Aramark (ARMK) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$53.96 -3.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.50

Aramark (ARMK) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.23B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARMK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Aramark (NYSE: ARMK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $53.96 (-3.68% 1D, market cap $14.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARMK ranks #319 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARMK compare to YUMC and TXRH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARMK carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, YUMC (Yum China Holdings Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $15.68B) and TXRH (Texas Roadhouse Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 29.6x, ROIC 28.3%, cap $11.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, YUMC leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while EAT leads on capital efficiency (53.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARMK?
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Per ARMK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0001584509), Aramark generated $0 in revenue, $326.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $13.54B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.50 (-0.85%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 4.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$66 Bull$54 Base$42 Bear
📬 FREE ARMK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARMK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARMK SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.98 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.5% FCF Margin ($179.2M FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$54.75+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$55.71-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$55.56-2.9% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$53.96+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARMK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, ARMK faces multiple-compression risk if 45.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($55.87) or 200D SMA ($50.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($54.45) toward Bear Floor ($42.47).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARMK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARMK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ARMK Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$179.2M (4.5% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $0 (0%)Cost of Sales $4.00BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $0Net Profit$326.4M (8.2%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $4.00B
FY24
Rev $4.00B
FY25
Rev $4.00B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.00B0%19.8%$326.4M$310.1M10.5%
FY 2024$4.00B0%17.7%$262.5M$249.4M10%
FY 2023$4.00B0%15.6%$674.1M$766.4M10.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARMK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARMK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ARMK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.50%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $56.02H $56.02L $53.96C $53.96VOL 4.22M
RES: $56.08SUP: $51.26SMA50: $55.87SMA200: $50.33
$64.25$57.61$50.98$44.34$37.70RES $56.08SUP $51.26$53.962026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARMK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
33.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARMK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARMK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARMK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARMK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #319 of 1011 ⚔️ YUMC vs ARMK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ARMK vs. YUMC, TXRH, EAT, DRI)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aramark (ARMK) ranks #319 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #132 by equity capitalization ($14.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YUMC leads on earnings valuation at 16.7x trailing P/E, while EAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 53.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with ARMK at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARMK ACTIVE
Aramark
C- 60/100 45.2x — 11.4% -3.68% $14.23B Benchmark Subject
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc.
B- 71/100 16.7x — 14.9% +1.28% $15.68B /yumc-vs-armk →
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse Inc.
B+ 76/100 29.6x — 28.3% -0.24% $11.98B /txrh-vs-armk →
EAT
Brinker International Inc.
A- 82/100 18.8x — 53.3% -3.51% $8.81B /eat-vs-armk →
DRI
Darden Restaurants Inc.
C 64/100 20.7x 20.3% 19.5% -0.14% $24.91B /dri-vs-armk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-03 • CIK 0001584509

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03), Aramark (ARMK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $326.4M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ARMK closed FY2025 with $13.54B in total assets against $3.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.98, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-03 $0 $326.4M — — $13.54B $3.17B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-27 $0 $262.5M — — $12.71B $2.97B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-29 $0 $674.1M $766.4M $766.4M $8.12B $1.90B

3. ARMK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARMK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Aramark (NYSE: ARMK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $53.96 (-3.68% 1D, market cap $14.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARMK ranks #319 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARMK compare to YUMC and TXRH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARMK carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, YUMC (Yum China Holdings Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $15.68B) and TXRH (Texas Roadhouse Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 29.6x, ROIC 28.3%, cap $11.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, YUMC leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while EAT leads on capital efficiency (53.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARMK?

Per ARMK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0001584509), Aramark generated $0 in revenue, $326.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $13.54B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARMK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARMK last traded at $53.96 (-3.68% on volume of 4,215,679 shares), positioning the stock -3.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($55.87) and +7.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($50.33). Across its 52-week range of $35.07 to $62.65, ARMK sits at the 68.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($51.05 to $56.87).

