ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

DAL // Delta Air Lines Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000027904 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Air Freight/Delivery Services
$80.15 ▼ -1.49 (-1.82%)
MKT CAP: $53.71B • VOL: 4.35M
DAL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 70/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
70 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +4.6% vs NI +44.8% • ROIC-WACC +7.7% • Z 1.83
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 65% • VS 200D +6.3% • RSI 53.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +10.2% • P/E 10x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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DAL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.01%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $80.35H $81.64L $80.15C $80.15VOL 4.56M
RES: $82.90SUP: $73.60SMA50: $80.44SMA200: $76.80
$97.93$88.59$79.25$69.91$60.57RES $82.90SUP $73.60$80.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
DAL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 16.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Air Freight/Delivery Services), balanced against a 7.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 9.2% operating margin and 16.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 16.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.8% paired with 10.22% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.8% // FCF YLD: 10.22%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.83 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.83 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 10.7x trailing P/E (10.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 10.7x // EV/EBITDA: 7.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $80.15 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Air Freight/Delivery Services require continuous execution to defend 7.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.9% // D/E: 0.57x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.09).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 10.7x
FORWARD P/E 10.0x
EV / EBITDA 7.4x
FCF YIELD 10.22%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 9.2%
NET MARGIN 7.9%
ROIC % 16.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.61
DEBT / EQUITY 0.57x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.82%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 53.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.09
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // DALPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $73.34
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>