Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.20 -4.11% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.16

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $3.41B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ACHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $4.20 (-4.11% 1D, market cap $3.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ACHR ranks #387 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACHR compare to AIR and BETA in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), ACHR carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AIR (AAR Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 22.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.20B) and BETA (Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACHR?
β–Ό

Per ACHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001824502), Archer Aviation Inc. generated $300.0K in revenue, -$618.2M in net income, and -$511.7M in free cash flow against $2.47B in total assets and $79.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.16 (-0.93%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510033
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (6)SEC (11)Macro (4)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
$12 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ACHR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ACHR SCORES 33/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 10% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$4.44-10.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$3.98+6.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$4.23-0.7% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$4.20-8.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (41) β†’ E (33)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ACHR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ACHR currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.98) and Max Pain ($4.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.64.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACHRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œACHR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
47.130 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
6.45>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE
L: $4$4.20H: $11
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ACHR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-35.0% ROIC with 33.3% gross margin and -15.01% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 6.45 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (23)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ACHR
  • βœ“Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACHR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ACHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ACHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.21%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $4.34H $4.38L $4.20C $4.20VOL 16.25M
RES: $7.50SUP: $3.62SMA50: $4.98SMA200: $5.77
$8.69$7.33$5.97$4.62$3.26RES $7.50SUP $3.62$4.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACHR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACHR)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ACHR vs. AIR, BETA, JOBY, AVEX)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) ranks #387 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #174 by equity capitalization ($3.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIR leads on earnings valuation at 22.4x trailing P/E, while AIR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and 18.8% gross margin. AIR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with ACHR at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ACHR ACTIVE
Archer Aviation Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 33.3% -35.0% -4.11% $3.41B Benchmark Subject
AIR
AAR Corp.
D 50/100 22.4x 18.8% 12.0% -4.08% $4.20B /air-vs-achr β†’
BETA
Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 β€” 72.2% -35.0% -2.53% $4.81B /beta-vs-achr β†’
JOBY
Joby Aviation Inc.
D- 38/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.54% $5.05B /joby-vs-achr β†’
AVEX
AEVEX Corp. (Class A)
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” -9.01% $1.70B /avex-vs-achr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001824502

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) reported GAAP revenue of $300.0K (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$618.2M, operating cash flow of -$432.9M, and free cash flow of -$511.7M (-13.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACHR closed FY2025 with $2.47B in total assets against $79.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.45, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $300.0K -$618.2M -$432.9M -$511.7M $2.47B $79.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$536.8M -$368.6M -$450.6M $1.00B $64.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$457.9M -$271.6M -$271.6M $1.87B $438.7M

3. ACHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $4.20 (-4.11% 1D, market cap $3.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ACHR ranks #387 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACHR compare to AIR and BETA in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), ACHR carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AIR (AAR Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 22.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.20B) and BETA (Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACHR?

Per ACHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001824502), Archer Aviation Inc. generated $300.0K in revenue, -$618.2M in net income, and -$511.7M in free cash flow against $2.47B in total assets and $79.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACHR last traded at $4.20 (-4.11% on volume of 18,997,813 shares), positioning the stock -15.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.98) and -27.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.77). Across its 52-week range of $3.68 to $11.09, ACHR sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.3% ($3.73 to $4.67).

ACHR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ACHR stock right now?

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell β€” SELL) with 33/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ACHR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ACHR's 12-month base price target is $3.73 (range $2.91 to $11.64), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 33/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ACHR β€” Archer Aviation Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ACHR scores 33 out of 100, grade E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -35% and FCF yield is -15.01%. For an investor, this pillar signals that the business is consuming capital rather than generating it; the reported net margin of -60% (per market data) confirms the cash burn is not a timing quirk but a structural feature of current operations.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. The RQD rating describes this as institutional accumulation and options positioning. The pillar is below midpoint, indicating limited institutional conviction relative to the other inputs.
  • Insider Conviction: 4 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates weak insider-side signal; no insider transaction detail is present in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 4 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 0.9 and sector sensitivity is weighted here. A sub-0.9-beta profile means the stock is not strongly amplifying broad market moves, but the score still reflects poor fit with the current regime as scored.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 6.45, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.04. The balance sheet is the strongest pillar: low leverage and a high Altman Z provide solvency cushion, but the weak Piotroski score flags deteriorating fundamentals beneath that cushion.

Investor implications: The composite rating points to a stock where the balance sheet offers runway while operating economics remain deeply negative. Upside would require evidence that cash burn is narrowing relative to the cash base; the source data does not show a turn. A forward P/E of 18 (per market data) is listed alongside negative trailing EPS of -0.79, meaning forward valuation rests on earnings expectations not supported by reported trailing results. A prospective investor should weigh the gap between the rating's forensic caution and the market's forward-looking multiple.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.3M$-729.3M$-618.2MN/A$-511.7M$1021.5M$79.5M
FY 2024$0.0M$-509.7M$-536.8MN/A$-450.6M$834.5M$64.0M
FY 2023$0.0M$-446.9M$-457.9MN/A$-271.6MN/A$438.7M

Per the SEC financials, operating losses widened from $-446.9M (FY 2023) to $-729.3M (FY 2025), with free cash flow remaining negative in every reported period. Per market data, the operating margin is -60% and the net margin is -60%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 6.45 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9. Debt rose from $438.7M (FY 2023) to $79.5M (FY 2025), while reported cash was $1021.5M at FY 2025; the balance sheet posture is low-leverage on the reported Debt/Equity of 0.04.

Open Questions

  • What is the revenue trajectory and commercial pipeline underlying the $0.3M FY 2025 revenue, and when does operating cash burn plausibly narrow?
  • What is the terms and status of the planned acquisition referenced in the news wire?
  • What drove the price decline flagged in the most recent risk-watch headline, and is it company-specific or sector-wide?
  • What analyst price targets and rating consensus exist, given that analyst data is empty in the source?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) positioning exists, given that holder data is empty in the source?

ACHR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ACHR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ACHR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $4.20?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ACHR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ACHR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.85 (-12.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ACHR (E β€’ RQD 33/100) a Buy at $4.38?

Welcome to the ACHR (Archer Aviation Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Aerospace. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.55 (-18.9%)
Spot @ $4.38

Pump the brakes on ACHR β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ACHR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 33.3% gross margins. Unless Archer Aviation Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.34 (+21.9%)
Spot @ $4.38

ACHR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ACHR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Aerospace and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.38 (52-wk range $3.68 - $11.09), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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