ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

UMC // United Microelectronics Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001033767 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$16.68 ▼ -1.36 (-7.54%)
MKT CAP: $41.99B • VOL: 24.25M
UMC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C (RQD 65) -> C- (RQD 61)
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 -4D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +0% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC +5.2% • Z 3.87
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +4% • P/E 20.2x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did UMC's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever UMC is Upgraded or Downgraded.

UMC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.51%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $18.04H $18.04L $16.68C $16.68VOL 24.25M
RES: $25.51SUP: $16.17SMA50: $21.55SMA200: $17.17
$30.39$24.45$18.52$12.58$6.64RES $25.51SUP $16.17$16.682026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
UMC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 14.9% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 14.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 21.1% operating margin and 14.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.2% paired with 3.99% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.2% // FCF YLD: 3.99%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.87 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 21.7x trailing P/E (20.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 21.7x // EV/EBITDA: 14.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $16.68 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend 16.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 16.4% // D/E: 0.39x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 20.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.33).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 21.7x
FORWARD P/E 20.2x
EV / EBITDA 14.9x
FCF YIELD 3.99%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 21.1%
NET MARGIN 16.4%
ROIC % 14.9%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.83
DEBT / EQUITY 0.39x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 31.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.33
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // UMCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $15.26
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for UMC & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>