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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AZUL / financials
VLRS (48) RJET (46) JBLU (22) ULCC (32) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$4.21 +5.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.24

Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $801.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AZUL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AZUL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (NYSE: AZUL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $4.21 (+5.25% 1D, market cap $801.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AZUL ranks #565 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AZUL compare to VLRS and RJET in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), AZUL carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VLRS (Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $744.8M) and RJET (Republic Airways Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $904.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJET leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while RJET leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AZUL?
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For Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #565 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.24 (+0.75%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$10 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE AZUL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AZUL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AZUL SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.6% FCF Margin ($22.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$7.06-8.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$6.45-46.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$3.46+21.7% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$4.21-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AZUL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AZUL currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.51) and Max Pain ($4.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AZUL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AZUL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • Trailing 12 Months

How AZUL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$22.4M (0.6% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $2.08B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.92BOp Profit $1.08B (27%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $998.4MNet Profit$865.3M (21.6%)Tax/Other $216.3M
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AZUL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AZUL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AZUL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -53.38%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $3.86H $4.21L $3.86C $4.21VOL 602.8K
RES: $7.05SUP: $3.02SMA50: $6.51SMA200: $7.68
$10.28$8.40$6.53$4.65$2.77RES $7.05SUP $3.02$4.212026-05-282026-07-082026-08-172026-09-242026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AZUL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AZUL Butterfly Map → + Track AZUL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AZUL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AZUL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AZUL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AZUL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #565 of 1011 ⚔️ VLRS vs AZUL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AZUL vs. VLRS, RJET, JBLU, ULCC)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) ranks #565 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #534 by equity capitalization ($801.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RJET leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while RJET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and — gross margin. AZUL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AZUL ACTIVE
Azul S.A. each representing two (2)
D 49/100 — — — +5.25% $801.7M Benchmark Subject
VLRS
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates
D 48/100 — — — +6.86% $744.8M /vlrs-vs-azul →
RJET
Republic Airways Holdings Inc.
D 46/100 12.3x — 11.1% +1.66% $904.6M /rjet-vs-azul →
JBLU
JetBlue Airways Corporation
E 22/100 — — -35.0% +11.23% $1.08B /jblu-vs-azul →
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% +15.19% $1.49B /ulcc-vs-azul →

2. AZUL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $801.7M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. AZUL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AZUL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (NYSE: AZUL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $4.21 (+5.25% 1D, market cap $801.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AZUL ranks #565 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AZUL compare to VLRS and RJET in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), AZUL carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VLRS (Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $744.8M) and RJET (Republic Airways Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $904.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJET leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while RJET leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AZUL?

For Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #565 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AZUL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AZUL last traded at $4.21 (+5.25% on volume of 282,352 shares), positioning the stock -35.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.51) and -45.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.68). Across its 52-week range of $3.35 to $9.83, AZUL sits at the 13.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.68 to $4.74).

Direct Sub-Reports: AZUL RQD Cockpit AZUL 12M Forecast AZUL Earnings & Move AZUL Dividends & DRIP AZUL Insiders & 13F AZUL Whale Options AZUL Profit Sankey AZUL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AZUL — Azul S.A. each representing two (2): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:50Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AZUL carries an RQD Score of 48, a letter grade of D, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillar is Whale 13F Flow at 3/20, which indicates the rating's institutional-flow signal is the least supportive component. The cash-generation pillar is also weak, with the rating reporting zero ROIC and zero FCF yield, meaning the source does not show the business currently converting capital into returns. The forensic balance sheet pillar is the strongest at 13/20, with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the implication is that the rating frames the stock as a distribution-risk name, with balance-sheet resilience as the main offsetting factor and no source-based evidence of upside drivers from cash generation or institutional accumulation.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Azul S.A. Each representing two (2) is listed on the NYSE under the ticker AZUL.. —

Gross, operating, and net margins are each reported at 0%, and ROIC is reported at 0%. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, the strongest pillar in the rating. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $3.35 – $9.83 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 3/20 and ROIC and FCF yield are both reported at 0%, leaving no source-based evidence of cash generation or institutional accumulation. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector is listed as Consumer Discretionary and the industry as Air Freight/Delivery Services. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. —

  • Key Question #1: What are the trailing and forward P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples, which would be needed to judge valuation against the RQD score?
  • Key Question #2: What does the company sell, and to which customers and geographies, so that the 0% margin and ROIC readings can be interpreted?
  • Key Question #3: What recent news, catalysts, or risk events apply to the company, given that the news section is empty?

AZUL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AZUL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AZUL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.21?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AZUL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AZUL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.16 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, the strongest pillar in the rating.

The street is overcomplicating Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL). Forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, the strongest pillar in the rating.. With an RQD score of 49/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $4.32.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.00 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

FA FadeTheHype Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.04 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $4.00

Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 3/20 and ROIC and FCF yield are both reported at 0%, leaving no source-based evidence of cash generat

Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 3/20 and ROIC and FCF yield are both reported at 0%, leaving no source-based evidence of cash generation or institutional accumulation.. Look at the math on AZUL: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Air Freight/Delivery Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $3.52 before getting long.

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