Seeking Alpha report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ASYS Stock dropped -6.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ASYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Amtech Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ASYS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $12.75 (-6.80% 1D, market cap $239.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ASYS ranks #489 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ASYS compare to VELO and MPTI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ASYS carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VELO (Velo3D Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M) and MPTI (M-tron Industries Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 35.5x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $300.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASYS?
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Per ASYS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000720500), Amtech Systems Inc. generated $79.4M in revenue (-21.6% YoY), -$30.3M in net income, and $6.9M in free cash flow against $94.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($6.9M FCF) & 34% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 2.83 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46) create a -14 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASYS Turnaround Squeeze
While ASYS currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.83) and Max Pain ($13.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.00.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ASYS Stock dropped -6.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) dropped -6.80% to $12.75, trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($6.75 – $25.71). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($6.75 – $25.71) with RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.1% around $12.75 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 34% gross margin and $6.9M annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after major artificial intelligence deals and landmark financing agreements reinforced investor confidence in sustained technological demand as reported by AP News.
A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after warnings emerged that ongoing component supply chain bottlenecks and cleanroom space constraints will restrict semiconductor equipment makers from meeting demand thr
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASYS)
- ✓Walkthrough of ASYS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ASYS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -21.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASYS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASYS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASYS)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ASYS vs. VELO, MPTI, SHMD, ESP)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) ranks #489 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #462 by equity capitalization ($239.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESP leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ESP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ASYS at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASYS
ACTIVE
Amtech Systems Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 34.0% | -35.0% | -6.80% | $239.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| VELO Velo3D Inc. | E | 26/100 | — | -16.1% | -35.0% | -7.21% | $227.3M | /velo-vs-asys → |
| MPTI M-tron Industries Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 35.5x | — | 19.2% | -4.10% | $300.0M | /mpti-vs-asys → |
| SHMD SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -8.42% | $186.5M | /shmd-vs-asys → |
| ESP Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. | C+ | 67/100 | 20.7x | 28.9% | 18.1% | -4.16% | $168.7M | /esp-vs-asys → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000720500In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) reported GAAP revenue of $79.4M (-21.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $101.2M , and -30.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$30.3M, operating cash flow of $7.9M, and free cash flow of $6.9M (+39.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASYS closed FY2025 with $94.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.83, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $79.4M | -$30.3M | $7.9M | $6.9M | $94.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $101.2M | -$8.5M | $9.8M | $5.0M | $117.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $113.3M | -$12.6M | -$7.7M | -$7.7M | — | — |
3. ASYS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ASYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Amtech Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ASYS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $12.75 (-6.80% 1D, market cap $239.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ASYS ranks #489 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ASYS compare to VELO and MPTI in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ASYS carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VELO (Velo3D Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M) and MPTI (M-tron Industries Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 35.5x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $300.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASYS?
Per ASYS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000720500), Amtech Systems Inc. generated $79.4M in revenue (-21.6% YoY), -$30.3M in net income, and $6.9M in free cash flow against $94.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ASYS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ASYS last traded at $12.75 (-6.80% on volume of 310,705 shares), positioning the stock -14.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.83) and -20.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.09). Across its 52-week range of $6.75 to $25.71, ASYS sits at the 31.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($11.33 to $14.17).
ASYS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ASYS stock moving today?
Why ASYS Stock dropped -6.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ASYS — Amtech Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ASYS scores 41 out of 100 with a letter grade of D- and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of 2.89%), Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 7/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z of 2.83, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5).
Taken together, the rating points to weak returns on capital and a modest free-cash-flow yield as the main drags on the cash-engine pillar, while the balance-sheet pillar is middling rather than distressed. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the balance sheet holding up and cash flow improving; the valuation tradeoff is that the stock is priced against negative operating margins, so the market is paying for a turnaround that the source data does not yet show in earnings. The flow pillars (whale and insider) are both below midpoint, meaning the ownership and insider signals do not offer strong confirmation either way.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2025-09-30) | $79.4M | $-28.5M | $-30.3M | N/A | $6.9M | $22.1M | N/A |
| FY 2024 (filed 2024-09-30) | $101.2M | $-6.7M | $-8.5M | N/A | $5.0M | $13.2M | N/A |
| FY 2023 (filed 2023-09-30) | $113.3M | $-15.0M | $-12.6M | N/A | $-7.7M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods while operating losses widened in FY 2025. The market data section reports an operating margin of -35.9%, a net margin of -38.2%, and ROIC of -35%. The forensic balance-sheet pillar of the RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.83 and a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Cash rose to $22.1M in FY 2025 from $13.2M in FY 2024, while reported FCF was positive in the two most recent years.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- GREEN / CATALYST: A Seeking Alpha report headlined "Amtech Systems: AI Demand Creates A Compelling Growth Opportunity" (1h ago).
- YELLOW / MARKET WIRE: A Yahoo Finance item announcing participation in the LD Micro Investor Conference on October 20, 2026 (3h ago).
- YELLOW / MARKET WIRE: A TradingView estimates page for NASDAQ:ASYS (6h ago).
- RED / RISK WATCH: A GuruFocus item reporting that shares fell 3.8% (9h ago).
- YELLOW / MARKET WIRE: A MarketBeat piece on analyst views of the stock (12h ago).
- RED / RISK WATCH: A Kalkine item on how a $60 million share sale and a new chief executive have changed the company (15h ago).
The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the company's products and end markets, and how much of FY 2025 revenue came from each?
- What drove the increase in FY 2025 operating loss to $-28.5M from $-6.7M in FY 2024?
- What are total debt and EPS, which the financials section reports as N/A?
- What were the terms and purpose of the $60 million share sale referenced in the news wire?
- What is the basis for the reported forward-looking growth thesis tied to AI demand?
ASYS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Seeking Alpha report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ASYS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.75?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ASYS (D- • RQD 41/100) a Buy at $13.68?
Welcome to the ASYS (Amtech Systems Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 41/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ASYS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ASYS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 34.0% gross margins. Unless Amtech Systems Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ASYS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ASYS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.68 (52-wk range $6.75 - $25.71), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.