ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PII // Polaris Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000931015 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Industrial Specialties
$62.57 ▲ +3.16 (+5.32%)
MKT CAP: $3.38B • VOL: 993.1K
PII // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 40/100 [D-] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
39 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +200% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -18.3% • Z 1.59
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 40% • VS 200D -4.8% • RSI 60.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
4 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.15 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.32
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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PII // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.06%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $60.27H $62.57L $59.41C $62.57VOL 930.6K
RES: $89.06SUP: $48.99SMA50: $56.32SMA200: $62.40
$79.92$71.88$63.84$55.80$47.77RES $89.06SUP $48.99$62.572026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PII // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 30/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Polaris Inc. (PII) exhibits 19.1% gross margins and -11.5% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Industrial Specialties), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 19.1% gross profitability converts into -4.9% operating margin and -11.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -11.5% // GM: 19.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.3% paired with 16.27% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.3% // FCF YLD: 16.27%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.59 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.59 // F-SCORE: 3/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (24.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $62.57 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Specialties require continuous execution to defend -6.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -6.5% // D/E: 2.06x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 24.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 24.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 16.27%
GROSS MARGIN 19.1%
OPERATING MARGIN -4.9%
NET MARGIN -6.5%
ROIC % -11.5%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-8.18
DEBT / EQUITY 2.06x
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.38%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 60.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.10
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PIIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $57.25
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>