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Stock Ratings / Industrials / ARXS / insiders
J (70) RKLB (37) ESLT (70) FER (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Arxis Inc. (ARXS) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$50.82 -7.48% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.04

Arxis Inc. (ARXS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $21.89B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARXS Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Arxis Inc. (NASDAQ: ARXS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $50.82 (-7.48% 1D, market cap $21.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ARXS ranks #69 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARXS compare to J and RKLB in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ARXS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.4%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, J (Jacobs Solutions Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 61.8x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $18.10B) and RKLB (Rocket Lab Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $34.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FER leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while J leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARXS?
β–Ό

Per ARXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002093536), Arxis Inc. generated $1.59B in revenue (+114.1% YoY), $46.0M in net income, and $179.6M in free cash flow against $6.60B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.04 (-1.54%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 11.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.0% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (11)SEC (18)Macro (13)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$65 Bull$53 Base$41 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ARXS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARXS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ARXS SCORES 66/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.58 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 9/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.3% FCF Margin ($179.6M FCF) & 47.4% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$51.22+1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$51.74+4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$54.13-6.1% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$50.82+1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B+ (74) β†’ C+ (66)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARXS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, ARXS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 44.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($51.28) or 200D SMA ($46.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($52.65) toward Bear Floor ($41.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARXSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œARXS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ARXS Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ARXS)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ARXS. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ARXS Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
ARXS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +44.13%πŸ“ WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $54.93H $54.93L $50.82C $50.82VOL 1.11M
RES: $55.21SUP: $46.85SMA50: $51.28SMA200: $46.23
$63.48$55.26$47.04$38.82$30.60RES $55.21SUP $46.85$50.822026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARXS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ ARXS Butterfly Map β†’ + Track ARXS β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +114.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARXS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARXS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARXS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARXS)

Industrials Rank #69 of 485 βš”οΈ J vs ARXS Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ARXS vs. J, RKLB, ESLT, FER)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arxis Inc. (ARXS) ranks #69 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #57 by equity capitalization ($21.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FER leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while J leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.6% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. J currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ARXS at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARXS ACTIVE
Arxis Inc.
C+ 66/100 β€” 47.4% 4.0% -7.48% $21.89B Benchmark Subject
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc.
B- 70/100 61.8x 24.8% 15.6% +1.22% $18.10B /j-vs-arxs β†’
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation
D- 37/100 β€” 34.4% -6.1% -7.39% $34.36B /rklb-vs-arxs β†’
ESLT
Elbit Systems Ltd.
B- 70/100 70.3x 24.4% 15.1% -3.43% $36.26B /eslt-vs-arxs β†’
FER
Ferrovial N.V.
D+ 56/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -2.86% $39.78B /fer-vs-arxs β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0002093536

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arxis Inc. (ARXS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.59B (+114.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $743.0M , and +274.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $46.0M, operating cash flow of $251.2M, and free cash flow of $179.6M (+378.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARXS closed FY2025 with $6.60B in total assets against $2.61B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.58, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.59B $46.0M $251.2M $179.6M $6.60B $2.61B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $743.0M -$55.5M $70.9M $37.5M $6.32B $2.51B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $424.5M -$59.9M -$7.9M -$27.0M $13.01B $3.04B

3. ARXS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Arxis Inc. (NASDAQ: ARXS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $50.82 (-7.48% 1D, market cap $21.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ARXS ranks #69 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARXS compare to J and RKLB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ARXS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.4%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, J (Jacobs Solutions Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 61.8x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $18.10B) and RKLB (Rocket Lab Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $34.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FER leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while J leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARXS?

Per ARXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002093536), Arxis Inc. generated $1.59B in revenue (+114.1% YoY), $46.0M in net income, and $179.6M in free cash flow against $6.60B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARXS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARXS last traded at $50.82 (-7.48% on volume of 1,114,460 shares), positioning the stock -0.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($51.28) and +9.93% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.23). Across its 52-week range of $33.15 to $61.50, ARXS sits at the 62.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.4% ($44.52 to $57.12).

ARXS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are ARXS insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ARXS leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: ARXS RQD Cockpit ARXS 12M Forecast ARXS Earnings & Move ARXS Dividends & DRIP ARXS Insiders & 13F ARXS Whale Options ARXS Profit Sankey ARXS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 66/100 (C+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARXS β€” Arxis Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ARXS scores 72 out of 100 with a letter grade of B and a verdict label of "Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 4%; FCF yield 0.76%), Whale 13F Flow at 17/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 10/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13/20 (Beta 1.06; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20 (Altman Z 4.58; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.83).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillars are the forensic balance sheet and institutional flow, which together point to a company whose accounting quality and ownership base are rated favorably. The weakest pillar is insider conviction, indicating less supporting evidence from insider or congressional trading. The cash-generation pillar is middling: the stated ROIC of 4% and FCF yield of 0.76% are modest relative to the valuation implied by an EV/EBITDA of 77.1, which is an upside-limiting tradeoff if growth does not accelerate. Macro fit is moderate, with a beta of 1.06 implying slightly above-market price sensitivity. The rating therefore describes a balance-sheet-strong, flow-supported name whose valuation and cash returns leave less margin for error.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1591.0M$276.7M$46.0MN/A$179.6M$250.3M$2606.5M
FY 2024$743.0M$102.6M$-55.5MN/A$37.5M$110.8M$2514.8M
FY 2023$424.5M$54.3M$-59.9MN/A$-27.0MN/A$3045.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $424.5M in FY 2023 to $1591.0M in FY 2025, with net income turning positive in FY 2025 at $46.0M after losses in the prior two years. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with an Altman Z of 4.58 and a Piotroski F of 9/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.83 per the same rating. Reported ROIC is 4%, per Market Data. Debt has remained above $2.5B across all three periods, while FY 2025 free cash flow was $179.6M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items reference ARXS:

  • A Yahoo Finance Singapore market-wire report (YELLOW) covering market action and institutional positioning.
  • A CMC Markets piece (GREEN, CATALYST) questioning whether Arxis' acquisition engine can keep powering growth.
  • A Yahoo Finance report (YELLOW) summarizing Q3 earnings.
  • A MarketBeat report (YELLOW) citing a consensus target price of $54.64.
  • A Stock Titan report (YELLOW) stating that up to 13.4M ARXS shares are covered for resale, with the company receiving no proceeds.
  • A Quiver Quantitative report (YELLOW) on Q3 2026 earnings.

Risk watch items include the potential resale of up to 13.4M shares, which is a supply overhang source. The GREEN-tagged CMC item points to acquisition-driven growth as a catalyst, but the underlying figures are not in the source data. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," no butterfly links exist, and no proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are Arxis' products, customers, and revenue drivers, given that the source data gives only sector and industry classification?
  • What explains the swing from a FY 2024 net loss of $-55.5M to FY 2025 net income of $46.0M, and is it repeatable?
  • Given debt of $2606.5M against cash of $250.3M in FY 2025, what is the refinancing and maturity profile?
  • What EPS and forward earnings support the market price, since P/E and EPS are not available in source data?
  • What is the scale and timing of the up to 13.4M share resale relative to total shares outstanding?

ARXS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Arxis Inc. (ARXS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ARXS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARXS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $50.82?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARXS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARXS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.82 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARXS (B β€’ RQD 72/100) a Buy at $54.93?

Welcome to the ARXS (Arxis Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.20 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $54.93

Pump the brakes on ARXS β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARXS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 47.4% gross margins. Unless Arxis Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $67.56 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $54.93

ARXS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARXS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $54.93 (52-wk range $33.15 - $61.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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