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Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$8.38 -2.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.33

Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.25B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AMPX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Amprius Technologies Inc. (NYSE: AMPX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $8.38 (-2.44% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, AMPX ranks #376 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AMPX compare to LYNX and TNC in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), AMPX carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LYNX (Lyntris Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.33B) and TNC (Tennant Company) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 25.9x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $1.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LNN leads on earnings multiple (14.6x) while LNN leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMPX?
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Per AMPX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001899287), Amprius Technologies Inc. generated $71.9M in revenue (+205.1% YoY), -$44.0M in net income, and -$35.5M in free cash flow against $156.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.33 (-0.63%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.9% Base Target
$25 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE AMPX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMPX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AMPX SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (41% of score)

Altman Z-Score 13.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 11.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$8.56-11.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$7.58+17.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$8.88-5.6% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$8.38-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMPX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AMPX currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.24) and Max Pain ($8.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMPX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AMPX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AMPX Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AMPX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AMPX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMPX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AMPX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AMPX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.88%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $9.14H $9.14L $8.38C $8.38VOL 4.95M
RES: $9.17SUP: $6.62SMA50: $9.24SMA200: $13.39
$25.42$20.50$15.58$10.65$5.73RES $9.17SUP $6.62$8.382026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMPX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +205.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMPX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMPX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMPX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMPX)

Industrials Rank #376 of 486 ⚔️ LYNX vs AMPX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AMPX vs. LYNX, TNC, LNN, FLNC)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) ranks #376 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #234 by equity capitalization ($1.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LNN leads on earnings valuation at 14.6x trailing P/E, while LNN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and 32.0% gross margin. LNN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with AMPX at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMPX ACTIVE
Amprius Technologies Inc.
E 34/100 — 11.5% -35.0% -2.44% $1.25B Benchmark Subject
LYNX
Lyntris Inc.
D 47/100 — — — +0.52% $1.33B /lynx-vs-ampx →
TNC
Tennant Company
D 51/100 25.9x 40.2% 9.0% +3.45% $1.13B /tnc-vs-ampx →
LNN
Lindsay Corporation
B- 70/100 14.6x 32.0% 16.1% +1.96% $1.09B /lnn-vs-ampx →
FLNC
Fluence Energy Inc. (Class A)
E 21/100 — 13.1% -12.5% -8.92% $1.06B /flnc-vs-ampx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001899287 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) reported GAAP revenue of $71.9M (+205.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.6M , and +718.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.0M, operating cash flow of -$31.1M, and free cash flow of -$35.5M (+2.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMPX closed FY2025 with $156.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.45, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $71.9M -$44.0M -$31.1M -$35.5M $156.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $23.6M -$44.7M -$33.4M -$36.6M $121.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.8M -$36.8M -$25.6M -$25.6M — —

3. AMPX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMPX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Amprius Technologies Inc. (NYSE: AMPX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $8.38 (-2.44% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, AMPX ranks #376 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMPX compare to LYNX and TNC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), AMPX carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LYNX (Lyntris Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.33B) and TNC (Tennant Company) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 25.9x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $1.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LNN leads on earnings multiple (14.6x) while LNN leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMPX?

Per AMPX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001899287), Amprius Technologies Inc. generated $71.9M in revenue (+205.1% YoY), -$44.0M in net income, and -$35.5M in free cash flow against $156.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMPX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMPX last traded at $8.38 (-2.44% on volume of 4,733,032 shares), positioning the stock -9.31% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.24) and -37.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.39). Across its 52-week range of $7.26 to $24.23, AMPX sits at the 6.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.33 to $9.43).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AMPX — Amprius Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $8.38 (-2.44% 1D, market capitalization $1.25B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 11.5%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -2.66%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 13.45, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically Industrial Machinery/Components. Gross margin is listed at 11.5%, while operating and net margins are both -60%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) reported $71.9M in annual revenue (up from $23.6M in FY2024, +205.1% YoY) and -$44.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.8M revenue, -$36.8M net income) through FY2025, AMPX scaled operating cash flow to -$31.1M and free cash flow to -$35.5M, backed by $156.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.66% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.26 – $24.23 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), AMPX carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 11.5%.

  • Key Question #1: Can AMPX sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $71.9M and free cash flow of -$35.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AMPX's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AMPX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AMPX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AMPX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.38?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AMPX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AMPX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.22 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported revenue grew from $8.8M in FY 2023 to $71.9M in FY 2025 and cash reached $90.5M, with a Canaccord buy initiation in the news w

Don't sleep on AMPX's setup in Industrials. Reported revenue grew from $8.8M in FY 2023 to $71.9M in FY 2025 and cash reached $90.5M, with a Canaccord buy initiation in the news wire.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (34/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — AMPX's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.39 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $8.59

Operating losses persisted in every reported period, with operating margin at -60%, ROIC at -35%, and FCF yield at -2.66%, earning an E

Fading this rally in AMPX at $8.59. Operating losses persisted in every reported period, with operating margin at -60%, ROIC at -35%, and FCF yield at -2.66%, earning an E grade.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $8.59 (52-wk range $7.26–$24.23), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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