ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MTW // Manitowoc Company Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000061986 ↗
Industrials • Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks
$23.03 ▼ -0.77 (-3.23%)
MKT CAP: $830.5M • VOL: 351.6K
MTW // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 47/100 [D] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
46 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF -120% vs NI -87.1% • ROIC-WACC -1.7% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 93% • VS 200D +47.2% • RSI 55.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
6 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.06 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.39
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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MTW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +79.22%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $23.80H $23.80L $23.03C $23.03VOL 351.6K
RES: $25.48SUP: $22.27SMA50: $21.71SMA200: $15.65
$24.89$21.20$17.51$13.82$10.14RES $25.48SUP $22.27$23.032026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
MTW // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) exhibits 18.1% gross margins and 6.9% return on invested capital within Industrials (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), balanced against a 9.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 18.1% gross profitability converts into 2.4% operating margin and 6.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.9% // GM: 18.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.9% paired with -1.78% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.9% // FCF YLD: -1.78%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 119.2x trailing P/E (110.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 119.2x // EV/EBITDA: 9.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $23.03 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks require continuous execution to defend 0.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.3% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 110.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 119.2x
FORWARD P/E 110.9x
EV / EBITDA 9.1x
FCF YIELD -1.78%
GROSS MARGIN 18.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 2.4%
NET MARGIN 0.3%
ROIC % 6.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.20
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 55.1
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MTWPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $21.07
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>