Are AIR insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AIR leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / AIR / insiders

BETA (42) JOBY (38) ACHR (32) AVAV (27) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AAR Corp. (AIR) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$105.63 +5.36% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $106.45

AAR Corp. (AIR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.03B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AIR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AIR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $105.63 (+5.36% 1D, market cap $4.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, AIR ranks #261 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIR compare to BETA and JOBY in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), AIR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.4x, gross margin of 18.8%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BETA (Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.69B) and JOBY (Joby Aviation Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIR?

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Per AIR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0000001750), AAR Corp. generated $3.31B in revenue (+19.0% YoY), $187.7M in net income, and $62.1M in free cash flow against $3.24B in total assets and $952.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $106.44 (+0.77%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AIR SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$99.35+0.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$99.80+0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$100.08+5.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D$105.63-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AIR currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($111.43) and Max Pain ($110.91) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $161.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AIR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AIR Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AIR)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AIR. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIR)

✓Walkthrough of AIR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AIR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.59%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $104.5H $105.6L $100.3C $105.6VOL 363.1K

RES: $172.0SUP: $87.16SMA50: $111.4SMA200: $118.5

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AIR Butterfly Map → + Track AIR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

16.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIR)

Industrials Rank #261 of 486 ⚔️ BETA vs AIR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AIR vs. BETA, JOBY, ACHR, AVAV)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AAR Corp. (AIR) ranks #261 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #166 by equity capitalization ($4.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIR leads on earnings valuation at 22.4x trailing P/E, while AIR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and 18.8% gross margin. AIR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AIR ACTIVE AAR Corp.	D	46/100	22.4x	18.8%	12.0%	+5.36%	$4.03B	Benchmark Subject
BETA Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	72.2%	-35.0%	+1.65%	$4.69B	/beta-vs-air →
JOBY Joby Aviation Inc.	D-	38/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.84%	$4.87B	/joby-vs-air →
ACHR Archer Aviation Inc.	E	32/100	—	33.3%	-35.0%	-0.71%	$3.27B	/achr-vs-air →
AVAV AeroVironment Inc.	E	27/100	—	25.3%	-7.6%	-2.40%	$6.41B	/avav-vs-air →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-31 • CIK 0000001750 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), AAR Corp. (AIR) reported GAAP revenue of $3.31B (+19.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.78B , and +356.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $187.7M, operating cash flow of $98.7M, and free cash flow of $62.1M (+4335.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIR closed FY2025 with $3.24B in total assets against $952.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-05-31	$3.31B	$187.7M	$98.7M	$62.1M	$3.24B	$952.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-05-31	$2.78B	$12.5M	$36.1M	$1.4M	$2.85B	$986.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-05-31	$725.4M	$46.3M	$43.6M	$43.6M	—	—

3. AIR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AIR compare to BETA and JOBY in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIR?

Where is AIR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIR last traded at $105.63 (+5.36% on volume of 602,976 shares), positioning the stock -5.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($111.43) and -10.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($118.47). Across its 52-week range of $76.10 to $154.00, AIR sits at the 37.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($97.60 to $113.66).

Direct Sub-Reports: AIR RQD Cockpit AIR 12M Forecast AIR Earnings & Move AIR Dividends & DRIP AIR Insiders & 13F AIR Whale Options AIR Profit Sankey AIR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AIR — AAR Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-05-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AAR Corp. (AIR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $105.63 (+5.36% 1D, market capitalization $4.03B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.0%, gross margin of 18.8%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 1.48%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.61x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

AAR Corp. (AIR) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Aerospace industry..2B. Per the market data, gross margin is 18.8% and net margin is 5.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-05-31), AAR Corp. (AIR) reported $3.31B in annual revenue (up from $2.78B in FY2024, +19.0% YoY) and $187.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($725.4M revenue, $46.3M net income) through FY2025, AIR scaled operating cash flow to $98.7M and free cash flow to $62.1M, backed by $3.24B in total assets against $952.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.48% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $76.10 – $154.00 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 22.4x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain status is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals recorded. The source data therefore does not identify specific supplier, customer, or sector dependencies. The only sector information available is the classification as Industrials within Aerospace. The source does not establish sector correlations or 2nd-order bottlenecks, so a prospective investor would need to examine these independently.

Key Question #1: Can AIR sustain or expand its — operating margin and 12.0% ROIC against Aerospace peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.31B and free cash flow of $62.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $952.7M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is AIR's 20.8x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AIR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AAR Corp. (AIR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AIR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 22h ago

AAR Corp. (AIR) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering AAR Corp. (AIR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

AAR Corp.: Some Turbulence Amidst A Big M&A Move (NYSE:AIR)

Seeking Alpha report covering AAR Corp. (AIR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 1d ago

AAR Corp(AIR.US) Officer Sells US$3.41 Million in Common Stock

Moomoo report covering AAR Corp. (AIR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

AAR CORP director Ellen M. Lord sells $454,238 in company stock

Investing.com report covering AAR Corp. (AIR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

AAR (AIR) Down 6.3% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

Yahoo Finance report covering AAR Corp. (AIR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Benzinga • 1d ago

McClain John Holmes III Executes Sell Order: Offloads $3.41M In AAR Stock

Benzinga report covering AAR Corp. (AIR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

AAR Corp (AIR) Director Ellen Lord Sells 4,341 Shares

GuruFocus report covering AAR Corp. (AIR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Did Earnings Beat Just Shift AAR's (AIR) Investment Narrative?

Simply Wall St report covering AAR Corp. (AIR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $105.63?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $127.33 (+27.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Net income rose to $187.7M in FY 2025 from $12.5M in FY 2024 while debt declined to $952.7M, per the SEC financials.

Net income rose to $187.7M in FY 2025 from $12.5M in FY 2024 while debt declined to $952.7M, per the SEC financials.. When you look under the hood at AIR, Fundamental Cash Engine is 11/20 with 18.8% gross margins and 12.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (4/20) has been quietly accumulating below $154.00. My 12M target is $127.33.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on 22.4x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Aerospace. If gross margin (18.8%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $86.22 (-14.0%)

Spot @ $100.26

Insider officer and director sales reported in the news feed, including a RED-flagged $3.41M sale, weigh on the rating's 12 of 20 insid

Fading this rally in AIR at $100.26. Insider officer and director sales reported in the news feed, including a RED-flagged $3.41M sale, weigh on the rating's 12 of 20 insider pillar.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $100.26 (52-wk range $76.10–$154.00), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.