ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TEM // Tempus AI Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001717115 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Programming Data Processing
$72.22 ▼ -5.62 (-7.22%)
MKT CAP: $14.13B • VOL: 10.46M
TEM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 45/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
45 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -13.2% vs NI +65.3% • ROIC-WACC -25.1% • Z 3.89
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
18 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 74% • VS 200D +36.5% • RSI 58
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
5 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.05 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.30
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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TEM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.40%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $76.61H $77.84L $72.22C $72.22VOL 4.85M
RES: $99.43SUP: $64.23SMA50: $71.02SMA200: $57.02
$92.47$78.46$64.45$50.43$36.42RES $99.43SUP $64.23$72.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
TEM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 68/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Tempus AI Inc. (TEM) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -17.7% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -19.9% operating margin and -17.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -17.7% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +83.4% paired with -1.69% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +83.4% // FCF YLD: -1.69%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.89 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.89 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (33.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $72.22 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing require continuous execution to defend -19.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -19.3% // D/E: 1.52x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 33.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.22).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 33.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -1.69%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -19.9%
NET MARGIN -19.3%
ROIC % -17.7%
REV GROWTH YOY +83.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-1.35
DEBT / EQUITY 1.52x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 58.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.22
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TEMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $66.08
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>