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.51B $348.0M $1.05B $1.05B $10.28B $5.15B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.53B $156.0M $1.01B $1.01B — —

3. BRSL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (NYSE: BRSL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $10.03 (+3.94% 1D, market cap $1.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BRSL ranks #799 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BRSL compare to GENI and PRSU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), BRSL carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.8%. By comparison, GENI (Genius Sports Limited) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.9%, cap $1.70B) and PRSU (Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 66.4x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRKS leads on earnings multiple (8.5x) while PRKS leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSL?

Per BRSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001619762), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. generated $2.51B in revenue (-0.0% YoY), $147.0M in net income, and -$99.0M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $4.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BRSL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRSL last traded at $10.03 (+3.94% on volume of 2,661,403 shares), positioning the stock -1.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.22) and -14.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.70). Across its 52-week range of $9.10 to $17.59, BRSL sits at the 11.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($9.38 to $10.68).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BRSL — Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $10.03 (+3.94% 1D, market capitalization $1.78B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -5.59%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of 4.64x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, Brightstar Lottery PLC (NYSE: BRSL) operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. The profile lists a market capitalization of $1.8B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) reported $2.51B in annual revenue (up from $2.51B in FY2024, -0.0% YoY) and $147.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.53B revenue, $156.0M net income) through FY2025, BRSL scaled operating cash flow to -$99.0M and free cash flow to -$99.0M, backed by $9.16B in total assets against $4.06B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -5.59% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.10 – $17.59 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 12.0x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector membership (Consumer Discretionary / Services-Misc.

  • Key Question #1: Can BRSL sustain or expand its — operating margin and 16.8% ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.51B and free cash flow of -$99.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.06B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BRSL's 11.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BRSL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BRSL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BRSL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.03?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BRSL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BRSL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.97 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 16.8% ROIC and a trailing P/E of 12 suggest the business earns solid returns on capital at a modest earnings multiple.

Here is why I am bullish on BRSL here at $9.65: A 16.8% ROIC and a trailing P/E of 12 suggest the business earns solid returns on capital at a modest earnings multiple.. Compare BRSL's 0.0% operating margin and 16.8% ROIC against the rest of Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $9.17 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 34/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $9.65 and keeping dry powder in case we test $8.97.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.33 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $9.65

Negative free cash flow of -$99.0M in FY 2025, a Debt/Equity of 4.64, and an RQD grade of E point to forensic balance-sheet risk.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short BRSL above $9.65. Negative free cash flow of -$99.0M in FY 2025, a Debt/Equity of 4.64, and an RQD grade of E point to forensic balance-sheet risk.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (-5.59%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $17.59.

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