AVEX // AEVEX Corp. (Class A)

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0002096300 ↗

Industrials • Aerospace

$12.22 ▼ -1.21 (-9.01%)

MKT CAP: $1.70B • VOL: 1.59M

52W L $10 52W H $42

AVEX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE

▼ DOWNGRADE // C- (RQD 59) -> D (RQD 47) AS OF 2026-11-02

ROARABLE D

RQD CONFIDENCE

47 / 100 -12D

5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS

E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+

Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning

01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL

Forensic Fundamentals

11 / 20

NEUTRAL

FCF +0% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC +3.7% • Z 3.2

02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND

Whale & Options Flow

[LOCKED] FLAGGED

UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL

03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION

Insider & Capital Conviction

[LOCKED] FLAGGED

UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL

04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX

Macro Regime Fit

9 / 20

WARNING

NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.11 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.01

05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT

Forensic 10-K Risk

13 / 20

SOLID

20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE

ALERT

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SIG <GO> CROSS-FEED TRIANGULATION // PROPRIETARY ANOMALY ENGINE (1 ACTIVE ON AVEX)

STAGE 2 DETERMINISTIC Z-SCORE + STAGE 3 GEEK DESK BRIEF ALL MARKET ANOMALIES <SIG>

▲ BULLISH // MACRO TAILWIND SCORE (96/100)SIFTER 05 // TRUE NET LIQUIDITY BETA

SEVERITY: 94/100 Z-SCORE: +5.21σ

AVEX Exhibits 5.08x True Net Liquidity Elasticity as Fed-TGA-RRP Prints $5,746B

TRUE NET LIQUIDITY

$5,746B (-0.64% 4W)

NET LIQUIDITY ELASTICITY

5.08x BETA (r=-0.18)

MACRO TAILWIND SCORE

96 / 100

[GEEK DESK FORENSIC NOTE // FRED WALCL - TGA - RRP × 5Y BETA]

FRED Fed Assets (WALCL)US Treasury TGA (WTREGEN) + ON RRPICE BofA High-Yield OAS + 5Y Equity Beta

Wall Street's True Net Liquidity Index (WALCL minus Treasury General Account WTREGEN minus Overnight RRP) stands at $5,745.73B (-0.64% 4-week RoC; High-Yield OAS +2 bps). Rolling 5-year regression assigns AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX) a 5.08x Net Liquidity beta (r = -0.18), placing it in the top decile of liquidity-sensitive equities. Current plumbing translates to a deterministic Macro Tailwind Score of 96/100.

AVEX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.52%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $12.19H $13.43L $12.19C $12.22VOL 2.16M

RES: $13.86SUP: $8.26SMA50: $15.13SMA200: $19.88

AVEX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE

NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 52/100

BEAR 0

100 BULL

AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 14.0% return on invested capital within Industrials (Aerospace), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)

01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 14.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.0% // GM: 45.0%

02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: 2.80%

03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9

▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)

01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —

02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $12.22 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85

03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Aerospace require continuous execution to defend — net margins.

NET MARGIN: — // D/E: 1.29x

KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.

MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).

FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>

FILER	SIDE	$ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>

UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>

STRIKE / EXP	TYPE	PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>

KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>

TRAILING P/E —

FORWARD P/E —

EV / EBITDA —

FCF YIELD —

GROSS MARGIN —

OPERATING MARGIN —

NET MARGIN —

ROIC % —

REV GROWTH YOY —

DILUTED EPS TTM —

DEBT / EQUITY 1.29x

DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%

RSI-14 MOMENTUM 49.1

5Y EQUITY BETA —

FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>

MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.

FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AVEXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE

01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO

02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE

HEADLINE STRESS SCORE

75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE

PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE

DFII10 // -0.61 r

Latest: 2.08%

EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE

-8.50%

Implied Px: $11.18

EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE

-$4,248

On $50,000 Notional

[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for AVEX & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>

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