AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12% Move

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AVAV carries an RQD Score of 31 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 5 / 20 (ROIC -7.6%; FCF yield -2.06%), indicating that the business is not currently generating returns above its cost of capital or positive free cash flow relative to market value. Whale 13F Flow scores 8 / 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, and Insider Conviction scores 5 / 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 6 / 20 (Beta 0.94; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 7 / 20 (Altman Z 2.07; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.26). For a prospective investor, the practical implication is that the cash-generation and insider-signal pillars are the weakest, which means the stock's valuation depends on future earnings improvement rather than current cash returns. The balance-sheet metrics are middling rather than distressed, so the forensic concern is primarily about earnings quality and cash conversion rather than immediate solvency. Upside drivers would need to come from a sustained turn in operating profitability; the current negative ROIC and FCF yield mean the stock offers no cash-yield cushion while that turn is pending.

Per the market data, the operating margin is -15.7% and the net margin is -13.4%, with ROIC at -7.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.07 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. The Debt/Equity ratio is 0.26 per the RQD forensic pillar. The FY 2025 swing from positive operating income in FY 2024 to a $-311.0M operating loss is the central financial development in the source data.

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the headlines are mixed. A RISK WATCH item, "AeroVironment Is Now Down 43% This Year. Is It Time to Sell This Dropping Drone Stock?" (24/7 Wall St. and Yahoo Finance coverage), flags declining share performance. Another RISK WATCH headline, "AeroVironment (AVAV) Stock Looks Reasonable As Shares Fell 65%," reports the sharp drawdown while suggesting valuation has reset. A CATALYST-tagged item reports that Macquarie initiated coverage with an outperform rating. A MARKET WIRE headline, "AeroVironment Lands Major Army Deals as AVAV Stock Looks More Attractive," references major Army deals, though the source does not detail contract values or timing. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists supply_chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

• What are the specific drivers of the FY 2025 operating loss of $-311.0M, and are they recurring or one-time?
• What is the TTM P/E and EV/EBITDA, given that both are marked unavailable in the source data?
• What do the Army contracts referenced in the news wire represent in dollar value and timing?
• What is the composition of the reported debt of $727.9M, and what are its maturities and terms?
• Who holds the stock institutionally, and how have 13F and insider positions changed over recent periods?