ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

JBSS // John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000880117 ↗
Consumer Staples • Specialty Foods
$53.87 ▼ -0.03 (-0.06%)
MKT CAP: $630.3M • VOL: 315.3K
JBSS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C+ (RQD 66) -> C (RQD 65)
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF +200% vs NI +5.1% • ROIC-WACC +10.6% • Z 4.87
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +5.4% • P/E 10x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did JBSS's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever JBSS is Upgraded or Downgraded.

JBSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.84%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $56.47H $56.47L $53.87C $53.87VOL 318.0K
RES: $77.89SUP: $52.94SMA50: $67.79SMA200: $76.87
$94.77$83.62$72.48$61.33$50.18RES $77.89SUP $52.94$53.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
JBSS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 55/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) exhibits 18.0% gross margins and 19.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Staples (Specialty Foods), balanced against a 4.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 18.0% gross profitability converts into 7.6% operating margin and 19.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 19.2% // GM: 18.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +6.2% paired with 5.41% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +6.2% // FCF YLD: 5.41%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.87 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 10.7x trailing P/E (10.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 10.7x // EV/EBITDA: 4.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $53.87 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Specialty Foods require continuous execution to defend 5.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.3% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 10.7x
FORWARD P/E 10.0x
EV / EBITDA 4.0x
FCF YIELD 5.41%
GROSS MARGIN 18.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 7.6%
NET MARGIN 5.3%
ROIC % 19.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +6.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $5.30
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 7.08%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 24.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // JBSSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $49.29
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for JBSS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>