ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SPB // Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000109177 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$86.96 ▲ +3.52 (+4.22%)
MKT CAP: $1.92B • VOL: 330.7K
SPB // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // C (RQD 64) -> C+ (RQD 68)
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +4D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +39.4% vs NI -20% • ROIC-WACC -4.8% • Z 2.82
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 67% • VS 200D +3.4% • RSI 57.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +8.8% • P/E 17.5x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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SPB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.88%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $81.53H $86.96L $81.53C $86.96VOL 304.3K
RES: $110.6SUP: $73.83SMA50: $82.80SMA200: $80.70
$101.6$91.21$80.86$70.52$60.17RES $110.6SUP $73.83$86.962026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
SPB // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 39/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) exhibits 36.7% gross margins and 4.2% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 14.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 36.7% gross profitability converts into 4.4% operating margin and 4.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 4.2% // GM: 36.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -5.2% paired with 8.82% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -5.2% // FCF YLD: 8.82%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.82 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.82 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 18.8x trailing P/E (17.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 18.8x // EV/EBITDA: 14.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $86.96 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 3.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.6% // D/E: 0.29x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 17.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 18.8x
FORWARD P/E 17.5x
EV / EBITDA 14.6x
FCF YIELD 8.82%
GROSS MARGIN 36.7%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.4%
NET MARGIN 3.6%
ROIC % 4.2%
REV GROWTH YOY -5.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.34
DEBT / EQUITY 0.29x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.57%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SPBPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $79.57
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>