ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

HLIO // Helios Technologies Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001024795 ↗
Industrials • Metal Fabrications
$66.15 ▼ -2.11 (-3.09%)
MKT CAP: $2.18B • VOL: 308.6K
HLIO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 54/100 [D+] (-2 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
52 / 100 -2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +8.9% vs NI +24.1% • ROIC-WACC -4.3% • Z 3.73
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.03 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.43
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did HLIO's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever HLIO is Upgraded or Downgraded.

HLIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.01%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $68.26H $68.26L $66.15C $66.15VOL 308.6K
RES: $66.19SUP: $58.44SMA50: $69.26SMA200: $73.46
$97.62$86.98$76.33$65.69$55.05RES $66.19SUP $58.44$66.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
HLIO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 40/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Helios Technologies Inc. (HLIO) exhibits 32.3% gross margins and 4.7% return on invested capital within Industrials (Metal Fabrications), balanced against a 28.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 32.3% gross profitability converts into 7.9% operating margin and 4.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 4.7% // GM: 32.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.1% paired with 4.60% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.1% // FCF YLD: 4.60%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.73 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.73 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 46.5x trailing P/E (43.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 46.5x // EV/EBITDA: 28.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $66.15 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Metal Fabrications require continuous execution to defend 5.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.8% // D/E: 0.28x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 43.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 46.5x
FORWARD P/E 43.2x
EV / EBITDA 28.3x
FCF YIELD 4.60%
GROSS MARGIN 32.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 7.9%
NET MARGIN 5.8%
ROIC % 4.7%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.47
DEBT / EQUITY 0.28x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.53%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 42.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // HLIOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $60.53
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for HLIO & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>