ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

GVA // Granite Construction Incorporated

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000861459 ↗
Industrials • Military/Government/Technical
$123.62 ▲ +1.93 (+1.59%)
MKT CAP: $5.46B • VOL: 1.07M
GVA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 67/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +3.3% vs NI +52.8% • ROIC-WACC +6.2% • Z 3.35
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6.2% • P/E 25.7x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did GVA's Macro Regime Fit & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever GVA is Upgraded or Downgraded.

GVA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.12%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $121.7H $123.6L $121.7C $123.6VOL 1.07M
RES: $126.0SUP: $103.8SMA50: $115.8SMA200: $126.6
$166.1$149.4$132.6$115.9$99.10RES $126.0SUP $103.8$123.62026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
GVA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 53/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA) exhibits 16.1% gross margins and 13.8% return on invested capital within Industrials (Military/Government/Technical), balanced against a 14.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 16.1% gross profitability converts into 6.4% operating margin and 13.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.8% // GM: 16.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +10.4% paired with 6.21% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +10.4% // FCF YLD: 6.21%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.35 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.35 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 27.6x trailing P/E (25.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 27.6x // EV/EBITDA: 14.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $123.62 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Military/Government/Technical require continuous execution to defend 4.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 4.4% // D/E: 0.82x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 25.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.98).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 27.6x
FORWARD P/E 25.7x
EV / EBITDA 14.4x
FCF YIELD 6.21%
GROSS MARGIN 16.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 6.4%
NET MARGIN 4.4%
ROIC % 13.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +10.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.41
DEBT / EQUITY 0.82x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.43%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.98
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // GVAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $113.12
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for GVA & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>