ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

LRCX // Lam Research Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000707549 ↗
Technology • Industrial Machinery/Components
$239.11 ▼ -15.28 (-6.01%)
MKT CAP: $317.78B • VOL: 18.73M
LRCX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 59/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
59 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -9.9% vs NI +35.6% • ROIC-WACC +16.1% • Z 21.8
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.02 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.43
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did LRCX's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever LRCX is Upgraded or Downgraded.

LRCX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.53%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $253.8H $254.4L $239.1C $239.1VOL 9.78M
RES: $357.4SUP: $222.2SMA50: $292.2SMA200: $284.6
$456.9$380.5$304.1$227.7$151.3RES $357.4SUP $222.2$239.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
LRCX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 66/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) exhibits 50.5% gross margins and 25.5% return on invested capital within Technology (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 34.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 50.5% gross profitability converts into 35.3% operating margin and 25.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 25.5% // GM: 50.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +26.0% paired with 1.51% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +26.0% // FCF YLD: 1.51%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 21.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 21.80 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 43.7x trailing P/E (36.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 43.7x // EV/EBITDA: 34.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $239.11 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 31.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 31.3% // D/E: 0.47x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 36.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.29).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 43.7x
FORWARD P/E 36.7x
EV / EBITDA 34.8x
FCF YIELD 1.51%
GROSS MARGIN 50.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 35.3%
NET MARGIN 31.3%
ROIC % 25.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +26.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $5.82
DEBT / EQUITY 0.47x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.40%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 41.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.29
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // LRCXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $218.79
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for LRCX & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>