ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

HNGE // Hinge Health Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001673743 ↗
Technology • EDP Services
$114.32 ▼ -2.58 (-2.21%)
MKT CAP: $9.43B • VOL: 2.89M
HNGE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +200% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -43.3% • Z 12.12
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
19 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 99% • VS 200D +72.4% • RSI 70.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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HNGE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +133.83%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $115.3H $116.9L $114.3C $114.3VOL 2.14M
RES: $119.0SMA50: $99.28SMA200: $67.79
$122.8$101.0$79.18$57.36$35.54RES $119.0$114.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
HNGE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 39/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Hinge Health Inc. (HNGE) exhibits 79.6% gross margins and -35.0% return on invested capital within Technology (EDP Services), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 79.6% gross profitability converts into -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -35.0% // GM: 79.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +50.6% paired with 1.81% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +50.6% // FCF YLD: 1.81%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 12.12 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 12.12 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (29.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $114.32 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in EDP Services require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 0.86x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 29.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.24).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 29.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 1.81%
GROSS MARGIN 79.6%
OPERATING MARGIN -60.0%
NET MARGIN -60.0%
ROIC % -35.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +50.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-6.55
DEBT / EQUITY 0.86x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 70.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.24
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // HNGEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $104.61
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>