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GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$41.82 -0.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.73

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $23.36B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, GlobalFoundries Inc. (NASDAQ: GFS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $41.82 (-0.19% 1D, market cap $23.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, GFS ranks #252 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GFS compare to Q and CBRS in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), GFS carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, Q (Qnity Electronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $24.41B) and CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $25.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFS leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while CBRS leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFS?
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For GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.73 (-0.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 23.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (5)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$97 Bull$42 Base$32 Bear
📬 FREE GFS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GFS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GFS SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$48.94-2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$47.70-3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$46.11-9.3% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$41.82-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GFS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, GFS faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.35) or 200D SMA ($55.21) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($41.63) toward Bear Floor ($32.47).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GFS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GFS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
39.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.87>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE16% OF RANGE
L: $32$41.82H: $93
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on GFS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

14.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.99% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.87 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GFS
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GFS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GFS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.27%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $45.85H $45.85L $41.82C $41.82VOL 5.31M
RES: $49.33SUP: $40.66SMA50: $46.35SMA200: $55.21
$96.22$81.01$65.80$50.59$35.38RES $49.33SUP $40.66$41.822026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GFS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GFS Butterfly Map → + Track GFS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GFS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GFS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GFS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GFS)

Technology Rank #252 of 715 ⚔️ Q vs GFS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GFS vs. Q, CBRS, ON, CRDO)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) ranks #252 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #101 by equity capitalization ($23.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GFS leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while CBRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and — gross margin. CBRS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with GFS at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GFS ACTIVE
GlobalFoundries Inc.
D+ 57/100 21.7x — 14.9% -0.19% $23.36B Benchmark Subject
Q
Qnity Electronics Inc.
D+ 54/100 35.2x 46.2% 7.8% -1.11% $24.41B /q-vs-gfs →
CBRS
Cerebras Systems Inc.
C 65/100 21.7x — 58.3% -11.74% $25.94B /cbrs-vs-gfs →
ON
ON Semiconductor Corporation
D+ 52/100 — 33.1% 0.8% -2.18% $27.90B /on-vs-gfs →
CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
C- 59/100 65.8x 68.0% 14.1% -7.26% $28.38B /crdo-vs-gfs →

2. GFS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) operates in Semiconductors (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $23.36B, trailing P/E of 21.7x, forward P/E of 18.2x, and EV/EBITDA of 14.9x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.1%, net profit margin of 16.4%, ROIC of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. GFS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, GlobalFoundries Inc. (NASDAQ: GFS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $41.82 (-0.19% 1D, market cap $23.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, GFS ranks #252 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GFS compare to Q and CBRS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), GFS carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, Q (Qnity Electronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $24.41B) and CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $25.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFS leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while CBRS leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFS?

For GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GFS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GFS last traded at $41.82 (-0.19% on volume of 4,625,170 shares), positioning the stock -9.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.35) and -24.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($55.21). Across its 52-week range of $32.02 to $92.55, GFS sits at the 16.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($37.22 to $46.42).

Direct Sub-Reports: GFS RQD Cockpit GFS 12M Forecast GFS Earnings & Move GFS Dividends & DRIP GFS Insiders & 13F GFS Whale Options GFS Profit Sankey GFS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GFS — GlobalFoundries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $41.82 (-0.19% 1D, market capitalization $23.36B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.1%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.30x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.87, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry..6B. Per the recent news wire, the company is associated with new fab plans in New York and a U.S.-Japan fab alliance.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $32.02 – $92.55 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 21.7x trailing P/E and 14.9x EV/EBITDA against 21.1% operating margins and a 1.30x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links, and no sector correlations are provided. Per the recent news, capacity additions and fab investments are the main sector-relevant themes, but dependencies and bottlenecks are not documented in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can GFS sustain or expand its 21.1% operating margin and 14.9% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (3.99% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.87) toward the $92.55 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GFS's 18.2x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.30x)?

GFS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GFS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GFS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $41.82?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GFS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GFS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $48.18 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong balance sheet (Altman Z 3.87, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) and 14.9% ROIC support downside resilience while insider convic

Strong balance sheet (Altman Z 3.87, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) and 14.9% ROIC support downside resilience while insider conviction scores 16/20.. When you look under the hood at GFS, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 14.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $92.55. My 12M target is $48.18.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on 21.7x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.36 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $41.90

Beta of 1.3, weak institutional flow (7/20), and a 3.99% FCF yield leave limited margin of safety at a 21.7 trailing P/E.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on GFS: Beta of 1.3, weak institutional flow (7/20), and a 3.99% FCF yield leave limited margin of safety at a 21.7 trailing P/E.. At 21.7x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Semiconductors triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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