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Stock Ratings / Technology / NVTS
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Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.93 -6.49% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.82

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.21B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NVTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ: NVTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $7.93 (-6.49% 1D, market cap $2.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, NVTS ranks #589 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NVTS compare to LASR and UCTT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), NVTS carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LASR (nLIGHT Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.4%, cap $2.14B) and UCTT (Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.8%, cap $2.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POWI leads on earnings multiple (124.0x) while POWI leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVTS?
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Per NVTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821769), Navitas Semiconductor Corporation generated $45.9M in revenue (-44.9% YoY), -$117.0M in net income, and -$44.4M in free cash flow against $500.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.82 (-1.36%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (10)Whales (5)SEC (9)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$36 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE NVTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NVTS SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 31% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 23.85 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$10.45-16.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$8.74+7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$9.35-15.2% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$7.93-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NVTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NVTS currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.75) and Max Pain ($8.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $35.88.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVTS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NVTS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
39.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
23.85>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE4% OF RANGE
L: $7$7.93H: $34
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NVTS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

-35.0% ROIC with 31.0% gross margin and -1.85% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 23.85 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

8/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NVTS
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NVTS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NVTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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NVTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -50.19%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $9.20H $9.20L $7.93C $7.93VOL 14.81M
RES: $12.02SUP: $2.50SMA50: $10.75SMA200: $13.30
$36.01$28.40$20.79$13.18$5.57RES $12.02SUP $2.50$7.932026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NVTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NVTS Butterfly Map → + Track NVTS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -44.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVTS)

Technology Rank #589 of 715 ⚔️ LASR vs NVTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NVTS vs. LASR, UCTT, POWI, IMOS)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) ranks #589 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #282 by equity capitalization ($2.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POWI leads on earnings valuation at 124.0x trailing P/E, while POWI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.3% ROIC and 54.5% gross margin. IMOS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with NVTS at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NVTS ACTIVE
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation
E 30/100 — 31.0% -35.0% -6.49% $2.21B Benchmark Subject
LASR
nLIGHT Inc.
D 46/100 — 29.8% -16.4% -3.66% $2.14B /lasr-vs-nvts →
UCTT
Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.
D- 43/100 — 15.7% -9.8% -5.79% $2.38B /uctt-vs-nvts →
POWI
Power Integrations Inc.
D 50/100 124.0x 54.5% 1.3% +2.26% $2.45B /powi-vs-nvts →
IMOS
ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.
D 51/100 — — — -0.83% $1.90B /imos-vs-nvts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001821769 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) reported GAAP revenue of $45.9M (-44.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.3M , and -42.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$117.0M, operating cash flow of -$42.9M, and free cash flow of -$44.4M (+32.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, NVTS closed FY2025 with $500.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 23.85, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $45.9M -$117.0M -$42.9M -$44.4M $500.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $83.3M -$84.6M -$58.8M -$65.6M $390.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $79.5M -$145.4M -$41.4M -$41.4M — —

3. NVTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NVTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ: NVTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $7.93 (-6.49% 1D, market cap $2.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, NVTS ranks #589 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NVTS compare to LASR and UCTT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), NVTS carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LASR (nLIGHT Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.4%, cap $2.14B) and UCTT (Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.8%, cap $2.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POWI leads on earnings multiple (124.0x) while POWI leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVTS?

Per NVTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821769), Navitas Semiconductor Corporation generated $45.9M in revenue (-44.9% YoY), -$117.0M in net income, and -$44.4M in free cash flow against $500.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NVTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NVTS last traded at $7.93 (-6.49% on volume of 11,682,437 shares), positioning the stock -26.23% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.75) and -40.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.30). Across its 52-week range of $6.85 to $34.17, NVTS sits at the 4.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.94 to $8.92).

Direct Sub-Reports: NVTS RQD Cockpit NVTS 12M Forecast NVTS Earnings & Move NVTS Dividends & DRIP NVTS Insiders & 13F NVTS Whale Options NVTS Profit Sankey NVTS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NVTS — Navitas Semiconductor Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 30/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $7.93 (-6.49% 1D, market capitalization $2.21B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 31.0%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -1.85%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 23.85, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. The company has a market capitalization of $2.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) reported $45.9M in annual revenue (up from $83.3M in FY2024, -44.9% YoY) and -$117.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($79.5M revenue, -$145.4M net income) through FY2025, NVTS scaled operating cash flow to -$42.9M and free cash flow to -$44.4M, backed by $500.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 30/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.85% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.85 – $34.17 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), NVTS carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 31.0%.

  • Key Question #1: Can NVTS sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $45.9M and free cash flow of -$44.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NVTS's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NVTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NVTS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NVTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.93?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NVTS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NVTS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.43 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet forensics score 9 of 20 with cash of $236.9M reported at FY 2025 and an Altman Z-Score of 23.85, indicating a strong liqu

The street is overcomplicating Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS). Balance-sheet forensics score 9 of 20 with cash of $236.9M reported at FY 2025 and an Altman Z-Score of 23.85, indicating a strong liquidity position relative to its operating losses.. With an RQD score of 30/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 9/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $9.16.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (31.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.29 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $8.48

ROIC of -35%, a negative FCF yield of -1.85%, and revenue falling from $83.3M to $45.9M across FY 2024 to FY 2025 show a business not y

I respect the product at Navitas Semiconductor Corporation, but the stock at $8.48 is a different story. ROIC of -35%, a negative FCF yield of -1.85%, and revenue falling from $83.3M to $45.9M across FY 2024 to FY 2025 show a business not yet generating returns on capital.. FCF yield is -1.85% and RQD sits at 30/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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