ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

HSY // The Hershey Company

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000047111 ↗
Consumer Staples • Specialty Foods
$165.61 ▲ +5.33 (+3.33%)
MKT CAP: $33.28B • VOL: 2.26M
HSY // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 66/100 [C+] (+2 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF -5.3% vs NI -60.2% • ROIC-WACC +7.2% • Z 3.93
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +5.7% • P/E 33.9x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did HSY's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever HSY is Upgraded or Downgraded.

HSY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.01%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $160.3H $165.6L $160.3C $165.6VOL 2.26M
RES: $172.7SUP: $150.3SMA50: $168.1SMA200: $188.3
$212.6$197.3$182.0$166.7$151.4RES $172.7SUP $150.3$165.62026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
HSY // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

The Hershey Company (HSY) exhibits 33.5% gross margins and 14.8% return on invested capital within Consumer Staples (Specialty Foods), balanced against a 19.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 33.5% gross profitability converts into 12.3% operating margin and 14.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.8% // GM: 33.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.4% paired with 5.66% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.4% // FCF YLD: 5.66%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.93 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.93 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 36.5x trailing P/E (33.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 36.5x // EV/EBITDA: 19.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $165.61 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Specialty Foods require continuous execution to defend 7.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.6% // D/E: 1.01x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 33.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.08).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 36.5x
FORWARD P/E 33.9x
EV / EBITDA 19.3x
FCF YIELD 5.66%
GROSS MARGIN 33.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 12.3%
NET MARGIN 7.6%
ROIC % 14.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.40
DEBT / EQUITY 1.01x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.37%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 49.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.08
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // HSYPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $151.54
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for HSY & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>