ROARABLE // PRO
[FREE TERMINAL]
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SIMO // Silicon Motion Technology Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001329394 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$208.65 ▼ -19.10 (-8.39%)
MKT CAP: $7.07B • VOL: 1.33M
SIMO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D+ (RQD 56) -> D (RQD 48)
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
48 / 100 -8D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF -80.8% vs NI +37.4% • ROIC-WACC -1.2% • Z 13.92
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 47% • VS 200D -3.6% • RSI 42.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.07 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.34
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did SIMO's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SIMO is Upgraded or Downgraded.
SIG <GO> CROSS-FEED TRIANGULATION // PROPRIETARY ANOMALY ENGINE (1 ACTIVE ON SIMO)
ALL MARKET ANOMALIES <SIG>
▼ BEARISH // ACCRUAL & WORKING CAPITAL WATCHSIFTER 02 // ACCRUAL & RECEIVABLES FORENSICS
SEVERITY: 81/100 Z-SCORE: +2.05σ

SIMO Accounting Gap: Net Income (+37.4%) Outpaced OCF (-20.4%) With +32.7% Working-Capital Build

CASH CONVERSION GAP
+57.8% (NI vs OCF)
RECEIVABLES / WC BLOAT
+32.7% VS REV
60D C-SUITE FORM 4 SALES
0 OPEN-MKT DUMPS
[GEEK DESK FORENSIC NOTE // SEC XBRL × FORM 4 CROSS-CHECK]
SEC EDGAR XBRL CompanyFacts10-K/10-Q Working Capital ScheduleSEC Form 4 Executive Sales

SEC EDGAR XBRL triangulation on Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (SIMO) exposes a +57.8% Cash Conversion Gap as YoY Net Income growth (+37.4%) diverged from Operating Cash Flow growth (-20.4%). Non-cash current assets and receivables expanded +32.7% relative to top-line revenue growth. Monitor upcoming 10-Q cash realization closely for accrual mean-reversion.

SIMO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.15%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $227.8H $227.8L $208.7C $208.7VOL 1.33M
RES: $277.9SUP: $173.7SMA50: $247.3SMA200: $216.3
$372.5$299.9$227.3$154.6$81.99RES $277.9SUP $173.7$208.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
SIMO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 40/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (SIMO) exhibits 48.3% gross margins and 9.3% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 55.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 48.3% gross profitability converts into 10.5% operating margin and 9.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.3% // GM: 48.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +10.2% paired with 0.08% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +10.2% // FCF YLD: 0.08%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 13.92 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 13.92 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 63.0x trailing P/E (58.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 63.0x // EV/EBITDA: 55.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $208.65 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend 13.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 13.8% // D/E: 0.20x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 58.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.34).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 63.0x
FORWARD P/E 58.6x
EV / EBITDA 55.0x
FCF YIELD 0.08%
GROSS MARGIN 48.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 10.5%
NET MARGIN 13.8%
ROIC % 9.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +10.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.62
DEBT / EQUITY 0.20x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.87%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 42.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.34
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SIMOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $190.92
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SIMO & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.
HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>
SIMO VS AAPL
MARGINS ROIC VALUATION
SIMO VS NVDA
MARGINS ROIC VALUATION
SIMO VS MSFT
MARGINS ROIC VALUATION
SIMO VS TSM
MARGINS ROIC VALUATION