ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CHRD // Chord Energy Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001486159 ↗
Energy • Oil & Gas Production
$147.39 ▼ -9.60 (-6.11%)
MKT CAP: $8.59B • VOL: 1.00M
CHRD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
17 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 96% • VS 200D +18.8% • RSI 61.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +21.7% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.27 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.26
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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CHRD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.25%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $153.6H $157.0L $147.4C $147.4VOL 660.1K
RES: $160.5SUP: $141.7SMA50: $146.6SMA200: $132.2
$163.7$148.1$132.4$116.8$101.1RES $160.5SUP $141.7$147.42026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
CHRD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 36/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) exhibits 80.0% gross margins and 1.7% return on invested capital within Energy (Oil & Gas Production), balanced against a 25.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 80.0% gross profitability converts into 4.0% operating margin and 1.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 1.7% // GM: 80.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -7.1% paired with 21.67% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -7.1% // FCF YLD: 21.67%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.66 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.66 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 25.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $147.39 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Oil & Gas Production require continuous execution to defend 0.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.9% // D/E: 0.18x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.15).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 25.2x
FCF YIELD 21.67%
GROSS MARGIN 80.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.0%
NET MARGIN 0.9%
ROIC % 1.7%
REV GROWTH YOY -7.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.18x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.78%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 61.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.15
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CHRDPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $134.87
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>