What is ABG's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ABG.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ABG / options

GPI (65) OPLN (63) RUSHA (61) AN (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$206.67 +4.36% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $207.90

Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.56B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ABG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Asbury Automotive Group Inc (NYSE: ABG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $206.67 (+4.36% 1D, market cap $3.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ABG ranks #586 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ABG compare to GPI and OPLN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), ABG carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.3x, gross margin of 17.1%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, GPI (Group 1 Automotive Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 9.5x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $3.12B) and OPLN (OPENLANE Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $4.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABG leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while GPI leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABG?

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Per ABG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001144980), Asbury Automotive Group Inc generated $18.00B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $492.0M in net income, and -$34.8M in free cash flow against $11.62B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $207.89 (+0.59%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ABG SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 17.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.60 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (64.1) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$161.97+1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$164.05+18% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$193.53+6.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$206.67-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABG currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($188.08) and Max Pain ($217.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $271.69.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ABG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ABG)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ABG.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABG)

✓Walkthrough of ABG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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ABG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.89%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $199.3H $206.7L $198.0C $206.7VOL 362.1K

RES: $207.1SUP: $155.0SMA50: $188.1SMA200: $203.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ABG Butterfly Map → + Track ABG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

-7.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #586 of 1011 ⚔️ GPI vs ABG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ABG vs. GPI, OPLN, RUSHA, AN)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) ranks #586 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #332 by equity capitalization ($3.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABG leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while GPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.0% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. GPI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with ABG at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ABG ACTIVE Asbury Automotive Group Inc	D	48/100	7.3x	17.1%	14.0%	+4.36%	$3.56B	Benchmark Subject
GPI Group 1 Automotive Inc.	C	65/100	9.5x	16.0%	21.0%	+3.45%	$3.12B	/gpi-vs-abg →
OPLN OPENLANE Inc.	C	63/100	26.6x	—	9.5%	+1.51%	$4.76B	/opln-vs-abg →
RUSHA Rush Enterprises Inc. Cl A	C-	61/100	19.1x	20.7%	13.7%	+3.47%	$5.02B	/rusha-vs-abg →
AN AutoNation Inc.	D	44/100	8.6x	17.9%	18.9%	+3.49%	$5.94B	/an-vs-abg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001144980

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) reported GAAP revenue of $18.00B (+4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.19B , and +21.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $492.0M, operating cash flow of $775.2M, and free cash flow of -$34.8M (+66.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABG closed FY2025 with $11.62B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.60, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$18.00B	$492.0M	$775.2M	-$34.8M	$11.62B	$2.72B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$17.19B	$430.3M	$671.2M	-$102.3M	$10.34B	$2.42B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$14.80B	$602.5M	$313.0M	-$353.1M	$17.76B	$4.16B

3. ABG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ABG compare to GPI and OPLN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABG?

Where is ABG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABG last traded at $206.67 (+4.36% on volume of 489,594 shares), positioning the stock +9.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($188.08) and +1.71% above its 200-day simple moving average ($203.20). Across its 52-week range of $160.30 to $258.75, ABG sits at the 47.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($188.69 to $224.65).

Direct Sub-Reports: ABG RQD Cockpit ABG 12M Forecast ABG Earnings & Move ABG Dividends & DRIP ABG Insiders & 13F ABG Whale Options ABG Profit Sankey ABG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ABG — Asbury Automotive Group Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $206.67 (+4.36% 1D, market capitalization $3.56B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.0%, gross margin of 17.1%, operating margin of 4.8%, and free cash flow yield of -0.97%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.60, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.60x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations industry. The source data identifies the company's sector and industry but does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model in detail. — for specific product lines, customer segments, or the company's specific revenue mix. The reported gross margin of 17.1% and net margin of 2.7% are consistent with a retail-oriented business, but the source does not explicitly describe how it makes money.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) reported $18.00B in annual revenue (up from $17.19B in FY2024, +4.7% YoY) and $492.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($14.80B revenue, $602.5M net income) through FY2025, ABG scaled operating cash flow to $775.2M and free cash flow to -$34.8M, backed by $11.62B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.97% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $160.30 – $258.75 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 7.3x trailing P/E and 3.5x EV/EBITDA against 4.8% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is therefore — Sector correlation data is likewise — A prospective investor should watch for second-order effects from the consumer discretionary and auto-retail cycle, as the rating's macro-regime pillar (3/20, beta 1.

Key Question #1: Can ABG sustain or expand its 4.8% operating margin and 14.0% ROIC against Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $18.00B and free cash flow of -$34.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.72B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is ABG's 6.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?

ABG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ABG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 21h ago

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) Stock Down 4.7% -- Now Underva

GuruFocus report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Asbury Automotive Group (NYSE:ABG) Stock Price Target Lowered at Morgan Stanley

MarketBeat report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:ABG) 2026-10-27

Seeking Alpha report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

What Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Yahoo Finance report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

U.S. News rated Asbury Automotive among the top 25% across 14 industries for workplace factors.

Stock Titan report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) Stock Rebounds After Q3 Earnings Misses Persist

Simply Wall St report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Is Asbury Automotive (ABG) Using Mega-Dealership Investments To Redefine Its Competitive Edge?

Yahoo Finance report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ABG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $206.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ABG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $257.44 (+30.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Valuation looks inexpensive at a 7.3 TTM P/E and 3.5 EV/EBITDA alongside a 14% ROIC.

Here is why I am bullish on ABG here at $198.03: Valuation looks inexpensive at a 7.3 TTM P/E and 3.5 EV/EBITDA alongside a 14% ROIC.. Compare ABG's 4.8% operating margin and 14.0% ROIC against the rest of Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $188.13 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 7.3x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations. If gross margin (17.1%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $160.40 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $198.03

Negative free cash flow in all three reported periods and a Beta of 1.16 leave the macro-regime pillar at just 3 of 20.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ABG above $198.03. Negative free cash flow in all three reported periods and a Beta of 1.16 leave the macro-regime pillar at just 3 of 20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (-0.97%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $258.75.