AGCO Corporation (AGCO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$110.91 +2.85% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.27

AGCO Corporation (AGCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $7.55B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AGCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, AGCO Corporation (NYSE: AGCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $110.91 (+2.85% 1D, market cap $7.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AGCO ranks #154 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AGCO compare to ZWS and RAL in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), AGCO carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.4x, gross margin of 25.5%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, ZWS (Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $7.38B) and RAL (Ralliant Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while MSM leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGCO?
β–Ό

Per AGCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000880266), AGCO Corporation generated $10.08B in revenue (-13.5% YoY), $726.5M in net income, and $740.2M in free cash flow against $11.93B in total assets and $2.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.26 (+0.32%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- Β· Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$151 Bull$111 Base$87 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AGCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AGCO SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.48 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$107.52-2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$104.65-1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$103.40+7.3% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$110.91+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AGCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, AGCO faces multiple-compression risk if 10.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 23.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($113.98) or 200D SMA ($116.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($110.91) toward Bear Floor ($86.51).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGCOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAGCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AGCO Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AGCO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AGCO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AGCO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AGCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AGCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.55%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $102.2H $110.9L $102.2C $110.9VOL 1.96M
RES: $144.0SUP: $98.71SMA50: $114.0SMA200: $116.3
$137.8$127.0$116.3$105.6$94.89RES $144.0SUP $98.71$110.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -13.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGCO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGCO)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AGCO vs. ZWS, RAL, MSM, SPXC)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AGCO Corporation (AGCO) ranks #154 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #117 by equity capitalization ($7.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGCO leads on earnings valuation at 10.4x trailing P/E, while MSM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 40.8% gross margin. MSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with AGCO at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AGCO ACTIVE
AGCO Corporation
D+ 58/100 10.4x 25.5% 8.2% +2.85% $7.55B Benchmark Subject
ZWS
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation
C 62/100 37.3x 45.1% 12.3% +0.16% $7.38B /zws-vs-agco β†’
RAL
Ralliant Corporation
D+ 53/100 β€” 50.3% -35.0% -4.71% $7.80B /ral-vs-agco β†’
MSM
MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc.
B 75/100 34.4x 40.8% 13.2% -1.55% $6.87B /msm-vs-agco β†’
SPXC
SPX Technologies Inc.
D+ 56/100 34.3x 40.5% 10.6% -4.37% $8.38B /spxc-vs-agco β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000880266

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AGCO Corporation (AGCO) reported GAAP revenue of $10.08B (-13.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.66B , and -30.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $726.5M, operating cash flow of $988.1M, and free cash flow of $740.2M (+149.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGCO closed FY2025 with $11.93B in total assets against $2.32B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.48, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $10.08B $726.5M $988.1M $740.2M $11.93B $2.32B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.66B -$424.8M $689.9M $296.6M $11.19B $2.23B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.41B $1.17B $1.10B $454.5M $17.29B $4.05B

3. AGCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, AGCO Corporation (NYSE: AGCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $110.91 (+2.85% 1D, market cap $7.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AGCO ranks #154 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AGCO compare to ZWS and RAL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), AGCO carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.4x, gross margin of 25.5%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, ZWS (Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $7.38B) and RAL (Ralliant Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while MSM leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGCO?

Per AGCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000880266), AGCO Corporation generated $10.08B in revenue (-13.5% YoY), $726.5M in net income, and $740.2M in free cash flow against $11.93B in total assets and $2.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AGCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGCO last traded at $110.91 (+2.85% on volume of 848,776 shares), positioning the stock -2.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($113.98) and -4.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($116.28). Across its 52-week range of $98.22 to $143.78, AGCO sits at the 27.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.5% ($100.37 to $121.45).

AGCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are AGCO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AGCO leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AGCO β€” AGCO Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:18:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AGCO scores 58 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 8.2% and an FCF yield of 9.8%. Returns on capital are positive but modest, and the cash yield is the strongest element here, which suggests the stock's valuation is supported by cash generation rather than by reported earnings growth.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. A score below midpoint indicates limited evidence of sustained institutional buying conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the highest pillar and reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is a relative strength in the rating, though the underlying trade-level detail is not included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.08 and sector sensitivity. A beta slightly above 1.0 means the stock has tended to move a bit more than the broader market, which increases exposure to macro swings.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.48, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54. These are generally supportive readings of financial health.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a mixed picture: a reasonable cash-yield and balance-sheet foundation, offset by weak institutional flow and a macro profile that amplifies market moves. Valuation metrics (P/E TTM of 10.4 and Forward P/E of 9.7 per the market data) appear low relative to the price, but the rating's verdict signals that fundamentals, on balance, do not yet justify a constructive stance. Upside drivers would need to come from improving operating margins and renewed institutional accumulation; the valuation tradeoff is that a low multiple can reflect expectations of continued earnings pressure.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
107.84$7.55B10.49.711.210.371.15%1.08$98.22 - $143.788.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$10082.0M$595.7M$726.5MN/A$740.2M$861.8M$2323.1M
FY 2024$11661.9M$-122.1M$-424.8MN/A$296.6M$612.7M$2233.3M
FY 2023$14412.4M$1700.4M$1171.4MN/A$454.5MN/A$4047.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods, from $14412.4M in FY 2023 to $10082.0M in FY 2025. Operating income and net income were negative in FY 2024 and turned positive in FY 2025 ($595.7M and $726.5M respectively). Per the market data, gross margin is 25.5%, operating margin is 5.9%, and net margin is 7.2%, with ROIC at 8.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.48 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt/Equity is 0.54 per the rating's forensic pillar, and reported debt has declined from $4047.0M in FY 2023 to $2323.1M in FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • What drove the revenue decline from $14412.4M in FY 2023 to $10082.0M in FY 2025, and is the recovery referenced in the news wire expected to reverse it?
  • What is the basis for the federal inquiry flagged in the RED risk item, and what is its potential scope?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A for all periods when net income and share data would typically support a per-share figure?
  • What are the specific guidance figures referenced in the "cut guidance" headline, and how do they compare with prior guidance?
  • What is the composition of institutional and insider holdings, given that the holders section is empty?

AGCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AGCO Corporation (AGCO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AGCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AGCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $110.91?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AGCO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AGCO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $116.47 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AGCO (D+ β€’ RQD 58/100) a Buy at $107.84?

Welcome to the AGCO (AGCO Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $87.35 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $107.84

Pump the brakes on AGCO β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AGCO, but look at what you are paying: 10.4x trailing P/E with 25.5% gross margins. Unless AGCO Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $131.56 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $107.84

AGCO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AGCO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $107.84 (52-wk range $98.22 - $143.78), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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