How much is BRSL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.5% event move for BRSL, spanning a range between $9.38 and $10.68.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BRSL / earnings

GENI (40) PRSU (52) STUB (39) PRKS (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.5% Move

Q: When is BRSL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

$10.03 +3.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.08

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.78B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BRSL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BRSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (NYSE: BRSL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $10.03 (+3.94% 1D, market cap $1.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BRSL ranks #799 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BRSL compare to GENI and PRSU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), BRSL carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.8%. By comparison, GENI (Genius Sports Limited) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.9%, cap $1.70B) and PRSU (Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 66.4x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRKS leads on earnings multiple (8.5x) while PRKS leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSL?

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Per BRSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001619762), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. generated $2.51B in revenue (-0.0% YoY), $147.0M in net income, and -$99.0M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $4.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.08 (+0.52%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRSL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BRSL SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.7) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$9.96-6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$9.36+1.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$9.49+5.7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$10.03-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (26) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BRSL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BRSL currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.22) and Max Pain ($10.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRSL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BRSL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.5% Swing Band

±$0.65 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BRSL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 34/100

Trailing EPS: $0.80 • YoY Revenue Growth: 0%

Model Bullish Setup (34/100)Model Risk Weight (66/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.51B	$147.0M	-$99.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.51B	$348.0M	$1.05B	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$2.53B	$156.0M	$1.01B	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BRSL)

✓Walkthrough of BRSL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BRSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.98%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $9.60H $10.03L $9.60C $10.03VOL 1.62M

RES: $11.50SUP: $9.00SMA50: $10.22SMA200: $11.70

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRSL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BRSL Butterfly Map → + Track BRSL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRSL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRSL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRSL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #799 of 1009 ⚔️ GENI vs BRSL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BRSL vs. GENI, PRSU, STUB, PRKS)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) ranks #799 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #428 by equity capitalization ($1.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRKS leads on earnings valuation at 8.5x trailing P/E, while PRKS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PRSU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with BRSL at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BRSL ACTIVE Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025.	E	34/100	12.0x	—	16.8%	+3.94%	$1.78B	Benchmark Subject
GENI Genius Sports Limited	D-	40/100	—	23.0%	-26.9%	+2.52%	$1.70B	/geni-vs-brsl →
PRSU Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.	D+	52/100	66.4x	92.3%	3.9%	+1.96%	$1.50B	/prsu-vs-brsl →
STUB StubHub Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D-	39/100	—	—	-35.0%	+4.50%	$2.21B	/stub-vs-brsl →
PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc.	D	49/100	8.5x	—	17.2%	+8.15%	$1.40B	/prks-vs-brsl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001619762 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.51B (-0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.51B , and -0.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $147.0M, operating cash flow of -$99.0M, and free cash flow of -$99.0M (-109.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRSL closed FY2025 with $9.16B in total assets against $4.06B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.51B	$147.0M	-$99.0M	-$99.0M	$9.16B	$4.06B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.51B	$348.0M	$1.05B	$1.05B	$10.28B	$5.15B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.53B	$156.0M	$1.01B	$1.01B	—	—

3. BRSL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BRSL compare to GENI and PRSU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSL?

Where is BRSL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRSL last traded at $10.03 (+3.94% on volume of 2,661,403 shares), positioning the stock -1.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.22) and -14.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.70). Across its 52-week range of $9.10 to $17.59, BRSL sits at the 11.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($9.38 to $10.68).

Direct Sub-Reports: BRSL RQD Cockpit BRSL 12M Forecast BRSL Earnings & Move BRSL Dividends & DRIP BRSL Insiders & 13F BRSL Whale Options BRSL Profit Sankey BRSL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BRSL — Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $10.03 (+3.94% 1D, market capitalization $1.78B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -5.59%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of 4.64x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, Brightstar Lottery PLC (NYSE: BRSL) operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. The profile lists a market capitalization of $1.8B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) reported $2.51B in annual revenue (up from $2.51B in FY2024, -0.0% YoY) and $147.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.53B revenue, $156.0M net income) through FY2025, BRSL scaled operating cash flow to -$99.0M and free cash flow to -$99.0M, backed by $9.16B in total assets against $4.06B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -5.59% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.10 – $17.59 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 12.0x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector membership (Consumer Discretionary / Services-Misc.

Key Question #1: Can BRSL sustain or expand its — operating margin and 16.8% ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.51B and free cash flow of -$99.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.06B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is BRSL's 11.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BRSL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BRSL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago

Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI) Q3 Earnings Top Estimates

Rush Street Interactive (RSI) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +7.14% and -1.69%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 6d ago

Brightstar Lottery PLC Repurchases 1,004,500 Ordinary Shares for $9,792,915.42

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 11d ago

Brightstar Lottery PLC Announces Repurchase of 357,600 Ordinary Shares

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 14d ago

Truist Securities Maintains Hold on Brightstar Lottery, Lowers Price Target to $11

Truist Securities analyst Barry Jonas maintains Brightstar Lottery (NYSE:BRSL) with a Hold and lowers the price target from $13 to $11.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 21d ago

Brightstar Lottery Enters Five-Year Licensing Agreement With Pan American World Airways To Develop And Distribute Pan Am-Themed Omnichannel Lottery Games Worldwide

Deal includes compelling instant tickets, innovative draw-based games, and engaging iLottery games. In addition to traditional game development, Brightstar will leverage Pan Am's decades of experience in the

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 26d ago

How Brightstar Lottery’s (BRSL) EUR 500 Million Refinancing Could Shape Its Investment Story

In late September 2026, IGT announced a collaboration with Ceremony of Roses to create a new immersive, concert-style gaming experience, unveiling the Queen Video Slots game on its Summit75 cabinet at the 2026 Global Gam

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 83d ago

Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Revenue hit $584 million as same-store sales accelerated and iLottery wagers surged 22%.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 132d ago

This is why Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) is a Top UK Dividend Stock

Brightstar Lottery PLC (NYSE:BRSL) is one of the UK’s highest dividend stocks. While Brightstar Lottery PLC (NYSE:BRSL) has paid dividends for over 10 years, it boasts a quarterly dividend of $0.23 a share with a dividen

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BRSL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.03?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BRSL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.97 (+24.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

A 16.8% ROIC and a trailing P/E of 12 suggest the business earns solid returns on capital at a modest earnings multiple.

Here is why I am bullish on BRSL here at $9.65: A 16.8% ROIC and a trailing P/E of 12 suggest the business earns solid returns on capital at a modest earnings multiple.. Compare BRSL's 0.0% operating margin and 16.8% ROIC against the rest of Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $9.17 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 34/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $9.65 and keeping dry powder in case we test $8.97.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.33 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $9.65

Negative free cash flow of -$99.0M in FY 2025, a Debt/Equity of 4.64, and an RQD grade of E point to forensic balance-sheet risk.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short BRSL above $9.65. Negative free cash flow of -$99.0M in FY 2025, a Debt/Equity of 4.64, and an RQD grade of E point to forensic balance-sheet risk.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (-5.59%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $17.59.