ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ROAD // Construction Partners Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001718227 ↗
Industrials • Military/Government/Technical
$89.80 ▼ -1.91 (-2.08%)
MKT CAP: $5.15B • VOL: 515.9K
ROAD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 50/100 [D] (-3 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
47 / 100 -3D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +26.6% vs NI +47.6% • ROIC-WACC 0% • Z 2.67
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
6 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 15% • VS 200D -18.9% • RSI 52
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
14 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 6 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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ROAD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.28%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $91.71H $91.71L $89.80C $89.80VOL 515.9K
RES: $90.53SUP: $73.20SMA50: $92.86SMA200: $110.7
$156.0$135.2$114.4$93.66$72.88RES $90.53SUP $73.20$89.802026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
ROAD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 65/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) exhibits 15.6% gross margins and 6.9% return on invested capital within Industrials (Military/Government/Technical), balanced against a 20.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 15.6% gross profitability converts into 8.0% operating margin and 6.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.9% // GM: 15.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +54.2% paired with 2.91% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +54.2% // FCF YLD: 2.91%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.67 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.67 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 51.7x trailing P/E (43.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 51.7x // EV/EBITDA: 20.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $89.80 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Military/Government/Technical require continuous execution to defend 3.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.6% // D/E: 1.76x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 43.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.08).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 51.7x
FORWARD P/E 43.4x
EV / EBITDA 20.1x
FCF YIELD 2.91%
GROSS MARGIN 15.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.0%
NET MARGIN 3.6%
ROIC % 6.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +54.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.77
DEBT / EQUITY 1.76x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.08
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ROADPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $82.17
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>