ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MXL // MaxLinear Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001288469 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$61.33 ▼ -6.14 (-9.10%)
MKT CAP: $6.14B • VOL: 2.90M
MXL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C (RQD 62) -> C- (RQD 59)
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
59 / 100 -3D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +111.1% vs NI +44.3% • ROIC-WACC -28.6% • Z 10.63
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.07 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.32
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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MXL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.49%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $71.61H $71.61L $61.33C $61.33VOL 2.72M
RES: $108.7SUP: $59.01SMA50: $77.49SMA200: $60.72
$135.9$104.3$72.57$40.88$9.18RES $108.7SUP $59.01$61.332026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
MXL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 40/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

MaxLinear Inc. (MXL) exhibits 56.8% gross margins and -19.2% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 56.8% gross profitability converts into -27.1% operating margin and -19.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -19.2% // GM: 56.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +29.7% paired with 0.11% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +29.7% // FCF YLD: 0.11%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 10.63 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 10.63 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (22.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $61.33 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend -29.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -29.2% // D/E: 0.27x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 22.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.13).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 22.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 0.11%
GROSS MARGIN 56.8%
OPERATING MARGIN -27.1%
NET MARGIN -29.2%
ROIC % -19.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +29.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-1.50
DEBT / EQUITY 0.27x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 41.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.13
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MXLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $56.12
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MXL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>