Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ARMK / options

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Aramark (ARMK) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$53.96 -3.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.50

Aramark (ARMK) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.23B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARMK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARMK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Aramark (NYSE: ARMK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $53.96 (-3.68% 1D, market cap $14.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARMK ranks #319 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARMK compare to YUMC and TXRH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARMK carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, YUMC (Yum China Holdings Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $15.68B) and TXRH (Texas Roadhouse Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 29.6x, ROIC 28.3%, cap $11.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, YUMC leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while EAT leads on capital efficiency (53.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARMK?

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Per ARMK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0001584509), Aramark generated $0 in revenue, $326.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $13.54B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.50 (-0.85%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 4.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARMK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ARMK SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.98 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.5% FCF Margin ($179.2M FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$54.75+1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$55.71-0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$55.56-2.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$53.96+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARMK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, ARMK faces multiple-compression risk if 45.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($55.87) or 200D SMA ($50.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($54.45) toward Bear Floor ($42.47).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARMK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ARMK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±5.4%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ARMK)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ARMK.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ARMK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ARMK
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ARMK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.50%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $56.02H $56.02L $53.96C $53.96VOL 4.22M

RES: $56.08SUP: $51.26SMA50: $55.87SMA200: $50.33

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARMK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARMK Butterfly Map → + Track ARMK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

33.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARMK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARMK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARMK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARMK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #319 of 1011 ⚔️ YUMC vs ARMK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ARMK vs. YUMC, TXRH, EAT, DRI)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aramark (ARMK) ranks #319 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #132 by equity capitalization ($14.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YUMC leads on earnings valuation at 16.7x trailing P/E, while EAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 53.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with ARMK at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ARMK ACTIVE Aramark	C-	60/100	45.2x	—	11.4%	-3.68%	$14.23B	Benchmark Subject
YUMC Yum China Holdings Inc.	B-	71/100	16.7x	—	14.9%	+1.28%	$15.68B	/yumc-vs-armk →
TXRH Texas Roadhouse Inc.	B+	76/100	29.6x	—	28.3%	-0.24%	$11.98B	/txrh-vs-armk →
EAT Brinker International Inc.	A-	82/100	18.8x	—	53.3%	-3.51%	$8.81B	/eat-vs-armk →
DRI Darden Restaurants Inc.	C	64/100	20.7x	20.3%	19.5%	-0.14%	$24.91B	/dri-vs-armk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-03 • CIK 0001584509

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03), Aramark (ARMK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $326.4M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ARMK closed FY2025 with $13.54B in total assets against $3.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.98, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-10-03	$0	$326.4M	—	—	$13.54B	$3.17B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-27	$0	$262.5M	—	—	$12.71B	$2.97B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-29	$0	$674.1M	$766.4M	$766.4M	$8.12B	$1.90B

3. ARMK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARMK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ARMK compare to YUMC and TXRH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARMK?

Where is ARMK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARMK last traded at $53.96 (-3.68% on volume of 4,215,679 shares), positioning the stock -3.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($55.87) and +7.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($50.33). Across its 52-week range of $35.07 to $62.65, ARMK sits at the 68.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($51.05 to $56.87).

ARMK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ARMK's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ARMK.

Direct Sub-Reports: ARMK RQD Cockpit ARMK 12M Forecast ARMK Earnings & Move ARMK Dividends & DRIP ARMK Insiders & 13F ARMK Whale Options ARMK Profit Sankey ARMK News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARMK — Aramark: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ARMK scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites ROIC of 11.4% and an FCF yield of 1.26%. The FCF yield is thin, which implies the market is paying a high multiple for each dollar of free cash flow. Investors evaluating the stock should weigh the return on invested capital against that expensive cash-flow price.
Whale / 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects "institutional accumulation & options positioning." The source data contains no holder detail (see the Analyst View section), so the underlying positioning cannot be verified from the provided material.
Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is a below-midpoint reading, suggesting insider signals are not a strong tailwind.
Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites Beta of 0.91 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 indicates lower sensitivity to broad market moves than the market average, which can cushion drawdowns but also limits participation in strong rallies.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites Altman Z of 1.98, Piotroski F of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85. The Piotroski reading is a strong reading on the scale. The Altman Z sits in a range that warrants monitoring rather than comfort.

