Stock Ratings / Industrials / ACHR / earnings

AIR (50) BETA (43) JOBY (38) AVEX (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.3% Move

$4.20 -4.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.16

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $3.41B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ACHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $4.20 (-4.11% 1D, market cap $3.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ACHR ranks #387 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACHR compare to AIR and BETA in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), ACHR carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AIR (AAR Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 22.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.20B) and BETA (Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACHR?

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Per ACHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001824502), Archer Aviation Inc. generated $300.0K in revenue, -$618.2M in net income, and -$511.7M in free cash flow against $2.47B in total assets and $79.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.16 (-0.93%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ACHR SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 10% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$4.44-10.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.98+6.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$4.23-0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$4.20-8.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ACHR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ACHR currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.98) and Max Pain ($4.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACHR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ACHR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.3% Swing Band

±$0.47 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ACHR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 33/100

Trailing EPS: $-0.79 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.3%

Model Bullish Setup (33/100)Model Risk Weight (67/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$300.0K	-$618.2M	-$511.7M	33.3%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	-$536.8M	-$450.6M	33.3%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$457.9M	-$271.6M	33.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACHR)

✓Walkthrough of ACHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ACHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.21%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $4.34H $4.38L $4.20C $4.20VOL 16.25M

RES: $7.50SUP: $3.62SMA50: $4.98SMA200: $5.77

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ACHR Butterfly Map → + Track ACHR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACHR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACHR)

Industrials Rank #387 of 485 ⚔️ AIR vs ACHR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ACHR vs. AIR, BETA, JOBY, AVEX)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) ranks #387 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #174 by equity capitalization ($3.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIR leads on earnings valuation at 22.4x trailing P/E, while AIR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and 18.8% gross margin. AIR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with ACHR at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ACHR ACTIVE Archer Aviation Inc.	E	33/100	—	33.3%	-35.0%	-4.11%	$3.41B	Benchmark Subject
AIR AAR Corp.	D	50/100	22.4x	18.8%	12.0%	-4.08%	$4.20B	/air-vs-achr →
BETA Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)	D-	43/100	—	72.2%	-35.0%	-2.53%	$4.81B	/beta-vs-achr →
JOBY Joby Aviation Inc.	D-	38/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.54%	$5.05B	/joby-vs-achr →
AVEX AEVEX Corp. (Class A)	D	47/100	—	—	—	-9.01%	$1.70B	/avex-vs-achr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001824502

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) reported GAAP revenue of $300.0K (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$618.2M, operating cash flow of -$432.9M, and free cash flow of -$511.7M (-13.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACHR closed FY2025 with $2.47B in total assets against $79.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.45, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$300.0K	-$618.2M	-$432.9M	-$511.7M	$2.47B	$79.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$536.8M	-$368.6M	-$450.6M	$1.00B	$64.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$457.9M	-$271.6M	-$271.6M	$1.87B	$438.7M

3. ACHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ACHR compare to AIR and BETA in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACHR?

Where is ACHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACHR last traded at $4.20 (-4.11% on volume of 18,997,813 shares), positioning the stock -15.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.98) and -27.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.77). Across its 52-week range of $3.68 to $11.09, ACHR sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($3.73 to $4.67).

ACHR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ACHR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ACHR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.3% event move for ACHR, spanning a range between $3.73 and $4.67.

Direct Sub-Reports: ACHR RQD Cockpit ACHR 12M Forecast ACHR Earnings & Move ACHR Dividends & DRIP ACHR Insiders & 13F ACHR Whale Options ACHR Profit Sankey ACHR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ACHR — Archer Aviation Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ACHR scores 33 out of 100, grade E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -35% and FCF yield is -15.01%. For an investor, this pillar signals that the business is consuming capital rather than generating it; the reported net margin of -60% (per market data) confirms the cash burn is not a timing quirk but a structural feature of current operations.
Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. The RQD rating describes this as institutional accumulation and options positioning. The pillar is below midpoint, indicating limited institutional conviction relative to the other inputs.
Insider Conviction: 4 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates weak insider-side signal; no insider transaction detail is present in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 4 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 0.9 and sector sensitivity is weighted here. A sub-0.9-beta profile means the stock is not strongly amplifying broad market moves, but the score still reflects poor fit with the current regime as scored.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 6.45, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.04. The balance sheet is the strongest pillar: low leverage and a high Altman Z provide solvency cushion, but the weak Piotroski score flags deteriorating fundamentals beneath that cushion.

Investor implications: The composite rating points to a stock where the balance sheet offers runway while operating economics remain deeply negative. Upside would require evidence that cash burn is narrowing relative to the cash base; the source data does not show a turn. A forward P/E of 18 (per market data) is listed alongside negative trailing EPS of -0.79, meaning forward valuation rests on earnings expectations not supported by reported trailing results. A prospective investor should weigh the gap between the rating's forensic caution and the market's forward-looking multiple.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.3M	$-729.3M	$-618.2M	N/A	$-511.7M	$1021.5M	$79.5M
FY 2024	$0.0M	$-509.7M	$-536.8M	N/A	$-450.6M	$834.5M	$64.0M
FY 2023	$0.0M	$-446.9M	$-457.9M	N/A	$-271.6M	N/A	$438.7M

Per the SEC financials, operating losses widened from $-446.9M (FY 2023) to $-729.3M (FY 2025), with free cash flow remaining negative in every reported period. Per market data, the operating margin is -60% and the net margin is -60%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 6.45 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9. Debt rose from $438.7M (FY 2023) to $79.5M (FY 2025), while reported cash was $1021.5M at FY 2025; the balance sheet posture is low-leverage on the reported Debt/Equity of 0.04.

Open Questions

What is the revenue trajectory and commercial pipeline underlying the $0.3M FY 2025 revenue, and when does operating cash burn plausibly narrow?
What is the terms and status of the planned acquisition referenced in the news wire?
What drove the price decline flagged in the most recent risk-watch headline, and is it company-specific or sector-wide?
What analyst price targets and rating consensus exist, given that analyst data is empty in the source?
What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) positioning exists, given that holder data is empty in the source?

ACHR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ACHR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 9h ago

Archer Aviation (ACHR) Stock Dropped, So What Is Driving Attention Now?

Yahoo Finance report covering Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool • 12h ago

Prediction: Here's What a $5,000 Investment in Archer Aviation Will Be Worth in 3 Years

The Motley Fool report covering Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 15h ago

What Is Driving The Move In Archer Aviation Stock?

Trefis report covering Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 18h ago

ACHR Stock Rises Overnight: Archer Aviation’s Defense Ambitions Have Barclays Turning Bullish With 69% Upside

TradingView report covering Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Archer Aviation (ACHR) Stock May Trade At A Discount Despite Its Planned Acquisition

Yahoo Finance report covering Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool • 1d ago

Why Archer Aviation Stock Took Flight on Tuesday

The Motley Fool report covering Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago

Five-Star Investor Warns on Archer Aviation Stock

TradingView report covering Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Archer Aviation Stock Is Down Roughly 50% This Year. Here's Why I'm Still Buying.

Yahoo Finance report covering Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ACHR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.20?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ACHR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.85 (-12.1%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ACHR (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $4.38?

Welcome to the ACHR (Archer Aviation Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Aerospace. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.55 (-18.9%)

Spot @ $4.38

Pump the brakes on ACHR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ACHR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 33.3% gross margins. Unless Archer Aviation Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.34 (+21.9%)

Spot @ $4.38

ACHR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ACHR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Aerospace and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.38 (52-wk range $3.68 - $11.09), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.