ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

GTES // Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001718512 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$23.83 ▼ -2.42 (-9.22%)
MKT CAP: $6.03B • VOL: 4.98M
GTES // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C+ (RQD 66) -> D+ (RQD 57)
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
57 / 100 -9D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +36.6% vs NI +29% • ROIC-WACC -0.1% • Z 2.46
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +6.1% • P/E 24.6x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.01 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.47
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did GTES's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever GTES is Upgraded or Downgraded.

GTES // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.29%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $26.25H $26.25L $23.83C $23.83VOL 4.98M
RES: $27.68SUP: $23.19SMA50: $26.02SMA200: $25.81
$30.86$28.69$26.53$24.36$22.19RES $27.68SUP $23.19$23.832026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
GTES // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 45/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) exhibits 39.8% gross margins and 7.8% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 15.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 39.8% gross profitability converts into 13.5% operating margin and 7.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 7.8% // GM: 39.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.0% paired with 6.09% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.0% // FCF YLD: 6.09%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.46 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.46 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 26.4x trailing P/E (24.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 26.4x // EV/EBITDA: 15.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $23.83 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 7.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.3% // D/E: 0.66x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 24.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.99).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 26.4x
FORWARD P/E 24.6x
EV / EBITDA 15.2x
FCF YIELD 6.09%
GROSS MARGIN 39.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.5%
NET MARGIN 7.3%
ROIC % 7.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +1.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.99
DEBT / EQUITY 0.66x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 39.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.99
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // GTESPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $21.81
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for GTES & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>