ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

RYZ // Ryerson Holding Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001481582 ↗
Industrials • Metal Fabrications
$31.15 ▲ +0.15 (+0.48%)
MKT CAP: $1.61B • VOL: 662.1K
RYZ // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 53/100 [D+] (+1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
54 / 100 +1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -66.3% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -12% • Z 3.13
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 93% • VS 200D +17.9% • RSI 78.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.08 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.24
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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RYZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.76%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $31.00H $31.15L $31.00C $31.15VOL 662.1K
RES: $31.66SUP: $22.34SMA50: $26.23SMA200: $26.43
$32.63$30.02$27.42$24.82$22.21RES $31.66SUP $22.34$31.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
RYZ // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 36/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) exhibits 17.1% gross margins and -3.4% return on invested capital within Industrials (Metal Fabrications), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 17.1% gross profitability converts into -0.7% operating margin and -3.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -3.4% // GM: 17.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.6% paired with 2.21% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.6% // FCF YLD: 2.21%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.13 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.13 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $31.15 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Metal Fabrications require continuous execution to defend -1.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -1.2% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 2.21%
GROSS MARGIN 17.1%
OPERATING MARGIN -0.7%
NET MARGIN -1.2%
ROIC % -3.4%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.50%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 78.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // RYZPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $28.50
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>