What is TK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TK's 12-month base price target is $16.06 (range $12.19 to $18.95), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TK

CCEC (54) NVGS (59) GNK (49) GSL (64) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell TK stock right now?

Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy — BUY) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (66.6% gross margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

$14.86 -0.27% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.89

Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (66.6% gross margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $1.29B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-03, Teekay Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: TK) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $14.86 (-0.27% 1D, market cap $1.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TK ranks #55 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TK compare to CCEC and NVGS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TK carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.2x, gross margin of 66.6%, and ROIC of 19.6%. By comparison, CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.31B) and NVGS (Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $1.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TK?

▼

Per TK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000911971), Teekay Corporation Ltd. generated $949.5M in revenue (-22.2% YoY), $98.1M in net income, and $111.5M in free cash flow against $2.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (66.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.89 (+0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 11.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TK SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 86% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 56.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$15.46-10.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A-$13.84+5.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$14.57+2% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$14.86+7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (84) → B+ (76)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, TK faces multiple-compression risk if 13.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 64.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.19) or 200D SMA ($12.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.06) toward Bear Floor ($12.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

56.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

5.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE86% OF RANGE

L: $9$14.86H: $16

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (66.6% gross margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on TK

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

19.6% ROIC with 66.6% gross margin and 8.62% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 5.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (80)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 17/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TK

✓Strong cash generator (66.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TK Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.06%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $14.90H $14.90L $14.86C $14.86VOL 274.8K

RES: $16.60SUP: $14.27SMA50: $14.19SMA200: $12.44

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TK Butterfly Map → + Track TK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

4.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -22.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #55 of 1009 ⚔️ CCEC vs TK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TK vs. CCEC, NVGS, GNK, GSL)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) ranks #55 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #478 by equity capitalization ($1.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSL leads on earnings valuation at 3.6x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TK ACTIVE Teekay Corporation Ltd.	B+	76/100	13.2x	66.6%	19.6%	-0.27%	$1.29B	Benchmark Subject
CCEC Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share	D+	54/100	7.0x	—	4.9%	+9.99%	$1.31B	/ccec-vs-tk →
NVGS Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)	C-	59/100	13.4x	—	12.2%	-0.92%	$1.33B	/nvgs-vs-tk →
GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)	D	49/100	—	—	0.6%	-1.76%	$1.14B	/gnk-vs-tk →
GSL Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A)	C	64/100	3.6x	—	16.6%	-1.37%	$1.50B	/gsl-vs-tk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000911971 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) reported GAAP revenue of $949.5M (-22.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.22B , and -35.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $98.1M, operating cash flow of $301.8M, and free cash flow of $111.5M (-71.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TK closed FY2025 with $2.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$949.5M	$98.1M	$301.8M	$111.5M	$2.36B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.22B	$133.8M	$467.2M	$396.7M	$2.15B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.46B	$150.6M	$629.8M	$629.8M	—	—

3. TK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TK compare to CCEC and NVGS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TK?

Where is TK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TK last traded at $14.86 (-0.27% on volume of 274,816 shares), positioning the stock +4.72% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.19) and +19.45% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.44). Across its 52-week range of $8.67 to $15.90, TK sits at the 85.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($13.85 to $15.87).

Direct Sub-Reports: TK RQD Cockpit TK 12M Forecast TK Earnings & Move TK Dividends & DRIP TK Insiders & 13F TK Whale Options TK Profit Sankey TK News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 76/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TK — Teekay Corporation Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 76/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $14.86 (-0.27% 1D, market capitalization $1.29B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.6%, gross margin of 66.6%, operating margin of 31.9%, and free cash flow yield of 8.62%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (17/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.20, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Marine Transportation industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity market capitalization of $1.29B. The business operates with a gross margin of 66.6%, an operating margin of 31.9%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.6% (free cash flow yield of 8.62%). Within the Marine Transportation peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) reported $949.5M in annual revenue (up from $1.22B in FY2024, -22.2% YoY) and $98.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.46B revenue, $150.6M net income) through FY2025, TK scaled operating cash flow to $301.8M and free cash flow to $111.5M, backed by $2.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 76/100): Strong cash generator (66.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.67 – $15.90 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 13.2x trailing P/E against 31.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for TK.

Key Question #1: Can TK sustain or expand its 31.9% operating margin and 19.6% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $949.5M and free cash flow of $111.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is TK's 12.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TK Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 21h ago

Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Teekay (NYSE:TK) Sets New 1-Year High - Here's What Happened

MarketBeat report covering Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GlobeNewswire • 1d ago

Teekay Group to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Results on November 11, 2026

GlobeNewswire report covering Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Technical Reactions to TK Trends in Macro Strategies

Stock Traders Daily report covering Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Teekay (NYSE:TK) Stock Price Breaks Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Here's What Happened

MarketBeat report covering Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Teekay (NYSE:TK) Shares Gap Up - Here's Why

MarketBeat report covering Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Teekay (TK) Projected to Release Quarterly Earnings on Thursday

MarketBeat report covering Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 16d ago

Teekay (TK) Stock Still Looks Like A Bargain Today

Teekay has delivered a very strong share price run in recent years, which puts fresh attention on what investors are paying for its earnings today. After such a move, the key issue is whether the current valuation of the

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.86?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.68 (+19.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The Roarable RQD rating scores TK 77 with insider conviction at 17/20 and macro regime fit at 17/20, alongside a 6.59% dividend yield a

Don't sleep on TK's setup in Consumer Discretionary. The Roarable RQD rating scores TK 77 with insider conviction at 17/20 and macro regime fit at 17/20, alongside a 6.59% dividend yield and 8.62% FCF yield.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (76/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 13.2x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Marine Transportation. If gross margin (66.6%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.19 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $14.86

Reported revenue fell from $1.47B in FY 2023 to $949.5M in FY 2025 and net income fell from $150.6M to $98.1M, while EV/EBITDA is una

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short TK above $14.86. Reported revenue fell from $1.47B in FY 2023 to $949.5M in FY 2025 and net income fell from $150.6M to $98.1M, while EV/EBITDA is unavailable.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (8.62%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $15.90.