AGCO Corporation (AGCO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9% Move

$110.91 +2.85% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.27

AGCO Corporation (AGCO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.65B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AGCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, AGCO Corporation (NYSE: AGCO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $110.91 (+2.85% 1D, market cap $7.65B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AGCO ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AGCO compare to RAL and ZWS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), AGCO carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.4x, gross margin of 25.5%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, RAL (Ralliant Corporation) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.44B) and ZWS (Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $7.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while ZWS leads on capital efficiency (12.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGCO?
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Per AGCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000880266), AGCO Corporation generated $10.08B in revenue (-13.5% YoY), $726.5M in net income, and $740.2M in free cash flow against $11.93B in total assets and $2.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.26 (+0.32%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$151 Bull$112 Base$87 Bear
📬 FREE AGCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AGCO SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.48 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$106.78-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$105.22-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$102.16+8.6% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$110.91+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AGCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, AGCO faces multiple-compression risk if 10.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 23.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($113.98) or 200D SMA ($116.29) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($111.91) toward Bear Floor ($87.29).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AGCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9% Swing Band

±$9.98 Expected Swing
$100.93 (-9%)Spot $110.91$120.89 (+9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AGCO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 60/100

Trailing EPS: $10.37 • YoY Revenue Growth: -13.5%

Model Bullish Setup (60/100)Model Risk Weight (40/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$10.08B$726.5M$740.2M25.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$11.66B-$424.8M$296.6M24.9%
FY 20232023-12-31$14.41B$1.17B$454.5M25.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AGCO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AGCO
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
AGCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.55%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $107.8H $110.9L $107.8C $110.9VOL 848.8K
RES: $144.2SUP: $98.72SMA50: $114.0SMA200: $116.3
$137.8$127.0$116.3$105.6$94.89RES $144.2SUP $98.72$110.92026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -13.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGCO)

Industrials Rank #115 of 485 ⚔️ RAL vs AGCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AGCO vs. RAL, ZWS, SPXC, CAE)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AGCO Corporation (AGCO) ranks #115 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #116 by equity capitalization ($7.65B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGCO leads on earnings valuation at 10.4x trailing P/E, while ZWS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.3% ROIC and 45.1% gross margin. ZWS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with AGCO at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AGCO ACTIVE
AGCO Corporation
C- 60/100 10.4x 25.5% 8.2% +2.85% $7.65B Benchmark Subject
RAL
Ralliant Corporation
D 49/100 — 50.3% -35.0% -4.71% $7.44B /ral-vs-agco →
ZWS
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation
C- 61/100 37.3x 45.1% 12.3% +0.16% $7.40B /zws-vs-agco →
SPXC
SPX Technologies Inc.
D+ 55/100 34.3x 40.5% 10.6% -4.37% $8.01B /spxc-vs-agco →
CAE
CAE Inc.
D 50/100 — — — -1.79% $8.29B /cae-vs-agco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000880266

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AGCO Corporation (AGCO) reported GAAP revenue of $10.08B (-13.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.66B , and -30.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $726.5M, operating cash flow of $988.1M, and free cash flow of $740.2M (+149.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGCO closed FY2025 with $11.93B in total assets against $2.32B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.48, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $10.08B $726.5M $988.1M $740.2M $11.93B $2.32B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.66B -$424.8M $689.9M $296.6M $11.19B $2.23B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.41B $1.17B $1.10B $454.5M $17.29B $4.05B

3. AGCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AGCO Corporation (NYSE: AGCO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $110.91 (+2.85% 1D, market cap $7.65B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AGCO ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AGCO compare to RAL and ZWS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), AGCO carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.4x, gross margin of 25.5%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, RAL (Ralliant Corporation) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.44B) and ZWS (Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $7.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while ZWS leads on capital efficiency (12.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGCO?

Per AGCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000880266), AGCO Corporation generated $10.08B in revenue (-13.5% YoY), $726.5M in net income, and $740.2M in free cash flow against $11.93B in total assets and $2.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AGCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGCO last traded at $110.91 (+2.85% on volume of 848,776 shares), positioning the stock -2.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($113.98) and -4.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($116.29). Across its 52-week range of $98.22 to $143.78, AGCO sits at the 27.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($100.93 to $120.89).

AGCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AGCO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, AGCO Corporation (AGCO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is AGCO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9% event move for AGCO, spanning a range between $100.93 and $120.89.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AGCO — AGCO Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:18:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AGCO scores 58 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 8.2% and an FCF yield of 9.8%. Returns on capital are positive but modest, and the cash yield is the strongest element here, which suggests the stock's valuation is supported by cash generation rather than by reported earnings growth.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. A score below midpoint indicates limited evidence of sustained institutional buying conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the highest pillar and reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is a relative strength in the rating, though the underlying trade-level detail is not included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.08 and sector sensitivity. A beta slightly above 1.0 means the stock has tended to move a bit more than the broader market, which increases exposure to macro swings.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.48, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54. These are generally supportive readings of financial health.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a mixed picture: a reasonable cash-yield and balance-sheet foundation, offset by weak institutional flow and a macro profile that amplifies market moves. Valuation metrics (P/E TTM of 10.4 and Forward P/E of 9.7 per the market data) appear low relative to the price, but the rating's verdict signals that fundamentals, on balance, do not yet justify a constructive stance. Upside drivers would need to come from improving operating margins and renewed institutional accumulation; the valuation tradeoff is that a low multiple can reflect expectations of continued earnings pressure.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
107.84$7.55B10.49.711.210.371.15%1.08$98.22 - $143.788.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$10082.0M$595.7M$726.5MN/A$740.2M$861.8M$2323.1M
FY 2024$11661.9M$-122.1M$-424.8MN/A$296.6M$612.7M$2233.3M
FY 2023$14412.4M$1700.4M$1171.4MN/A$454.5MN/A$4047.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods, from $14412.4M in FY 2023 to $10082.0M in FY 2025. Operating income and net income were negative in FY 2024 and turned positive in FY 2025 ($595.7M and $726.5M respectively). Per the market data, gross margin is 25.5%, operating margin is 5.9%, and net margin is 7.2%, with ROIC at 8.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.48 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt/Equity is 0.54 per the rating's forensic pillar, and reported debt has declined from $4047.0M in FY 2023 to $2323.1M in FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • What drove the revenue decline from $14412.4M in FY 2023 to $10082.0M in FY 2025, and is the recovery referenced in the news wire expected to reverse it?
  • What is the basis for the federal inquiry flagged in the RED risk item, and what is its potential scope?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A for all periods when net income and share data would typically support a per-share figure?
  • What are the specific guidance figures referenced in the "cut guidance" headline, and how do they compare with prior guidance?
  • What is the composition of institutional and insider holdings, given that the holders section is empty?

AGCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AGCO Corporation (AGCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AGCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AGCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $110.91?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AGCO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AGCO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $116.47 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AGCO (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $107.84?

Welcome to the AGCO (AGCO Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $87.35 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $107.84

Pump the brakes on AGCO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AGCO, but look at what you are paying: 10.4x trailing P/E with 25.5% gross margins. Unless AGCO Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $131.56 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $107.84

AGCO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AGCO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $107.84 (52-wk range $98.22 - $143.78), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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