Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ABG Stock surged +4.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ABG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-03, Asbury Automotive Group Inc (NYSE: ABG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $206.67 (+4.36% 1D, market cap $3.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ABG ranks #584 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ABG compare to GPI and OPLN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), ABG carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.3x, gross margin of 17.1%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, GPI (Group 1 Automotive Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 9.5x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $3.12B) and OPLN (OPENLANE Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $4.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABG leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while GPI leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABG?
▼
Per ABG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001144980), Asbury Automotive Group Inc generated $18.00B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $492.0M in net income, and -$34.8M in free cash flow against $11.62B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 17.1% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 2.60 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (64.1) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABG Turnaround Squeeze
While ABG currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($188.08) and Max Pain ($217.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $271.69.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ABG Stock surged +4.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) surged +4.36% to $206.67, trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($160.3 – $258.75). Stretched risk/reward at 7x P/E (14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($160.3 – $258.75) with RSI-14 at 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.7% around $206.67 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 17.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
GuruFocus report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ATLANTA, October 29, 2026--Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABG), one of the largest automotive retail and service companies in the U.S., announced that it has been named by U.S. News & World Report as one of the 202
Barclays analyst John Babcock maintains Asbury Automotive Group (NYSE:ABG) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $230 to $220.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABG)
- ✓Walkthrough of ABG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ABG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABG)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ABG vs. GPI, OPLN, RUSHA, AN)
Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) ranks #584 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #330 by equity capitalization ($3.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABG leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while GPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.0% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. GPI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with ABG at 48/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABG
ACTIVE
Asbury Automotive Group Inc | D | 48/100 | 7.3x | 17.1% | 14.0% | +4.36% | $3.56B | Benchmark Subject |
| GPI Group 1 Automotive Inc. | C | 65/100 | 9.5x | 16.0% | 21.0% | +3.45% | $3.12B | /gpi-vs-abg → |
| OPLN OPENLANE Inc. | C | 63/100 | 26.6x | — | 9.5% | +1.51% | $4.76B | /opln-vs-abg → |
| RUSHA Rush Enterprises Inc. Cl A | C- | 61/100 | 19.1x | 20.7% | 13.7% | +3.47% | $5.02B | /rusha-vs-abg → |
| AN AutoNation Inc. | D | 44/100 | 8.6x | 17.9% | 18.9% | +3.49% | $5.94B | /an-vs-abg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001144980 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) reported GAAP revenue of $18.00B (+4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.19B , and +21.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $492.0M, operating cash flow of $775.2M, and free cash flow of -$34.8M (+66.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABG closed FY2025 with $11.62B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.60, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $18.00B | $492.0M | $775.2M | -$34.8M | $11.62B | $2.72B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $17.19B | $430.3M | $671.2M | -$102.3M | $10.34B | $2.42B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $14.80B | $602.5M | $313.0M | -$353.1M | $17.76B | $4.16B |
3. ABG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ABG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Asbury Automotive Group Inc (NYSE: ABG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $206.67 (+4.36% 1D, market cap $3.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ABG ranks #584 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ABG compare to GPI and OPLN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), ABG carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.3x, gross margin of 17.1%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, GPI (Group 1 Automotive Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 9.5x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $3.12B) and OPLN (OPENLANE Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $4.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABG leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while GPI leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABG?
Per ABG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001144980), Asbury Automotive Group Inc generated $18.00B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $492.0M in net income, and -$34.8M in free cash flow against $11.62B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ABG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ABG last traded at $206.67 (+4.36% on volume of 489,594 shares), positioning the stock +9.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($188.08) and +1.71% above its 200-day simple moving average ($203.20). Across its 52-week range of $160.30 to $258.75, ABG sits at the 47.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($188.69 to $224.65).
ABG — Asbury Automotive Group Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $206.67 (+4.36% 1D, market capitalization $3.56B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.0%, gross margin of 17.1%, operating margin of 4.8%, and free cash flow yield of -0.97%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.60, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.60x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations industry. The source data identifies the company's sector and industry but does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model in detail. — for specific product lines, customer segments, or the company's specific revenue mix. The reported gross margin of 17.1% and net margin of 2.7% are consistent with a retail-oriented business, but the source does not explicitly describe how it makes money.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) reported $18.00B in annual revenue (up from $17.19B in FY2024, +4.7% YoY) and $492.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($14.80B revenue, $602.5M net income) through FY2025, ABG scaled operating cash flow to $775.2M and free cash flow to -$34.8M, backed by $11.62B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.97% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $160.30 – $258.75 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 7.3x trailing P/E and 3.5x EV/EBITDA against 4.8% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is therefore — Sector correlation data is likewise — A prospective investor should watch for second-order effects from the consumer discretionary and auto-retail cycle, as the rating's macro-regime pillar (3/20, beta 1.
- Key Question #1: Can ABG sustain or expand its 4.8% operating margin and 14.0% ROIC against Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $18.00B and free cash flow of -$34.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.72B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ABG's 6.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?
ABG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ABG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $206.67?
Valuation looks inexpensive at a 7.3 TTM P/E and 3.5 EV/EBITDA alongside a 14% ROIC.
Here is why I am bullish on ABG here at $198.03: Valuation looks inexpensive at a 7.3 TTM P/E and 3.5 EV/EBITDA alongside a 14% ROIC.. Compare ABG's 4.8% operating margin and 14.0% ROIC against the rest of Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $188.13 are getting bought.
@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 7.3x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations. If gross margin (17.1%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Negative free cash flow in all three reported periods and a Beta of 1.16 leave the macro-regime pillar at just 3 of 20.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ABG above $198.03. Negative free cash flow in all three reported periods and a Beta of 1.16 leave the macro-regime pillar at just 3 of 20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (-0.97%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $258.75.