ARMK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Aramark (ARMK)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ARMK converted $4.0B of revenue into a 0% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $179.2M in free cash flow (4.5% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARMK — Aramark: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ARMK scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites ROIC of 11.4% and an FCF yield of 1.26%. The FCF yield is thin, which implies the market is paying a high multiple for each dollar of free cash flow. Investors evaluating the stock should weigh the return on invested capital against that expensive cash-flow price.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects "institutional accumulation & options positioning." The source data contains no holder detail (see the Analyst View section), so the underlying positioning cannot be verified from the provided material.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is a below-midpoint reading, suggesting insider signals are not a strong tailwind.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites Beta of 0.91 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 indicates lower sensitivity to broad market moves than the market average, which can cushion drawdowns but also limits participation in strong rallies.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites Altman Z of 1.98, Piotroski F of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85. The Piotroski reading is a strong reading on the scale. The Altman Z sits in a range that warrants monitoring rather than comfort.

Taken together, the rating frames ARMK as a balanced risk-reward profile: solid balance-sheet quality and a defensive beta, offset by a rich valuation (P/E TTM 45.2) and modest insider conviction. The rating does not signal a clear upside or downside skew.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
56.02$14.77B45.242181.240.75%0.91$35.07 - $62.6511.4%

Business

Aramark (ARMK) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Restaurants industry, per the profile section. Per the market data, its operating margin is 19.1% and its net margin is 7.9%. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model in detail. Revenue is reported as $0.0M in each period in the financials section, so the revenue-based breakdown of how it earns money is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$791.8M$326.4MN/AN/A$439.6M$3169.0M
FY 2024$0.0M$706.5M$262.5MN/AN/A$484.1M$2973.4M
FY 2023$0.0M$625.0M$674.1MN/A$766.4MN/A$1900.7M

Per the SEC financials, operating income rose from $625.0M (FY 2023) to $791.8M (FY 2025), while net income moved from $674.1M to $326.4M over the same span. Reported debt increased from $1900.7M to $3169.0M, while cash moved from $484.1M (FY 2024) to $439.6M (FY 2025). Per the market data, the operating margin is 19.1% and ROIC is 11.4%. The Altman Z-Score of 1.98 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 are cited in the Roarable RQD rating, and Debt/Equity of 0.85 is cited there as well.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Market wire (Yahoo Finance, 1h ago): Headline references a possible overvaluation of about 47% despite cash-flow hopes. Light: YELLOW.
  • Market wire (Yahoo Finance, 3h ago): A comparative performance piece versus other retail-wholesale stocks. Light: YELLOW.
  • Risk watch (GuruFocus, 6h ago): Headline reports shares falling 3.7% alongside a GF Score of 83. Light: RED.
  • Market wire (Stock Titan, 9h ago): Director Dreiling deferred his cash retainer and received 500 stock units. Light: YELLOW.
  • Catalyst (Simply Wall St, 12h ago): Coverage of an earnings estimate upgrade. Light: GREEN.
  • Market wire (MarketBeat, 15h ago): Report of a position in ARMK sold by Cooke & Bieler LP. Light: YELLOW.

The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Catalyst signals are mixed: one green catalyst and one red risk-watch item, with the remainder yellow market-wire items.

Open Questions

  • Revenue is reported as $0.0M in every period, and EPS and FCF are mostly N/A. What is the actual top-line figure and per-share earnings trend?
  • The RQD rating cites an institutional accumulation and options positioning signal, but no holder data is provided. Which institutions are buying or selling, and at what size?
  • The insider pillar cites Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, yet no insider trade records are supplied. What specific transactions underlie the 11/20 reading?
  • Debt rose from $1900.7M to $3169.0M across the reported periods. What drove the increase, and how does it affect the Altman Z reading of 1.98?
  • Market data shows a 1.26% FCF yield alongside a P/E of 45.2. What assumptions in the valuation support the current price relative to the cash-flow profile?

ARMK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aramark (ARMK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARMK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARMK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.96?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARMK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARMK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $60.50 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARMK (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $56.02?

Welcome to the ARMK (Aramark) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (45.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $45.38 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $56.02

Pump the brakes on ARMK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARMK, but look at what you are paying: 45.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Aramark expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $71.15 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $56.02

ARMK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARMK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $56.02 (52-wk range $35.07 - $62.65), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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