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AECOM (ACM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$65.68 +3.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $65.99

AECOM (ACM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.15B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ACM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ACM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, AECOM (NYSE: ACM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $65.68 (+3.69% 1D, market cap $8.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ACM ranks #363 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACM compare to STN and TTEK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Military/Government/Technical), ACM carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of 7.5%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, STN (Stantec Inc) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.13B) and TTEK (Tetra Tech Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 30.6x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $9.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACM leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while ACM leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACM?
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Per ACM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000868857), AECOM generated $16.14B in revenue (+0.2% YoY), $561.8M in net income, and $684.9M in free cash flow against $11.94B in total assets and $4.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $65.99 (+0.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 4.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (12)Macro (7)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$142 Bull$66 Base$51 Bear
📬 FREE ACM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ACM SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.2% FCF Margin ($684.9M FCF) & 7.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$58.35+2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$59.49+4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$62.27+5.5% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$65.68+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ACM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, ACM faces multiple-compression risk if 14.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($62.03) or 200D SMA ($75.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($65.68) toward Bear Floor ($51.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ACM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ACM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $65.68: 152.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $51.23
$7,800
$-2,200 (-22.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $65.68
$10,000
+$0 (+0.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $142.30
$21,666
+$11,666 (+116.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$6874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$13469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$5858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ACM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ACM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.84%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $63.51H $65.68L $63.34C $65.68VOL 827.1K
RES: $68.43SUP: $54.31SMA50: $62.03SMA200: $75.62
$111.6$96.63$81.67$66.71$51.75RES $68.43SUP $54.31$65.682026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ACM Butterfly Map → + Track ACM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
6.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #363 of 1009 ⚔️ STN vs ACM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ACM vs. STN, TTEK, VSEC, WLDN)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AECOM (ACM) ranks #363 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #190 by equity capitalization ($8.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACM leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while ACM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and 7.5% gross margin. TTEK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with ACM at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ACM ACTIVE
AECOM
D+ 58/100 14.5x 7.5% 16.3% +3.69% $8.15B Benchmark Subject
STN
Stantec Inc
D+ 57/100 32.8x — 9.9% +5.49% $8.13B /stn-vs-acm →
TTEK
Tetra Tech Inc.
B+ 79/100 30.6x 17.7% 13.4% +2.38% $9.90B /ttek-vs-acm →
VSEC
VSE Corporation
D+ 52/100 — — 4.3% +8.37% $4.15B /vsec-vs-acm →
WLDN
Willdan Group Inc.
C 64/100 22.4x 37.5% 12.2% -2.13% $1.12B /wldn-vs-acm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000868857 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), AECOM (ACM) reported GAAP revenue of $16.14B (+0.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $16.11B , and +12.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $561.8M, operating cash flow of $821.6M, and free cash flow of $684.9M (-3.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACM closed FY2025 with $11.94B in total assets against $4.27B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.04, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $16.14B $561.8M $821.6M $684.9M $11.94B $4.27B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $16.11B $402.3M $827.5M $707.9M $11.82B $4.24B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $14.38B $55.3M $696.0M $48.9M $17.25B $4.04B

3. ACM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AECOM (NYSE: ACM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $65.68 (+3.69% 1D, market cap $8.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ACM ranks #363 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACM compare to STN and TTEK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Military/Government/Technical), ACM carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of 7.5%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, STN (Stantec Inc) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.13B) and TTEK (Tetra Tech Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 30.6x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $9.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACM leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while ACM leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACM?

Per ACM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000868857), AECOM generated $16.14B in revenue (+0.2% YoY), $561.8M in net income, and $684.9M in free cash flow against $11.94B in total assets and $4.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACM last traded at $65.68 (+3.69% on volume of 1,204,155 shares), positioning the stock +5.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($62.03) and -13.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($75.62). Across its 52-week range of $56.39 to $135.52, ACM sits at the 11.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($62.40 to $68.96).

Direct Sub-Reports: ACM RQD Cockpit ACM 12M Forecast ACM Earnings & Move ACM Dividends & DRIP ACM Insiders & 13F ACM Whale Options ACM Profit Sankey ACM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ACM — AECOM: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AECOM (ACM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $65.68 (+3.69% 1D, market capitalization $8.15B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.3%, gross margin of 7.5%, operating margin of 6.4%, and free cash flow yield of 8.38%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.99x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.04, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.79x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

AECOM (ACM) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Military/Government/Technical industry (and profile). The profile describes the company as operating in Military/Government/Technical with a market capitalization of $8.2B. —: specific product lines, customer base, or revenue-generation model beyond the sector and industry classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), AECOM (ACM) reported $16.14B in annual revenue (up from $16.11B in FY2024, +0.2% YoY) and $561.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($14.38B revenue, $55.3M net income) through FY2025, ACM scaled operating cash flow to $821.6M and free cash flow to $684.9M, backed by $11.94B in total assets against $4.27B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 58/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.38% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $56.39 – $135.52 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 14.5x trailing P/E and 9.6x EV/EBITDA against 6.4% operating margins and a 0.99x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Accordingly, the dossier cannot document upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or specific second-order bottlenecks. —: sector correlation coefficients or named peer dependencies. A prospective investor should note that the news feed's references to peer stocks trading down (in a StockStory headline) and to transportation leadership changes are the only ripple-type information available, and neither is quantified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can ACM sustain or expand its 6.4% operating margin and 16.3% ROIC against Military/Government/Technical peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $16.14B and free cash flow of $684.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.27B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ACM's 13.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.99x)?

ACM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AECOM (ACM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ACM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ACM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $65.68?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ACM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ACM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $79.18 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong insider-conviction signal (17/20) alongside a 16.3% ROIC and 8.38% FCF yield.

Don't sleep on ACM's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Strong insider-conviction signal (17/20) alongside a 16.3% ROIC and 8.38% FCF yield.. Beta of 0.99 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (58/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 14.5x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Military/Government/Technical. If gross margin (7.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $49.41 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $63.34

Weak macro-regime fit (7/20) and thin margins (3.5% net) leave the rating in Sell territory.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ACM: Weak macro-regime fit (7/20) and thin margins (3.5% net) leave the rating in Sell territory.. At 14.5x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Military/Government/Technical triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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