ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

HUM // Humana Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000049071 ↗
Health Care • Medical Specialities
$414.50 ▼ -3.06 (-0.73%)
MKT CAP: $50.14B • VOL: 888.0K
HUM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 64/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
64 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 87% • VS 200D +34.8% • RSI 53.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.04 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.14
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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HUM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +74.19%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $411.9H $417.6L $411.9C $414.5VOL 1.02M
RES: $464.3SUP: $384.7SMA50: $402.4SMA200: $309.7
$475.1$398.0$320.8$243.7$166.5RES $464.3SUP $384.7$414.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
HUM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 47/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Humana Inc. (HUM) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 8.3% return on invested capital within Health Care (Medical Specialities), balanced against a 18.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 2.1% operating margin and 8.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.3% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +10.1% paired with 0.75% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +10.1% // FCF YLD: 0.75%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.03 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.03 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 42.2x trailing P/E (39.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 42.2x // EV/EBITDA: 18.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $414.50 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Medical Specialities require continuous execution to defend 0.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.9% // D/E: 0.70x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 39.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.88).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 42.2x
FORWARD P/E 39.2x
EV / EBITDA 18.4x
FCF YIELD 0.75%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 2.1%
NET MARGIN 0.9%
ROIC % 8.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +10.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $9.89
DEBT / EQUITY 0.70x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.86%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 53.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.88
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // HUMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $379.28
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for HUM & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>