MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 8h ago
GlobalFoundries (GFS) Stock Could Be 35% Overvalued On New York Fab PlansYahoo Finance report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GFS Stock dropped -8.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$41.90 -8.61% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.17
GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $25.56B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GFS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
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Is GFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-02, GlobalFoundries Inc. (NASDAQ: GFS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $41.90 (-8.61% 1D, market cap $25.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GFS ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GFS compare to Q and CBRS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), GFS carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, Q (Qnity Electronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $25.66B) and CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $27.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFS leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while CBRS leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFS?
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For GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.17 (-1.74%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 25.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GFS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GFS SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$46.70+0.7% Next Q
68
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$47.01-0.7% Next Q
65
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$46.70-10.3% Next Q
63
CurrentGrade C-$41.90+0.4% Hist 90D α
60
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GFS Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, GFS faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.43) or 200D SMA ($55.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.28) toward Bear Floor ($32.98).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GFS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GFS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GFS Stock dropped -8.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) dropped -8.61% to $41.90, trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($32.02 – $92.55). Solid steady margins (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($32.02 – $92.55) with RSI-14 at 48.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.3% around $41.90 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.0B annual free cash flow.
Live GFS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREInvestor's Business Daily • 11h ago
GlobalFoundries To Operate Two New Chip Fabs Under U.S.-Japan AllianceInvestor's Business Daily report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 14h ago
GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. (GFS) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 17h ago
Why Is GlobalFoundries Stock Surging Wednesday? - GLOBALFOUNDRIES (NASDAQ:GFS)Benzinga report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStocktwits • 20h ago
GFS Stock Bucks Market Weakness: GlobalFoundries To Add Up To 1.8 Million Wafers Of Annual Capacity With 2 New York FabsStocktwits report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 23h ago
GlobalFoundries: A Government-Funded Fab Deal The Market Is Ignoring, But Not Signed Yet - Hold (NASDAQ:GFS)Seeking Alpha report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
TSMC taps GlobalFoundries in $2B U.S. chip deal; GFS shares jump 4%Yahoo Finance report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREChartMill • 9h ago
Quantum Stocks Face Earnings Reality Check After Selloff Exposes Profitability DivideQuantum computing stocks face earnings tests after a sharp drawdown, with investors separating profitable enablers from speculative loss-makers.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 3d ago
Top Narrow Based Indexes For September 12CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Intel Surpasses Q3 Earnings Estimates on Robust Data Center DemandINTC beats Q3 earnings estimates as AI-driven data center demand fuels revenue growth, but weak PC sales and a soft Q4 outlook send shares plunging over 25%.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GFS Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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GFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.15%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $46.11H $46.11L $41.90C $41.90VOL 2.85M
RES: $49.44SUP: $40.71SMA50: $46.43SMA200: $55.22
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GFS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GFS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GFS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GFS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GFS)
Technology Rank #229 of 714
⚔️ Q vs GFS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GFS vs. Q, CBRS, ON, TSEM)
Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) ranks #229 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #98 by equity capitalization ($25.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GFS leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while CBRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and — gross margin. CBRS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with GFS at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GFS
ACTIVE
GlobalFoundries Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 21.7x | — | 14.9% | -8.61% | $25.56B | Benchmark Subject |
| Q Qnity Electronics Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 35.2x | 46.2% | 7.8% | -4.88% | $25.66B | /q-vs-gfs → |
| CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 21.7x | — | 58.3% | -5.19% | $27.36B | /cbrs-vs-gfs → |
| ON ON Semiconductor Corporation | D+ | 54/100 | — | 33.1% | 0.8% | -4.74% | $29.29B | /on-vs-gfs → |
| TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd. | D | 47/100 | 96.3x | 23.2% | 5.4% | -11.41% | $21.24B | /tsem-vs-gfs → |
2. GFS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTGlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) operates in Semiconductors (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $25.56B, trailing P/E of 21.7x, forward P/E of 18.2x, and EV/EBITDA of 14.9x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.1%, net profit margin of 16.4%, ROIC of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.
