MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 22h ago
Bunge Limited (BG) Stock ForecastsYahoo Finance report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why BG Stock dropped -2.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$94.22 -2.50% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $93.62
Bunge Limited (BG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $18.57B
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Is BG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $94.22 (-2.50% 1D, market cap $18.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BG ranks #118 in composite RQD confidence.
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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BG compare to GIS and SJM in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), BG carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.6x, gross margin of 20.1%, and ROIC of 3.3%. By comparison, GIS (General Mills Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.8%, cap $18.33B) and SJM (The J.M. Smucker Company) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.8%, cap $13.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKC leads on earnings multiple (16.0x) while MKC leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BG?
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Per BG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001996862), Bunge Limited generated $16.94B in revenue (+9.0% YoY), $816.0M in net income, and -$879.0M in free cash flow against $44.53B in total assets and $8.83B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $93.62 (-0.64%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BG SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 13% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+8/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 40% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 5.7% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$108.91-6.1% Next Q
40
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$102.23-1.4% Next Q
37
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$100.80-6.5% Next Q
35
CurrentGrade E$94.22-9.2% Hist 90D α
32
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BG Turnaround Squeeze
While BG currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($109.69) and Max Pain ($98.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $141.61.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BG Stock dropped -2.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Bunge Limited (BG) dropped -2.50% to $94.22, trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($88.24 – $134.87). Stretched risk/reward at 23x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($88.24 – $134.87) with RSI-14 at 30.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.5% around $94.22 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 20.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live BG Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHTradingView • 1d ago
Bunge Limited Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $142.9, Implies 42% UpsideTradingView report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREPluang • 1d ago
Bunge Limited Common Shares (BG) Financial StatementsPluang report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
BG Q3'26 Earnings: EPS estimate is 2.41 USDTradingView report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Traders Daily • 1d ago
Trading Systems Reacting to (BG) VolatilityStock Traders Daily report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHhttps://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago
Bunge (BG) Falls 4.72% to $102.73 as Support Comes Into View - Algorithmic Stock Pickshttps://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 1d ago
Top 3 Defensive Stocks That May Explode In NovemberOversold consumer staples stocks, including Sprouts Farmers Market and Bunge Global, may offer buying opportunities as RSI falls near or below 30.
CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
How Investors Are Reacting To Bunge Global Stock Earnings BeatBunge Global reported third quarter 2026 sales of US$23.8b and net income of US$318 million, with adjusted earnings of US$2.56 per share beating analyst expectations. Stronger soybean and softseed processing, early Viter
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
What Bunge Global (BG) Said on Its Q3 Earnings CallBunge Global (NYSE:BG) reported third-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $2.56, up from $2.27 a year earlier, as improved soybean and softseed processing performance and early benefits from its Viterra combination he
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 4d ago
Bunge Global SA 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation2026-10-30. The following slide deck was published by Bunge Global SA in conjunction with their 2026 Q3 earnings call.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BG)
- ✓Walkthrough of BG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.17%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $96.02H $96.64L $94.22C $94.22VOL 1.95M
RES: $123.2SUP: $78.89SMA50: $109.7SMA200: $117.0
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +9.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BG)
Consumer Staples Rank #118 of 147
⚔️ GIS vs BG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (BG vs. GIS, SJM, MKC, KHC)
Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bunge Limited (BG) ranks #118 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #24 by equity capitalization ($18.57B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MKC leads on earnings valuation at 16.0x trailing P/E, while MKC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and 37.9% gross margin. MKC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with BG at 32/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BG
ACTIVE
Bunge Limited | E | 32/100 | 22.6x | 20.1% | 3.3% | -2.50% | $18.57B | Benchmark Subject |
| GIS General Mills Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | 33.6% | 3.8% | +1.34% | $18.33B | /gis-vs-bg → |
| SJM The J.M. Smucker Company | D+ | 58/100 | — | 33.5% | 2.8% | +1.12% | $13.88B | /sjm-vs-bg → |
| MKC McCormick & Company Incorporated | C | 63/100 | 16.0x | 37.9% | 9.7% | +3.24% | $12.72B | /mkc-vs-bg → |
| KHC The Kraft Heinz Company | D+ | 53/100 | — | 33.3% | -6.6% | +2.42% | $28.86B | /khc-vs-bg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001996862 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bunge Limited (BG) reported GAAP revenue of $16.94B (+9.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.55B , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $816.0M, operating cash flow of $844.0M, and free cash flow of -$879.0M (-267.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BG closed FY2025 with $44.53B in total assets against $8.83B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.64, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $16.94B | $816.0M | $844.0M | -$879.0M | $44.53B | $8.83B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $15.55B | $1.14B | $1.90B | $524.0M | $24.90B | $4.69B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $17.83B | $2.24B | $3.31B | $2.51B | $21.40B | $5.01B |
3. BG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $94.22 (-2.50% 1D, market cap $18.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BG ranks #118 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BG compare to GIS and SJM in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), BG carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.6x, gross margin of 20.1%, and ROIC of 3.3%. By comparison, GIS (General Mills Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.8%, cap $18.33B) and SJM (The J.M. Smucker Company) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.8%, cap $13.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKC leads on earnings multiple (16.0x) while MKC leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BG?
