Are ABEV insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ABEV leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / ABEV / insiders

FMX (68) KDP (65) CCEP (71) DEO (69) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$2.69 +1.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.69

Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $41.93B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ABEV Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ABEV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Ambev S.A. American (NYSE: ABEV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $2.69 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $41.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, ABEV ranks #64 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ABEV compare to FMX and KDP in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), ABEV carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, FMX (Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $42.96B) and KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $48.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDP leads on earnings multiple (23.1x) while ABEV leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABEV?

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For Ambev S.A. American (ABEV), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #64 in Consumer Staples, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.69 (+0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 15.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABEV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ABEV SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$3.25+0.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$3.27-15% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$2.78-3.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$2.69-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABEV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABEV currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.01) and Max Pain ($2.82) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.62.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABEV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ABEV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ABEV Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ABEV)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ABEV. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABEV)

✓Walkthrough of ABEV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ABEV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.24%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $2.67H $2.69L $2.66C $2.69VOL 33.34M

RES: $3.35SUP: $2.62SMA50: $3.01SMA200: $3.02

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABEV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ABEV Butterfly Map → + Track ABEV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABEV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABEV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABEV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABEV)

Consumer Staples Rank #64 of 146 ⚔️ FMX vs ABEV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (ABEV vs. FMX, KDP, CCEP, DEO)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) ranks #64 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #16 by equity capitalization ($41.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KDP leads on earnings valuation at 23.1x trailing P/E, while ABEV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CCEP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with ABEV at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ABEV ACTIVE Ambev S.A. American	D+	53/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.13%	$41.93B	Benchmark Subject
FMX Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V.	C+	68/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+0.87%	$42.96B	/fmx-vs-abev →
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.	C	65/100	23.1x	54.2%	7.5%	+2.73%	$48.77B	/kdp-vs-abev →
CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc	B-	71/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+2.08%	$51.40B	/ccep-vs-abev →
DEO Diageo plc	C+	69/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+4.48%	$52.01B	/deo-vs-abev →

2. ABEV Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) operates in Beverages (Production/Distribution) (Consumer Staples) with an equity capitalization of $41.93B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. ABEV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABEV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ABEV compare to FMX and KDP in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABEV?

Where is ABEV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABEV last traded at $2.69 (+1.13% on volume of 15,911,964 shares), positioning the stock -10.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.01) and -10.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.02). Across its 52-week range of $2.28 to $3.45, ABEV sits at the 35.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($2.53 to $2.85).

Direct Sub-Reports: ABEV RQD Cockpit ABEV 12M Forecast ABEV Earnings & Move ABEV Dividends & DRIP ABEV Insiders & 13F ABEV Whale Options ABEV Profit Sankey ABEV News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ABEV — Ambev S.A. American: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:55Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ABEV scores 53 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D+ and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 11 of 20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%), suggesting modest returns on invested capital and a thin free-cash-flow yield relative to the price. Whale/13F Flow scores 5 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, the weakest pillar and a signal of limited smart-money support in the source data. Insider Conviction scores 12 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 9 of 20, reflecting a beta of 1.14 and sector sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet is the strongest pillar at 16 of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 3.74, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on balance-sheet resilience, while the valuation tradeoff is significant: the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 32.8 and an EV/EBITDA of 21 against a free-cash-flow yield of only 2.21%. The rating's verdict reflects that weak cash-generation and flow signals outweigh the balance-sheet strength. This is an analytical framing of the source data, not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in the Beverages (Production/Distribution) industry,..1B. Revenue streams, customer base, and monetization model are —

Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9%, net margin is 10.9%, and gross margin is reported as 0%. ROIC is 9.9%, and the FCF yield is 2.21%. The Altman Z-Score is 3.74, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.39, which together describe a balance sheet the rating treats as forensically sound. The gross margin figure of 0% is reported without accompanying financial statements to contextualize it.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Forensic balance-sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) is the rating's strongest pillar at 16 of 20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 9.9%, FCF yield 2.21%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $2.28 – $3.45 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: A 2.21% FCF yield, 32.8 P/E (TTM), and a 5/20 whale-flow score point to weak cash generation and limited institutional support. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.14 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are —

Key Question #1: What explains the reported 0% gross margin alongside a 13.9% operating margin?
Key Question #2: What is the analyst consensus rating and price target distribution?
Key Question #3: Which institutional holders, insiders, or Congressional traders are behind the 5/20 whale-flow and 12/20 insider-conviction scores?

ABEV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ABEV Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH SeekingAlpha • 2d ago

Ambev Q3: The Day After The Hangover (Rating Downgrade)

I downgrade Ambev from buy to hold due to weak operational trends and limited upside versus sector peers.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE SeekingAlpha • 3d ago

Ambev: The Post-Election Selloff Has Created A More Compelling Buying Opportunity

Ambev remains a Buy, with post-election volatility creating a compelling entry point amid resilient fundamentals. Discover more about the ABEV stock here.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 4d ago

Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Ambev, Lowers Price Target to $3

Barclays analyst Benjamin Theurer maintains Ambev (NYSE:ABEV) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $3.5 to $3.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago

Ambev Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Ambev (NYSE:ABEV) reported third-quarter growth in volume, revenue, profitability and normalized earnings, as the brewer cited portfolio gains, commercial execution and cost discipline across its markets. Chief Executive

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago

Ambev (ABEV) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Brand equity hits five-year record as organic revenue grows 7.6% and margins expand.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH SeekingAlpha • 4d ago

Ambev S.A. (ABEV) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Ambev S.A. (ABEV) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 29, 2026 11:30 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsCarlos Eduardo Lisboa - CEO & Member of Board of Executive...

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 4d ago

Ambev Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Ambev (NYSE:ABEV) reported third-quarter financial results on Thursday. The transcript from the company’s third-quarter earnings call has been provided below.This transcript is brought to you by Benzinga APIs. For

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Fintel • 4d ago

Ambev S.A. Board Approves Share Buyback Program of Up to 190,000,000 Common Shares

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ABEV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.69?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ABEV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.17 (+19.2%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance-sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) is the rating's strongest pillar at 16 of 20.

Don't sleep on ABEV's setup in Consumer Staples. Forensic balance-sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) is the rating's strongest pillar at 16 of 20.. Beta of 1.14 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (53/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ABEV's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.26 (-15.0%)

Spot @ $2.66

A 2.21% FCF yield, 32.8 P/E (TTM), and a 5/20 whale-flow score point to weak cash generation and limited institutional support.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ABEV: A 2.21% FCF yield, 32.8 P/E (TTM), and a 5/20 whale-flow score point to weak cash generation and limited institutional support.. At 32.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Beverages (Production/Distribution) triggers a 12-15% air pocket.