3. GFS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, GlobalFoundries Inc. (NASDAQ: GFS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $41.90 (-8.61% 1D, market cap $25.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GFS ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GFS compare to Q and CBRS in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), GFS carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, Q (Qnity Electronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $25.66B) and CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $27.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFS leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while CBRS leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFS?
For GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GFS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GFS last traded at $41.90 (-8.61% on volume of 5,311,171 shares), positioning the stock -9.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.43) and -24.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($55.22). Across its 52-week range of $32.02 to $92.55, GFS sits at the 16.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($37.58 to $46.22).
GFS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GFS stock moving today?
Why GFS Stock dropped -8.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-)
✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED
GFS — GlobalFoundries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:25Z
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, GFS scores 60 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, labeled "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 14.9% and an FCF yield of 3.99%. Returns on capital are positive, but the cash yield at the current price is modest, which limits the margin of safety on valuation.
- Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score weakly. For a prospective investor, this suggests large-holder conviction is not a current tailwind.
- Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is the strongest pillar. This is a relative bright spot, though the underlying transaction detail is not provided in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta of 1.3 and sector sensitivity score weakly. The stock is expected to move more than the market in either direction, which increases exposure to macro risk-off episodes.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 3.87, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39 indicate a comparatively healthy balance sheet. This is the most supportive pillar for downside resilience.
Investor implications: the upside drivers in the data are the balance sheet strength, insider flow, and capital returns (ROIC 14.9%). The valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 21.7 and an EV/EBITDA of 14.9, while the FCF yield of 3.99% is not especially high. Weak institutional flow and high beta point to a stock where the timing of entry matters. The rating's "Hold" verdict reflects a mix of solid fundamentals and weak positioning and macro fit rather than a strong directional call.
Snapshot
Open Questions
- What are GFS's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and cash flow across periods, given that the financials section is empty?
- What is the source of the 0% gross margin figure, and is it consistent with the reported operating margin of 21.1%?
- Which specific insider and institutional transactions drive the Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow scores?
- Is the government-funded fab deal signed, and what is its size and timing?
- What supply-chain dependencies and customer concentrations exist, given the Butterfly graph is empty?
GFS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 8h ago
GlobalFoundries (GFS) Stock Could Be 35% Overvalued On New York Fab Plans Yahoo Finance report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Investor's Business Daily • 11h ago
GlobalFoundries To Operate Two New Chip Fabs Under U.S.-Japan Alliance Investor's Business Daily report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 14h ago
GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. (GFS) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 17h ago
Why Is GlobalFoundries Stock Surging Wednesday? - GLOBALFOUNDRIES (NASDAQ:GFS) Benzinga report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 20h ago
GFS Stock Bucks Market Weakness: GlobalFoundries To Add Up To 1.8 Million Wafers Of Annual Capacity With 2 New York Fabs Stocktwits report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 23h ago
GlobalFoundries: A Government-Funded Fab Deal The Market Is Ignoring, But Not Signed Yet - Hold (NASDAQ:GFS) Seeking Alpha report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
TSMC taps GlobalFoundries in $2B U.S. chip deal; GFS shares jump 4% Yahoo Finance report covering GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE ChartMill • 9h ago
Quantum Stocks Face Earnings Reality Check After Selloff Exposes Profitability Divide Quantum computing stocks face earnings tests after a sharp drawdown, with investors separating profitable enablers from speculative loss-makers.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
GFS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $41.90?
🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GFS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST
🎯 Target: $49.52 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate 🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GFS (C- • RQD 60/100) a Buy at $45.85?
Welcome to the GFS (GlobalFoundries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $37.60 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $45.85 Pump the brakes on GFS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GFS, but look at what you are paying: 21.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless GlobalFoundries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $57.77 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $45.85 GFS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GFS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $45.85 (52-wk range $32.02 - $92.55), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.