ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

DE // Deere & Company

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000315189 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$675.48 ▲ +15.48 (+2.35%)
MKT CAP: $177.95B • VOL: 1.25M
DE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 66/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
66 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -19.7% vs NI -29.2% • ROIC-WACC +2.2% • Z 3
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 77% • VS 200D +8.9% • RSI 52.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
14 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 6 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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DE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.79%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $640.7H $675.5L $640.7C $675.5VOL 1.39M
RES: $765.4SUP: $628.2SMA50: $664.3SMA200: $606.3
$735.6$675.9$616.1$556.4$496.6RES $765.4SUP $628.2$675.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
DE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 39/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Deere & Company (DE) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 9.3% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 27.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 13.4% operating margin and 9.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.3% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -11.7% paired with 3.43% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -11.7% // FCF YLD: 3.43%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.00 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.00 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 35.4x trailing P/E (32.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 35.4x // EV/EBITDA: 27.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $675.48 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 11.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 11.0% // D/E: 1.23x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 32.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.95).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 35.4x
FORWARD P/E 32.9x
EV / EBITDA 27.9x
FCF YIELD 3.43%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 13.4%
NET MARGIN 11.0%
ROIC % 9.3%
REV GROWTH YOY -11.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $18.64
DEBT / EQUITY 1.23x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.97%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.95
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // DEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $618.09
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for DE & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>