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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / ABEV / earnings
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Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.1% Move

$2.69 +1.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.69

Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $41.93B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ABEV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ambev S.A. American (NYSE: ABEV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $2.69 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $41.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, ABEV ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ABEV compare to FMX and KDP in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), ABEV carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, FMX (Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $42.96B) and KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $48.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDP leads on earnings multiple (23.1x) while ABEV leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABEV?
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For Ambev S.A. American (ABEV), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #65 in Consumer Staples, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.69 (+0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$4 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE ABEV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABEV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ABEV SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$3.25+0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$3.27-15% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$2.78-3.2% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$2.69-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABEV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABEV currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.01) and Max Pain ($2.82) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.62.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABEV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ABEV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.1% Swing Band

±$0.16 Expected Swing
$2.53 (-6.1%)Spot $2.69$2.85 (+6.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ABEV Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $0.08 • YoY Revenue Growth: 14.3%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABEV)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ABEV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ABEV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.24%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.67H $2.69L $2.66C $2.69VOL 33.34M
RES: $3.35SUP: $2.62SMA50: $3.01SMA200: $3.02
$3.51$3.26$3.00$2.75$2.49RES $3.35SUP $2.62$2.692026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABEV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ABEV Butterfly Map → + Track ABEV →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABEV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABEV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABEV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABEV)

Consumer Staples Rank #65 of 147 ⚔️ FMX vs ABEV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (ABEV vs. FMX, KDP, CCEP, DEO)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) ranks #65 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #17 by equity capitalization ($41.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KDP leads on earnings valuation at 23.1x trailing P/E, while ABEV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CCEP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with ABEV at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ABEV ACTIVE
Ambev S.A. American
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.13% $41.93B Benchmark Subject
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V.
C+ 68/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.87% $42.96B /fmx-vs-abev →
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
C 65/100 23.1x 54.2% 7.5% +2.73% $48.77B /kdp-vs-abev →
CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc
B- 71/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.08% $51.40B /ccep-vs-abev →
DEO
Diageo plc
C+ 69/100 32.8x — 9.9% +4.48% $52.01B /deo-vs-abev →

2. ABEV Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) operates in Beverages (Production/Distribution) (Consumer Staples) with an equity capitalization of $41.93B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. ABEV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABEV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ambev S.A. American (NYSE: ABEV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $2.69 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $41.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, ABEV ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABEV compare to FMX and KDP in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), ABEV carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, FMX (Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $42.96B) and KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $48.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDP leads on earnings multiple (23.1x) while ABEV leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABEV?

For Ambev S.A. American (ABEV), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #65 in Consumer Staples, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABEV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABEV last traded at $2.69 (+1.13% on volume of 15,911,964 shares), positioning the stock -10.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.01) and -10.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.02). Across its 52-week range of $2.28 to $3.45, ABEV sits at the 35.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($2.53 to $2.85).

Direct Sub-Reports: ABEV RQD Cockpit ABEV 12M Forecast ABEV Earnings & Move ABEV Dividends & DRIP ABEV Insiders & 13F ABEV Whale Options ABEV Profit Sankey ABEV News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ABEV — Ambev S.A. American: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.69 (+1.13% 1D, market capitalization $41.93B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.14x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in the Beverages (Production/Distribution) industry,..1B.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.28 – $3.45 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.14x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Beverages (Production/Distribution) (Consumer Staples), ABEV carries a macro regime beta of 1.14 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can ABEV sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Beverages (Production/Distribution) peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $3.45 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ABEV's 27.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.14x)?

ABEV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ambev S.A. American (ABEV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ABEV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago
Ambev Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Ambev (NYSE:ABEV) reported third-quarter growth in volume, revenue, profitability and normalized earnings, as the brewer cited portfolio gains, commercial execution and cost discipline across its markets. Chief Executive

Read Full Source ↗
🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 4d ago
Ambev Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Ambev (NYSE:ABEV) reported third-quarter financial results on Thursday. The transcript from the company’s third-quarter earnings call has been provided below.This transcript is brought to you by Benzinga APIs. For

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ABEV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.69?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ABEV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ABEV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.17 (+19.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance-sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) is the rating's strongest pillar at 16 of 20.

Don't sleep on ABEV's setup in Consumer Staples. Forensic balance-sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) is the rating's strongest pillar at 16 of 20.. Beta of 1.14 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (53/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ABEV's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.26 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $2.66

A 2.21% FCF yield, 32.8 P/E (TTM), and a 5/20 whale-flow score point to weak cash generation and limited institutional support.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ABEV: A 2.21% FCF yield, 32.8 P/E (TTM), and a 5/20 whale-flow score point to weak cash generation and limited institutional support.. At 32.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Beverages (Production/Distribution) triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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