Taken together, the rating frames ARMK as a balanced risk-reward profile: solid balance-sheet quality and a defensive beta, offset by a rich valuation (P/E TTM 45.2) and modest insider conviction. The rating does not signal a clear upside or downside skew.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
56.02	$14.77B	45.2	42	18	1.24	0.75%	0.91	$35.07 - $62.65	11.4%

Business

Aramark (ARMK) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Restaurants industry, per the profile section. Per the market data, its operating margin is 19.1% and its net margin is 7.9%. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model in detail. Revenue is reported as $0.0M in each period in the financials section, so the revenue-based breakdown of how it earns money is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$791.8M	$326.4M	N/A	N/A	$439.6M	$3169.0M
FY 2024	$0.0M	$706.5M	$262.5M	N/A	N/A	$484.1M	$2973.4M
FY 2023	$0.0M	$625.0M	$674.1M	N/A	$766.4M	N/A	$1900.7M

Per the SEC financials, operating income rose from $625.0M (FY 2023) to $791.8M (FY 2025), while net income moved from $674.1M to $326.4M over the same span. Reported debt increased from $1900.7M to $3169.0M, while cash moved from $484.1M (FY 2024) to $439.6M (FY 2025). Per the market data, the operating margin is 19.1% and ROIC is 11.4%. The Altman Z-Score of 1.98 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 are cited in the Roarable RQD rating, and Debt/Equity of 0.85 is cited there as well.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Market wire (Yahoo Finance, 1h ago): Headline references a possible overvaluation of about 47% despite cash-flow hopes. Light: YELLOW.
Market wire (Yahoo Finance, 3h ago): A comparative performance piece versus other retail-wholesale stocks. Light: YELLOW.
Risk watch (GuruFocus, 6h ago): Headline reports shares falling 3.7% alongside a GF Score of 83. Light: RED.
Market wire (Stock Titan, 9h ago): Director Dreiling deferred his cash retainer and received 500 stock units. Light: YELLOW.
Catalyst (Simply Wall St, 12h ago): Coverage of an earnings estimate upgrade. Light: GREEN.
Market wire (MarketBeat, 15h ago): Report of a position in ARMK sold by Cooke & Bieler LP. Light: YELLOW.

The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Catalyst signals are mixed: one green catalyst and one red risk-watch item, with the remainder yellow market-wire items.

Open Questions

Revenue is reported as $0.0M in every period, and EPS and FCF are mostly N/A. What is the actual top-line figure and per-share earnings trend?
The RQD rating cites an institutional accumulation and options positioning signal, but no holder data is provided. Which institutions are buying or selling, and at what size?
The insider pillar cites Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, yet no insider trade records are supplied. What specific transactions underlie the 11/20 reading?
Debt rose from $1900.7M to $3169.0M across the reported periods. What drove the increase, and how does it affect the Altman Z reading of 1.98?
Market data shows a 1.26% FCF yield alongside a P/E of 45.2. What assumptions in the valuation support the current price relative to the cash-flow profile?

ARMK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aramark (ARMK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARMK Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

Aramark (ARMK) Stock Could Be 47% Overvalued Despite Strong Cash Flow Hopes

Yahoo Finance report covering Aramark (ARMK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Has Aramark (ARMK) Outpaced Other Retail-Wholesale Stocks This Year?

Yahoo Finance report covering Aramark (ARMK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH GuruFocus • 23h ago

Aramark (ARMK) Shares Fall 3.7% -- What GF Score of 83 Tells Inv

GuruFocus report covering Aramark (ARMK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Deferring his entire cash retainer, Aramark (ARMK) director Dreiling receives 500 stock units.

Stock Titan report covering Aramark (ARMK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Did Earnings Estimate Upgrade Just Shift Aramark (ARMK) Stock Narrative?

Simply Wall St report covering Aramark (ARMK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Aramark $ARMK Stock Sold by Cooke & Bieler LP

MarketBeat report covering Aramark (ARMK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Aramark (ARMK) Could Be 23% Undervalued On Fresh Contract Wins

Yahoo Finance report covering Aramark (ARMK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Aramark (ARMK) Shares Climb 1.76% to $55.55 as Stock Pushes Toward Upper Range - Hedge Fund Favorites

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Aramark (ARMK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARMK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.96?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARMK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $60.50 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARMK (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $56.02?

Welcome to the ARMK (Aramark) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (45.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $45.38 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $56.02

Pump the brakes on ARMK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARMK, but look at what you are paying: 45.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Aramark expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $71.15 (+27.0%)

Spot @ $56.02

ARMK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARMK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $56.02 (52-wk range $35.07 - $62.65), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.