Should I buy, hold, or sell VSEC stock right now?

VSE Corporation (VSEC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 52/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is VSEC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

VSEC's 12-month base price target is $155.88 (range $121.59 to $260.24), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / VSEC

STN (57) ACM (58) TTEK (79) WLDN (64) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

VSE Corporation (VSEC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$160.21 +8.37% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $162.32

VSE Corporation (VSEC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.15B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on VSEC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VSEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, VSE Corporation (NASDAQ: VSEC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $160.21 (+8.37% 1D, market cap $4.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VSEC ranks #499 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VSEC compare to STN and ACM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Military/Government/Technical), VSEC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.3%. By comparison, STN (Stantec Inc) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.13B) and ACM (AECOM) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 16.3%, cap $8.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACM leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while ACM leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VSEC?

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Per VSEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000102752), VSE Corporation generated $1.11B in revenue (+41.5% YoY), $11.7M in net income, and $5.7M in free cash flow against $2.03B in total assets and $285.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $162.32 (+1.32%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VSEC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VSEC SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.78 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($5.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$158.65-3.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$153.67-4.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$146.11+9.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$160.21-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VSEC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VSEC currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($174.66) and Max Pain ($168.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $260.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VSEC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VSEC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

39.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

5.78>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE20% OF RANGE

L: $139$160.21H: $248

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on VSEC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

4.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 0.13% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 5.78 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (37)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like VSEC

✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VSEC)

✓Walkthrough of VSEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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VSEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.70%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $155.0H $160.2L $147.8C $160.2VOL 364.0K

RES: $263.8SUP: $133.2SMA50: $174.7SMA200: $194.9

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VSEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VSEC Butterfly Map → + Track VSEC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

38.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +41.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VSEC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VSEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VSEC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VSEC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #499 of 1009 ⚔️ STN vs VSEC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VSEC vs. STN, ACM, TTEK, WLDN)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, VSE Corporation (VSEC) ranks #499 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #303 by equity capitalization ($4.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACM leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while ACM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and 7.5% gross margin. TTEK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with VSEC at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VSEC ACTIVE VSE Corporation	D+	52/100	—	—	4.3%	+8.37%	$4.15B	Benchmark Subject
STN Stantec Inc	D+	57/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+5.49%	$8.13B	/stn-vs-vsec →
ACM AECOM	D+	58/100	14.5x	7.5%	16.3%	+3.69%	$8.15B	/acm-vs-vsec →
TTEK Tetra Tech Inc.	B+	79/100	30.6x	17.7%	13.4%	+2.38%	$9.90B	/ttek-vs-vsec →
WLDN Willdan Group Inc.	C	64/100	22.4x	37.5%	12.2%	-2.13%	$1.12B	/wldn-vs-vsec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000102752 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), VSE Corporation (VSEC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.11B (+41.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $786.3M , and +104.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $11.7M, operating cash flow of $27.0M, and free cash flow of $5.7M (+111.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, VSEC closed FY2025 with $2.03B in total assets against $285.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.78, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.11B	$11.7M	$27.0M	$5.7M	$2.03B	$285.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$786.3M	$15.3M	-$31.0M	-$51.7M	$1.74B	$400.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$544.0M	$39.1M	-$21.8M	-$46.3M	$2.39B	$559.9M

3. VSEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VSEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does VSEC compare to STN and ACM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VSEC?

Where is VSEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VSEC last traded at $160.21 (+8.37% on volume of 484,955 shares), positioning the stock -8.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($174.66) and -17.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($194.93). Across its 52-week range of $138.85 to $247.85, VSEC sits at the 19.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.3% ($140.50 to $179.92).

Direct Sub-Reports: VSEC RQD Cockpit VSEC 12M Forecast VSEC Earnings & Move VSEC Dividends & DRIP VSEC Insiders & 13F VSEC Whale Options VSEC Profit Sankey VSEC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VSEC — VSE Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

VSE Corporation (VSEC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $160.21 (+8.37% 1D, market capitalization $4.15B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 8.1%, and free cash flow yield of 0.13%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.03x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.78, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.20x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

VSE Corporation (VSEC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Military/Government/Technical industry. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. — for the specific offerings and customer base. The financials section shows revenue of $1.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), VSE Corporation (VSEC) reported $1.11B in annual revenue (up from $786.3M in FY2024, +41.5% YoY) and $11.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($544.0M revenue, $39.1M net income) through FY2025, VSEC scaled operating cash flow to $27.0M and free cash flow to $5.7M, backed by $2.03B in total assets against $285.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 52/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 0.13% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $138.85 – $247.85 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 42.4x EV/EBITDA against 8.1% operating margins and a 1.03x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is "NONE," butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links is a gap in the data, not evidence of independence.

Key Question #1: Can VSEC sustain or expand its 8.1% operating margin and 4.3% ROIC against Military/Government/Technical peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.11B and free cash flow of $5.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $285.3M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is VSEC's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.03x)?

VSEC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for VSE Corporation (VSEC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VSEC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

VSE Corp. (VSEC) Positioned for Margin Expansion and Market Share Gains in Aviation Services

Yahoo Finance report covering VSE Corporation (VSEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago

VSE Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $257.11, Implies 59% Upside

TradingView report covering VSE Corporation (VSEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

VSE (VSEC) Posted Record Results And Raised Guidance, Is It Fully Priced?

Yahoo Finance report covering VSE Corporation (VSEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Titan • 1d ago

VSE's chief executive will speak in Chicago and New York this November.

Stock Titan report covering VSE Corporation (VSEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH kalkine.ca • 1d ago

Why Is VSE Corp (NASDAQ:VSEC) Falling After Raising Guidance?

kalkine.ca report covering VSE Corporation (VSEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

VSE (NasdaqGS:VSEC) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering VSE Corporation (VSEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH StockStory • 1d ago

2 Volatile Stocks to Consider Right Now and 1 We Find Risky

StockStory report covering VSE Corporation (VSEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

VSE Corporation, Viavi Solutions, Moog, Bloom Energy, and Comfort Systems stocks trade up, what you need to know

Yahoo Finance report covering VSE Corporation (VSEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VSEC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $160.21?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VSEC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $177.40 (+20.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with Altman Z 5.78, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.2, while FY 2025 revenue reached $1.11B an

Long VSEC at $147.83 targeting $177.40. Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with Altman Z 5.78, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.2, while FY 2025 revenue reached $1.11B and debt fell from $559.9M to $285.3M.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $138.85 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — VSEC's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $115.31 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $147.83

ROIC of 4.3%, FCF yield of 0.13%, and whale/13F flow scoring only 5/20 point to weak cash returns and thin institutional support agains

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on VSEC: ROIC of 4.3%, FCF yield of 0.13%, and whale/13F flow scoring only 5/20 point to weak cash returns and thin institutional support against an EV/EBITDA of 42.4.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Military/Government/Technical triggers a 12-15% air pocket.