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Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$12.75 -6.80% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.57

Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $239.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ASYS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Amtech Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ASYS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $12.75 (-6.80% 1D, market cap $239.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ASYS ranks #489 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASYS compare to VELO and MPTI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ASYS carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VELO (Velo3D Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M) and MPTI (M-tron Industries Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 35.5x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $300.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASYS?
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Per ASYS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000720500), Amtech Systems Inc. generated $79.4M in revenue (-21.6% YoY), -$30.3M in net income, and $6.9M in free cash flow against $94.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.57 (-1.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target
$27 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE ASYS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASYS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ASYS SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($6.9M FCF) & 34% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.83 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$16.01-17.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$13.16-4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$12.64+0.9% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$12.75-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASYS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASYS currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.83) and Max Pain ($13.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASYS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ASYS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ASYS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $12.75: 784.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $9.18
$7,200
$-2,800 (-28.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $11.77
$9,231
$-769 (-7.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $27.00
$21,176
+$11,176 (+111.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASYS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ASYS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ASYS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $13.69H $13.69L $12.75C $12.75VOL 225.3K
RES: $18.58SUP: $11.74SMA50: $14.83SMA200: $16.09
$26.78$22.36$17.94$13.52$9.10RES $18.58SUP $11.74$12.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASYS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASYS Butterfly Map → + Track ASYS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -21.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASYS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASYS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASYS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASYS)

Technology Rank #489 of 714 ⚔️ VELO vs ASYS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ASYS vs. VELO, MPTI, SHMD, ESP)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) ranks #489 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #462 by equity capitalization ($239.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESP leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ESP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ASYS at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASYS ACTIVE
Amtech Systems Inc.
D- 41/100 — 34.0% -35.0% -6.80% $239.5M Benchmark Subject
VELO
Velo3D Inc.
E 26/100 — -16.1% -35.0% -7.21% $227.3M /velo-vs-asys →
MPTI
M-tron Industries Inc.
D+ 56/100 35.5x — 19.2% -4.10% $300.0M /mpti-vs-asys →
SHMD
SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — -8.42% $186.5M /shmd-vs-asys →
ESP
Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.
C+ 67/100 20.7x 28.9% 18.1% -4.16% $168.7M /esp-vs-asys →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000720500

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) reported GAAP revenue of $79.4M (-21.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $101.2M , and -30.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$30.3M, operating cash flow of $7.9M, and free cash flow of $6.9M (+39.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASYS closed FY2025 with $94.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.83, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $79.4M -$30.3M $7.9M $6.9M $94.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $101.2M -$8.5M $9.8M $5.0M $117.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $113.3M -$12.6M -$7.7M -$7.7M — —

3. ASYS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Amtech Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ASYS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $12.75 (-6.80% 1D, market cap $239.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ASYS ranks #489 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASYS compare to VELO and MPTI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ASYS carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VELO (Velo3D Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M) and MPTI (M-tron Industries Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 35.5x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $300.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASYS?

Per ASYS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000720500), Amtech Systems Inc. generated $79.4M in revenue (-21.6% YoY), -$30.3M in net income, and $6.9M in free cash flow against $94.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASYS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASYS last traded at $12.75 (-6.80% on volume of 310,705 shares), positioning the stock -14.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.83) and -20.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.09). Across its 52-week range of $6.75 to $25.71, ASYS sits at the 31.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($11.33 to $14.17).

ASYS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ASYS's 12-month stock price target?

Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $11.77 (-7.7% from $12.75), with a bull-case target of $27 and a bear-case floor of $9.18.

Is ASYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ASYS D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 41/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ASYS RQD Cockpit ASYS 12M Forecast ASYS Earnings & Move ASYS Dividends & DRIP ASYS Insiders & 13F ASYS Whale Options ASYS Profit Sankey ASYS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ASYS — Amtech Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:40:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ASYS scores 41 out of 100 with a letter grade of D- and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of 2.89%), Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 7/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z of 2.83, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5).

Taken together, the rating points to weak returns on capital and a modest free-cash-flow yield as the main drags on the cash-engine pillar, while the balance-sheet pillar is middling rather than distressed. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the balance sheet holding up and cash flow improving; the valuation tradeoff is that the stock is priced against negative operating margins, so the market is paying for a turnaround that the source data does not yet show in earnings. The flow pillars (whale and insider) are both below midpoint, meaning the ownership and insider signals do not offer strong confirmation either way.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-09-30)$79.4M$-28.5M$-30.3MN/A$6.9M$22.1MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-09-30)$101.2M$-6.7M$-8.5MN/A$5.0M$13.2MN/A
FY 2023 (filed 2023-09-30)$113.3M$-15.0M$-12.6MN/A$-7.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods while operating losses widened in FY 2025. The market data section reports an operating margin of -35.9%, a net margin of -38.2%, and ROIC of -35%. The forensic balance-sheet pillar of the RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.83 and a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Cash rose to $22.1M in FY 2025 from $13.2M in FY 2024, while reported FCF was positive in the two most recent years.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • GREEN / CATALYST: A Seeking Alpha report headlined "Amtech Systems: AI Demand Creates A Compelling Growth Opportunity" (1h ago).
  • YELLOW / MARKET WIRE: A Yahoo Finance item announcing participation in the LD Micro Investor Conference on October 20, 2026 (3h ago).
  • YELLOW / MARKET WIRE: A TradingView estimates page for NASDAQ:ASYS (6h ago).
  • RED / RISK WATCH: A GuruFocus item reporting that shares fell 3.8% (9h ago).
  • YELLOW / MARKET WIRE: A MarketBeat piece on analyst views of the stock (12h ago).
  • RED / RISK WATCH: A Kalkine item on how a $60 million share sale and a new chief executive have changed the company (15h ago).

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products and end markets, and how much of FY 2025 revenue came from each?
  • What drove the increase in FY 2025 operating loss to $-28.5M from $-6.7M in FY 2024?
  • What are total debt and EPS, which the financials section reports as N/A?
  • What were the terms and purpose of the $60 million share sale referenced in the news wire?
  • What is the basis for the reported forward-looking growth thesis tied to AI demand?

ASYS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ASYS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASYS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.75?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASYS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ASYS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.04 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ASYS (D- • RQD 41/100) a Buy at $13.68?

Welcome to the ASYS (Amtech Systems Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 41/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.53 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $13.68

Pump the brakes on ASYS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ASYS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 34.0% gross margins. Unless Amtech Systems Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.87 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $13.68

ASYS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ASYS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.68 (52-wk range $6.75 - $25.71), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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