Per BG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001996862), Bunge Limited generated $16.94B in revenue (+9.0% YoY), $816.0M in net income, and -$879.0M in free cash flow against $44.53B in total assets and $8.83B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BG last traded at $94.22 (-2.50% on volume of 1,994,010 shares), positioning the stock -14.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($109.69) and -19.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($116.98). Across its 52-week range of $88.24 to $134.87, BG sits at the 12.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($88.10 to $100.34).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
BG — Bunge Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Bunge Limited (BG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 32/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $94.22 (-2.50% 1D, market capitalization $18.57B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.3%, gross margin of 20.1%, operating margin of 5.9%, and free cash flow yield of -4.76%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 0.97x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.64, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.56x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Bunge Limited (BG) is a NYSE-listed issuer...4B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Bunge Limited (BG) reported $16.94B in annual revenue (up from $15.55B in FY2024, +9.0% YoY) and $816.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($17.83B revenue, $2.24B net income) through FY2025, BG scaled operating cash flow to $844.0M and free cash flow to -$879.0M, backed by $44.53B in total assets against $8.83B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 32/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -4.76% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $88.24 – $134.87 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 22.6x trailing P/E and 10.6x EV/EBITDA against 5.9% operating margins and a 0.97x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
There are no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals recorded for BG. — for specific upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector-correlation mappings. A prospective investor should note that the absence of graph data is itself a gap: the source does not allow assessment of second-order bottlenecks in commodity inputs, distribution, or customer concentration.
- Key Question #1: Can BG sustain or expand its 5.9% operating margin and 3.3% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $16.94B and free cash flow of -$879.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $8.83B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is BG's 21.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.97x)?
BG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bunge Limited (BG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago
Bunge Limited (BG) Stock Forecasts Yahoo Finance report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago
Bunge Limited Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $142.9, Implies 42% Upside TradingView report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Pluang • 1d ago
Bunge Limited Common Shares (BG) Financial Statements Pluang report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago
BG Q3'26 Earnings: EPS estimate is 2.41 USD TradingView report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago
Trading Systems Reacting to (BG) Volatility Stock Traders Daily report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago
Bunge (BG) Falls 4.72% to $102.73 as Support Comes Into View - Algorithmic Stock Picks https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Bunge Limited (BG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Benzinga • 1d ago
Top 3 Defensive Stocks That May Explode In November Oversold consumer staples stocks, including Sprouts Farmers Market and Bunge Global, may offer buying opportunities as RSI falls near or below 30.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 2d ago
How Investors Are Reacting To Bunge Global Stock Earnings Beat Bunge Global reported third quarter 2026 sales of US$23.8b and net income of US$318 million, with adjusted earnings of US$2.56 per share beating analyst expectations. Stronger soybean and softseed processing, early Viter
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
BG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $94.22?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $118.87 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Trading at a 21 forward P/E and 10.6 EV/EBITDA with a 2.49% dividend yield, the stock's valuation may appeal if cash conversion recover
The street is overcomplicating Bunge Limited (BG). Trading at a 21 forward P/E and 10.6 EV/EBITDA with a 2.49% dividend yield, the stock's valuation may appeal if cash conversion recovers.. With an RQD score of 32/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $104.37.
SectorRotator 🐂 BULL
@MultipleCompression Fair point on 22.6x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Packaged Foods. If gross margin (20.1%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $78.28 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $96.64 Negative -4.76% FCF yield, 3.3% ROIC, and a 1.64 Altman Z-Score point to weak cash generation and balance-sheet forensic risk.
I respect the product at Bunge Limited, but the stock at $96.64 is a different story. Negative -4.76% FCF yield, 3.3% ROIC, and a 1.64 Altman Z-Score point to weak cash generation and balance-sheet forensic risk.. FCF yield is -4.76% and RQD sits at 32/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?