COMP <GO>
TKR vs CAT // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Timken Company (NYSE) VS. Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: TKR 6
— CAT 8
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $110.90 (-3.42%) • MKT CAP: $7.69B
options-implied-move
—
LAST: $622.75 (-3.81%) • MKT CAP: $286.26B
options-implied-move
8.60%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (TKR VS. CAT)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | TKR | CAT | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 30.40% | 82.20% | -51.80 | CAT | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 9.10% | 21.15% | -12.05 | CAT | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 13.2x | 20.8x | -7.56 | TKR | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 4.37% | 3.76% | +0.61 | TKR | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 11.80% | 17.52% | -5.72 | CAT | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 6.30% | 14.51% | -8.21 | CAT | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 0.20% | 18.36% | -18.16 | CAT | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 1.24% | 1.06% | +0.18 | TKR | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 3.31 | 4.33 | -1.02 | CAT | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 5/9 | +1.00 | TKR | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | — | 8.60% | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 43.0 | 30.6 | +12.40 | TKR | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.11 | 1.02 | +0.09 | TKR | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 25.7x | 19.7x | +5.98 | CAT | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $7.69B | $286.26B | -$278.58B | CAT | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | TKR REV | CAT REV | TKR GROSS % | CAT GROSS % | TKR FCF | CAT FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $4.58B | $67.59B | 30.4% | 99.9% | $348.1M | $8.92B |
| FY 2024 | $4.57B | $64.81B | 31.5% | 100.0% | $269.9M | $10.05B |
| FY 2023 | $4.77B | $67.06B | — | 99.8% | $330.6M | $11.29B |
| FY 2022 | — | $59.43B | — | 99.3% | — | $6.47B |
| FY 2021 | — | $50.97B | — | 30.3% | — | $6.11B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
TKR // BETA 1.11
CAT // BETA 1.02