Should I buy, hold, or sell TLN stock right now?

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 41/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TLN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TLN's 12-month base price target is $307.52 (range $239.87 to $472.33), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Utilities / TLN

EMA (65) BEP (56) NRG (47) KEP (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$332.99 -2.95% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $330.59

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $16.44B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TLN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Talen Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: TLN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $332.99 (-2.95% 1D, market cap $16.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, TLN ranks #90 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TLN compare to EMA and BEP in the Utilities sector?

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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), TLN carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.0%. By comparison, EMA (Emera Incorporated) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $15.14B) and BEP (Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $19.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NRG leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while NRG leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLN?

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Per TLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001622536), Talen Energy Corporation generated $2.52B in revenue (+60.0% YoY), -$219.0M in net income, and $606.0M in free cash flow against $10.90B in total assets and $6.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $330.59 (-0.72%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 24.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TLN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TLN SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.2) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$358.42+0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$359.49-3.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$347.75-4.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$332.99-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TLN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TLN currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($326.80) and Max Pain ($349.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $472.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TLN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TLN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

50.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.18>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE31% OF RANGE

L: $280$332.99H: $450

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on TLN

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

-1.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.63% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (30)

Altman-Z 1.18 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (42)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TLN

✓Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TLN)

✓Walkthrough of TLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.43%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $348.9H $348.9L $333.0C $333.0VOL 865.4K

RES: $397.2SUP: $243.6SMA50: $326.8SMA200: $349.1

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TLN Butterfly Map → + Track TLN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

21.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +60.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TLN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TLN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TLN)

Utilities Rank #90 of 116 ⚔️ EMA vs TLN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (TLN vs. EMA, BEP, NRG, KEP)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) ranks #90 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #36 by equity capitalization ($16.44B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NRG leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while NRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. EMA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TLN at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TLN ACTIVE Talen Energy Corporation	D-	41/100	—	—	-1.0%	-2.95%	$16.44B	Benchmark Subject
EMA Emera Incorporated	C	65/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.44%	$15.14B	/ema-vs-tln →
BEP Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.	D+	56/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+4.89%	$19.75B	/bep-vs-tln →
NRG NRG Energy Inc.	D	47/100	23.7x	—	10.9%	-1.50%	$20.19B	/nrg-vs-tln →
KEP Korea Electric Power Corporation	D	46/100	—	—	—	+2.22%	$13.28B	/kep-vs-tln →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001622536 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.52B (+60.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B ) , GAAP net income of -$219.0M, operating cash flow of $704.0M, and free cash flow of $606.0M (+254.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TLN closed FY2025 with $10.90B in total assets against $6.78B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.18, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.52B	-$219.0M	$704.0M	$606.0M	$10.90B	$6.78B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.57B	$998.0M	$256.0M	$171.0M	$6.11B	$2.99B

3. TLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TLN compare to EMA and BEP in the Utilities sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLN?

Where is TLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TLN last traded at $332.99 (-2.95% on volume of 1,066,719 shares), positioning the stock +1.89% above its 50-day simple moving average ($326.80) and -4.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($349.07). Across its 52-week range of $279.77 to $449.84, TLN sits at the 31.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($303.02 to $362.96).

Direct Sub-Reports: TLN RQD Cockpit TLN 12M Forecast TLN Earnings & Move TLN Dividends & DRIP TLN Insiders & 13F TLN Whale Options TLN Profit Sankey TLN News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TLN — Talen Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $332.99 (-2.95% 1D, market capitalization $16.44B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -1.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -3.6%, and free cash flow yield of 3.63%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 0.74x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.18, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 6.20x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Talen Energy Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, operating in the Electric Utilities: Central industry..7B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) reported $2.52B in annual revenue (up from $1.57B in FY2024, +60.0% YoY) and -$219.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($1.57B revenue, $998.0M net income) through FY2025, TLN scaled operating cash flow to $704.0M and free cash flow to $606.0M, backed by $10.90B in total assets against $6.78B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.63% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $279.77 – $449.84 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against -3.6% operating margins and a 0.74x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector is Utilities and the industry is Electric Utilities: Central. A prospective investor should note that the leverage increase shown in the financials, with debt rising from $2.99B to $6.78B, is the most visible potential second-order channel, since higher debt service would sit alongside negative operating income of -$90.0M in FY 2025.

Key Question #1: Can TLN sustain or expand its -3.6% operating margin and -1.0% ROIC against Electric Utilities: Central peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.52B and free cash flow of $606.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $6.78B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is TLN's 28.0x forward P/E multiple to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.74x)?

TLN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TLN Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) Moves 12.4% Higher: Will This Strength Last?

Yahoo Finance report covering Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 1d ago

Talen Energy Corp Stock (TLN) Closed Up by 12.43% on Oct 6: What Signal Does It Send?

TradingKey report covering Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE CNN • 1d ago

symbol__ Stock Quote Price and Forecast

CNN report covering Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Talen: Cornerstone And Buybacks Strengthen The Buy Case (NASDAQ:TLN)

Seeking Alpha report covering Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Here’s What Weighed on Talen Energy Corporation (TLN)

Yahoo Finance report covering Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Talen Energy (NasdaqGS:TLN) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Talen Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:TLN) Stock Has Average Price Target of $460.08

MarketBeat report covering Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Timothy Sykes • 1d ago

TLN Stock Rallies As Data Center Power Demand Collides With FERC Delay

Timothy Sykes report covering Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TLN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $332.99?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TLN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $442.62 (+29.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Market data shows a 3.4% dividend yield and a 0.74 beta alongside a news-wire report of a 12.4% price move and a Seeking Alpha note on

The street is overcomplicating Talen Energy Corporation (TLN). Market data shows a 3.4% dividend yield and a 0.74 beta alongside a news-wire report of a 12.4% price move and a Seeking Alpha note on buybacks.. With an RQD score of 41/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 6/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $370.57.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 41/100 quality, though with 0.74 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $343.12 and keeping dry powder in case we test $319.10.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $271.06 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $343.12

Leverage rose from $2.99B to $6.78B of debt while FY 2025 net income turned to -$219.0M and the Altman Z is 1.18.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short TLN above $343.12. Leverage rose from $2.99B to $6.78B of debt while FY 2025 net income turned to -$219.0M and the Altman Z is 1.18.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (3.63%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $449.84.